The ATP Rolex Paris Masters, the ninth and final ATP 1000 event of the season, began today and runs until November 6. The 56-player event is also the last tournament of the season before the Nitto ATP Finals, which involves the top-eight ranked players in the world.
There’s still some maneuvering left in advance of the Finals. Felix Auger-Aliassime, a longshot to make it a few weeks ago, has won three tournaments in a row and is now sixth in the Pepperstone ATP Live Race To Turin. He’s all but assured himself a spot in the finals, while Andrey Rublev (No. 7), Taylor Fritz (No. 8), and Hubert Hurkacz (No. 9) are expected to contend for two of the last three spots.
Hurkacz or Fritz, however, would need to win this tournament to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals. It’s time to take a closer look at the upcoming tournament so you can place your bets against their ATP Odds.
ATP 1000: Top Three Rolex Paris Masters Betting Opportunities
Novak Djokovic Favored to Win
Despite being the No. 6 seed in the tournament, Novak Djokovic is the early outright betting favorite to win the ATP Rolex Paris Masters. Djokovic is usually favored in every tournament he plays, so this isn’t too surprising.
Djokovic last played in early October in Kazakhstan and won the Astana Open. He defeated top players Karen Khachanov, Daniil Medvedev, and Stefanos Tsitsipas without dropping a set.
It’s hard to imagine anyone beating a motivated Djokovic in Paris, but there are other players with more to gain. As a Grand Slam winner (he won Wimbledon), Djokovic has already guaranteed his spot in the Nitto ATP Finals.
Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz
Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz have the second and third shortest odds of winning the ATP Rolex Paris Masters. Medvedev, who is coming off of a tournament victory at the Vienna Open, has +400 odds to win this week. Alcaraz is listed at +650.
Despite winning the US Open and cementing himself as the world No. 1, Alcaraz has struggled as of late. It’s worth fading the Spaniard. He lost in the first round of the Astana Open in Kazakhstan and was defeated 6-3, 6-2 by Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals at the Swiss Indoors.
Both players receive a bye into the Round of 32. Alcaraz has a relatively tough matchup against Yoshihito Nishioka, who defeated Aslan Karatsev this morning, while Medvedev is awaiting his opponent.
First-Round Betting Opportunities
Because Hurkacz and Fritz need to win this tournament to advance to the Nitto ATP Finals, it’s worth betting on both players to at least win their first-round matches – Fritz was already up one set over Alexander Davidovich Fokina as of Monday morning, while Hurkacz was a -400 favorite over Adrian Mannarino (+300). They play Tuesday.
Fritz would play the winner of Andy Murray and Gilles Simon should he win his first-round matchup. That would be another good betting opportunity for a Fritz victory. Hurkacz, meanwhile, would play Holger Rune or Stan Wawrinka in the second round should he defeat Mannarino.