THE PLAYERS Championship Odds, Picks, and PGA Betting Analysis

THE PLAYERS Championship gets underway Thursday at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Verde, Florida. The annual tournament, first held in 1974, features a season-high $25 million purse and, as a result, has attracted the world’s top players. Of note, last year’s champion, Cameron Smith won’t be there as he’s now with LIV Golf, as are two other top-five finishers: Anirban Lahiri and Paul Casey.

Kurt Kitayama won the Arnold Palmer Invitational last weekend, but isn’t among the players with the 10 shortest PGA odds to win THE PLAYERS. Here’s a look at some of the favorites and the best-value longshot pick.

Check out MyBookie’s PGA betting odds for THE PLAYERS Championship golf tournament.

 

THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Predictions and Favorites Odds | PGA Tour Lines

PGA Tour Tournament Info | Updated PGA Odds
When: March 9–12, 2023
Where: The Players Stadium Course at Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida
Par: 72
Length: 7,189 yards (6,574 m)

 

The Favorite: Rory McIlroy +870

McIlroy has been one of the best and most consistent golfers on the PGA Tour for the better part of the last year. Ever since he stepped up as the de facto face of the PGA Tour in opposition to LIV, he has elevated his game to a level it hasn’t been for years. McIlroy was in contention at the Arnold Palmer and finished T2, earning himself $1.8 million. He’ll be even more motivated to get his second win of the season this weekend – he won the CJ CUP in October.

McIlroy finished T33 at last year’s tournament, but tied for the low round of the day on Sunday with a 66. He won at TPC Sawgrass in 2019 and ranks 22nd among all players in average adjusted strokes-gained at the course since 2017.

 

The Smart Pick: Viktor Hovland +2600

With so many good players in the field, it’s hard to imagine a player without much pedigree winning. However, there are several players with experience winning tight competitions that could have success at TPC Sawgrass. Viktor Hovland is one of those players.

Hovland finished T10 at the Arnold Palmer and recorded the sixth hole-in-one of his career. He has finished T20 or better in six of his last seven events, winning the Hero World Challenge in December. He also ranks fifth among all players in average adjusted strokes-gained at the course since 2017 at +2.17. Hovland missed the cut in his debut at THE PLAYERS in 2021, but finished T9 last year.

 

Best Longshot Bet: Corey Conners +5600

Canadian Corey Connors is a player who is seemingly in contention every week, or at least performing well, but can never come up clutch when it counts. Still, there’s plenty to like about his chances this weekend.

If we’re looking at course performance, Conners is sixth among all players in average adjusted strokes-gained at TPC Sawgrass at +2.16. He finished T26 in 2022 and seventh in 2021. He was atop the leaderboard at the Arnold Palmer in the third round before falling back to a T21 finish. He’s certainly worth a low stakes bet for this weekend.

 

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