Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Odds, Picks, and Tennis Betting Analysis

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Odds, Picks, and Tennis Betting Analysis

The clay court season is officially here as the ATP Tour heads back to Europe for the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 event. This event kicks off the run up to the French Open, with tournaments coming in Spain and Italy before the crown jewel of the clay season at Roland Garros.


The Monte Carlos Masters takes place at the Monte Carlo Country Club in Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France, on the border of Monaco. The bad news for this year’s event is the injury withdraw of three Top 10 players, including 11-time Monte Carlo champion Rafael Nadal. Carlos Alcaraz, the No. 1 ranked player in the world, and Felix Auger-Alisassime have also been forced out with injury.

Their omission leaves Novak Djokovic as the clear favorite and the No. 1 seed. Two-time defending champion Stefanos Tsitsopas is the No. 2 seed, Daniil Medvedev is No. 3, and Casper Ruud is No. 4. Ruud won the Estoril Open on Sunday, while Medvedev is the only player to beat Djokovic, so far in 2023.

Let’s take a look at the ATP odds for the 2023 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters and some of the first-round odds at MyBookie.

 

2023 ATP Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Odds, Picks, and Tennis Betting Analysis

2023 Monte-Carlo Masters
When: 8–16 April, 2023
Category: ATP Tour 1000 series
Where: Monte-Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France
Surface: Clay / outdoor

 

Djokovic the Favorite

Djokovic hasn’t played in the last three events as he wasn’t allowed in the United States for Indian Wells or Miami, and he took last week off. Still, he is going to be the favorite in any event he enters, and this is no exception. The Serbian has won at Monte Carlo twice, but his last title came in 2015.

In fact, not only is Djokovic the favorite this week, but he is a big favorite at -105. The draw could have been kinder as Djokovic potentially faces red-hot Janik Sinner in the quarterfinals and Medvedev in the semis.

 

Tsitsipas Can’t Be Overlooked

The 2023 season has been an up-and-down one for Tsitsipas, with some unexpected losses but also deep runs. This is an event where he has excelled, winning the last two years though he didn’t face Djokovic, Alcaraz, Medvedev, or Nadal en route to either title. He is listed at +700 to win a third-straight Monte Carlos Master.

With Djokovic last reaching the quarters of this event in 2019, Tsitsipas could benefit from his draw position. American Taylor Fritz is a potential quarterfinal opponent, with Ruud looming in the semis. But Tsitsipas wouldn’t have to face Djokovic, Medvedev, or Sinner until the final.

 

Medvedev on a Mission

Medvedev has reached at least the semis in every tournament this season except the Australian Open. He is 4-1 in finals with titles at Miami, Dubai, Doha, and Rotterdam. Overall he is 29-3 in 2023, but this will be his first event on clay.

Medvedev is 18-23 in his career on clay, and he doesn’t have a clay court title. His best clay court tournament was a finals loss at the 2019 Barcelona Open, and his best run at the French Open was the quarter-finals in 2021. He is +1200 to win at Monte Carlos this week.

 

Sinner, Ruud Both Can Win

The other two players with odds in the top five are Sinner and Ruud. Both are listed at +1100 for this week. Ruud won in Portugal on Sunday after not getting past the second match in any tournament this season. He is ranked No. 5 in the world and has a career record of 103-37 on clay and nine of his 10 career titles have come on the surface.

Sinner is enjoying a breakout season, and the 21-year-old Italian is ranked No. 9 in the world. He is 21-5 this season with two losses to Medvedev, one to Alcaraz, and a title at Montpellier. For his career, Sinner is 35-17 with one title on clay, and this could line up to be his biggest career triumph to date.

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