2022 AFL Round 16 Betting Analysis for the Top Games of the Week

AFL Round 16 Betting Analysis for the Top Games of the Week

What a crazy weekend AFL Round 15 was. Melbourne topped Brisbane in a battle of two teams tied atop the ladder, and Freemantle missed out on their opportunity to stay in the #1 seed with an upset loss to Carlton. Geelong and Sydney also picked up wins as part of a huge triple-header on Saturday. 

Now that everyone has had some time to catch their breath, it’s on to the Round 16 games. It’s looking like a much calmer weekend ahead, but sometimes those are the ones that are the toughest AFL Betting Odds to predict. 

Top AFL Round 16 Betting Games for the Week

Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions (-17.5), Thursday 5:20 AM ET

Melbourne coach Chris Fagan called last week’s matchup with Brisbane a ‘toughness test,’ and wow, did the Lions fail in a 64-point loss. The important part for Brisbane is to scratch the memory of that game ASAP, as they are still just a game out of the top spot and also in quite a logjam of one of four teams that are 10-4. 

The -17.5 point spread seems like a hefty one for a team that was thoroughly dominated last weekend. The Bulldogs have also won five of their last six to get to 8-6 on the year, right on the cusp of the #8 seed.

St. Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues (-9.5), Friday 5:50 AM ET

The battle to get into the top eight is going to be a tight one, likely from here until the end of the season, as one game separates seeds 6-10. The Saints are right in that mix as they try to rebound from last week’s loss to Sydney.

Carlton did their part last weekend, taking down a Freemantle team that was tied for the best record in the AFL. This is a great opportunity for the Blues to finally put a winning streak together after alternating victories and defeats in the last four games. The Saints have dropped three in a row, including a 35-point loss to Essendon, one of the worst teams in the league.

Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns (-3.5), Saturday 5:25 AM ET

Gold Coast is right on the outside, looking in at a top-eight spot, currently in 11th at 7-7 but also just a game back from a three-team logjam at 8-6. That makes the Saturday game a must-win for the Suns, especially after a harrowing 93-91 loss to Port Adelaide last weekend.

The Pies have some value here as well, winners of five straight, including last weekend when they were up by five goals at one point against the Giants. Collingwood also posted a 115-90 win over Gold Coast back on April 30th.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Gws Giants (-11.5), Sunday 1:20 AM ET

As stated, Round 16 does not feature the highly competitive matchups we saw last weekend. Geelong is a -65.5 favorite against North Melbourne, for example, and Richmond is listed at -38.5 in the AFL betting odds against West Coast. 

Hawthorn and Gws should be a close game mostly because they are both 4-10 on the season – having their shares of struggles. The Hawks are 0-6 at Giants Stadium, including in the hub during the COVID season of 2020.


2024 Toyota AFL Premiership Season Odds

NRL Team Odds
Collingwood Magpies +550
Brisbane Lions +600
Melbourne Demons +750
Carlton Blues +850
GWS Giants +900
Port Adelaide +1200
Sydney Swans +1200
Adelaide Crows +1400
Rest of the Field +1500 or higher

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