Australian Open Odds & Picks: First Round Games to Bet On 2023

Australian Open Odds & Picks: First Round Games to Bet On 2023

The 2023 Australian Open got underway Sunday night U.S. time, and Monday afternoon Australian time. The first couple of rounds are unique from a betting perspective, as the big-name players are always wildly heavy favorites. There is just no point in betting on Novak Djokovic -25000 or another top seed at -700 or -1000 in the first round as they cruise to straight-set wins.

Instead, look for some of the matches involving younger players, lower seeds, or players looking for some redemption. Let’s take a look at some of the top Australian Open Betting opportunities at MyBookie for Monday. 

ATP & WTA Lines: 2023 Australian Open Predictions & Betting Opportunities for Monday, Jan. 16th

Laylah Fernandez -155 

After reaching the top 15 and making the U.S. Open Finals in 2021, it has been a tough 18 months for Leylah Fernandez, who is currently ranked 40th. Fernandez broke her foot in the French Open Quarterfinals last spring and returned for the U.S. Open, losing in the second round. 

Cornet reached her first-ever grand slam quarterfinal last year in Melbourne. But the 32-year-old has four opening match losses at the Australian Open, and with a ranking of 34, this matchup is pretty even. Fernandez won their only previous matchup 6-2, 6-3, and should win again on Monday night. 

Anastasia Potapova +100

Sloane Stephens has lost in the first round in the Australian Open in three straight appearances and six of the last seven. These two have never met on the WTA tour, but their rankings are similar, with Stephens at 36 and Anastasia Potapova at 45. Stephens hasn’t made it past the third round of a slam on hard courts since the 2019 Aussie Open.

Potapova reached the third round at the 2021 Australian Open and made two finals in 2022, winning one. With her youth and conditioning, she is at good value to take down Stephens at +100.

Jordan Thompson +131

Jordan Thompson will get a nice boost from the Australian crowd as he plays at home against American J.J. Wolf. Thompson is ranked 83rd but has won three first-round matches at the Australian Open in his career. He reached the second round of the U.S. Open and Wimbledon last yearWolf reached his highest-ever ranking of 56 in October and has never played in the main draw of any Grand Slam other than the U.S. Open. These two have never met so give the Australian an advantage on home soil at plus odds. 

Veteran Underdogs

If you like bigger odds on veteran players, take a look at Andy Murray and Dominic Thiem, who are both +235 to win in the first round. Both have been saddled with injuries in recent years but have had success at Grand Slams, especially this one. 

Murray is a five-time finalist at the Australian Open, but multiple injuries have sidetracked his career the last five years. He won the first-round match in Melbourne last year and made the third round of the U.S. Open, where he lost to his opponent this week, Matteo Berrettini. Playing at Rod Laver Arena, Murray will be a sentimental favorite in what could be his last appearance in Melbourne. 

Thiem is a wild card entry who will face Andrey Rublev, the No. 5 seed. Thiem lost in the 2020 final in Melbourne, but injuries to his wrist and finger have kept him from playing in four of the last six slams. Thiem is 2-4 lifetime against Rublev, who made the quarters at the U.S. Open in 2022 but lost in the third round of the Australian Open last year. 

Rublev is 0-2 so far this year, and Thiem hasn’t played in 2023. Expect Thiem to have the crowd support as he goes after the upset. 


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