SNF Chiefs vs Buccaneers Odds Analysis for Week 4 of the 2022 NFL Season

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Hurricane Ian spared Tampa, Florida, which is why the Kansas City Chiefs will board a plane this weekend and head to the battered state to take on the Buccaneers. After the Chiefs opened at -2.5, the line has steadily decreased. The odds now make this game a pick. Will Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs prevail? Or will Tom Brady and the Buccaneers get it done in their stadium? Check out NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Chiefs at Buccaneers.  

NFL Week 4 Betting Preview for Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa

Sunday Night Football: Kansas City versus Tampa Bay Odds and Match Info

• When: Sunday, Oct. 2 at 8:20 pm ET 
• Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
• TV / Streaming: NBA / Peacock
• ATS Odds: Tampa Bay PK 
• Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -110 / Tampa Bay -110   
• Over/Under Odds: 46   

Why bet on Kansas City versus Tampa Bay?

The Chiefs blew it in NFL Week 3. Facing a down on their luck Indianapolis Colts squad, KC allowed a touchdown late to lose the game. If Kansas City hadn’t allowed the TD, they would have gone to 3-0. The Chiefs are too good to lose 2 straight. Coach Andy Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes won’t allow it to happen. 

Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 374.0

• Passing Yards: 281.0

• Rushing Yards: 93.0

• Points Scored: 29.3

• Turnovers: 3

Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 314.0

• Passing Yards: 227.3

• Rushing Yards: 86.7

• Points Scored: 21.7

• Takeaways: 2

Why bet on Tampa Bay versus Kansas City?

Brady rallied Tampa to come within 2 points of a tie versus the favored Green Bay Packers last Sunday. The Buccaneers failed on the 2-point conversion. But if Tampa had made the 2-points, the Buccaneers would have remained undefeated. Not only that, but Florida suffered through Hurricane Ian this past week. So Brady and the Bucs have plenty of motivation to win this game. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 297.3

• Passing Yards: 211.3

• Rushing Yards: 86.0

• Points Scored: 17.0

• Turnovers: 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 289.0

• Passing Yards: 209.7

• Rushing Yards: 79.3

• Points Scored: 9.0

• Takeaways: 8

Chiefs at Buccaneers Relevant Trends

• Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass
• Kansas City is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss
• Over is 5-1 in the Chiefs’ last 6 road games
• Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss
• Tampa Bay 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games in October 
• Under is 5-1 in the Buccaneers’ last 6 games following a loss 

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Final Betting Prediction

Earlier in the week, the NFL had made plans for Kansas City and Tampa Bay to play this in Minnesota. A game in Minnesota would essentially make the Chiefs the home team because Vikings’ stadium is much closer to Kansas City than it is to Tampa Bay.

Luckily for the Buccaneers, and the citizens of Tampa, Ian didn’t hit the host city, which is why the game will go on as schedule. The Buccaneers do have home field advantage.

Also, Tampa’s defense is playing unbelievable football. But the Buccaneers have yet to face an offense as good as Kansas City’s. The problem the Bucs will have is scoring. 

It may not be possible to score enough for the win. Mahomes and KC’s offense should post at least 24. The Bucs may touch their average of 17. Kansas City is the play.  

NFL Week 4 SNF Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

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