Day 12 of the Australian Open features the two men’s semifinals, with action coming in the main night session. The No. 1 ranking in the world is on the line this weekend, with both Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas able to take the ranking away from injured Carlos Alcaraz, who withdrew from the first grand slam of the season.
Action at Melbourne Park will come in the early hours of the morning U.S. time on Friday, prime time in Australia. The semifinals also feature the first American at the Australian Open final four in 14 years as Tommy Paul takes on Djokovic as a big underdog. Paul is the only one of the four remaining that hasn’t played in a grand slam semifinal, while Karen Khachanov is aiming for his first final. Let’s have a look at the odds favorites to win their semifinal matchup so you can bet against their Australian Open Odds.
2023 Australian Open Predictions & Betting Opportunities for Day 12 | Tennis Odds
Updated Winners Odds
As the only player left with a slam title, and 21 of those on his resume, No. 4 Novak Djokovic is an overwhelming favorite to win this weekend. MyBookie has Djokovic at -526 to tie Rafael Nadal’s record of 22 Grand Slam wins and collect a record 10th Australian Open title.
Despite being the best-seeded player left at No. 3, Tsitsipas is +380 to win his first Grand Slam title. Khachanov is +1450 to win it all, and Paul has the worst odds at +2400.
While Djokovic and Paul have never met, the 21-time champion is 10-2 against Tsitsipas and 8-1 against Khachanov. He has won eight straight against Tsitsipas since 2019 and seven straight against Khachanov dating back to a 2018 loss.
Djokovic has never lost after the quarters at Melbourne Park, with a combined 18-0 record in semifinals and finals.
Tsitsipas Looking to Break Through
Making the semifinals hasn’t been the issue for Tsitsipas, however, he is 1-4 in his career in Grand Slam semis, including a 0-3 mark at the Australian Open. The Greek native fell to Rafael Nadal in 2019, then lost to Daniil Medvedev in both 2021 and 2022. His lone semifinal win came at the 2021 French Open, where he lost to Djokovic in the finals.
The No. 3 seed hasn’t been tested much at this tournament, with four 3-set sweeps thus far. The only win that went past three sets was a 5-set win over No. 15 Jannik Sinner in the round of 16. MyBookie has Tsitsipas at -255 to win his semifinal match again Khachanov and reach his second-ever Grand Slam final.
Khachanov (+193) is having a great run over the last six months, with a trip to the U.S. Open semifinal in September and another run here in Australia. The semifinal at the U.S. Open was the first of his career, and he lost in four sets to Casper Ruud. With big serves and groundstrokes, Khachanov has lost just one set in this tournament, to No. 16 Frances Tiafoe in the third round.
Tsitsipas has dominated Khachanov in their prior meetings, going 5-0 overall, 4-0 on hard courts. They last met on clay at the 2022 Rome Masters, and two of the five matches have gone three sets. This should be a highly competitive match, but look for Tsitsipas to win in four or five sets.
Djokovic In Line for History
This is the true David v. Goliath match on the tennis courts. Paul has never been past the fourth round in any slam, and his unseeded run to the semifinals has included two wins over seeded players, and those were No. 24 and 30. Paul has just one career title in any professional tournament, at the 2021 Stockholm Open.
On the other hand, Djokovic has won 92 ATP titles with 21 Grand Slam titles, second only to Nadal’s 22. Djokovic is 32-11 in his career in semifinals, including eight straight wins and 17 in a row not on clay. He hasn’t lost at the Australian Open since the fourth round of the 2018 tournament when he was seeded 14th.
Djokovic is -2272 at MyBookie, with Paul at +890 to move to the finals. No American has made the Australian Open finals since Andre Agassi won the tournament in 2003. Paul has already broken some barriers over the last two weeks, but beating Djokovic and making the finals might be too much to ask.
These two have never met in an official match. Djokovic has dropped just one set so far in Melbourne this year, and he steamrolled No. 5. Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals. Look for a repeat performance in the semis, and getting Djokovic at -230 to win 3-0 is the best way to bet this match.
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