2023 Music City Bowl Odds: Auburn vs Maryland Betting Pick & Analysis

2023 Music City Bowl Odds: Auburn vs Maryland Betting Pick & Analysis

Hugh Freeze hopes to put a bowl winning stamp on his first season at Auburn when Freeze’s Tigers take on Big Ten squad Maryland in the 2023 Music City Bowl. The game takes place at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, home of the Tennessee Titans.

Will Freeze’s squad cover the -6.5 point spread? Or will the Terps play well enough to keep the game closer than the line?

The Maryland Terrapins are the favorites in the betting lines in college football in this year’s Music City Bowl as they are listed at -6.5, with the total set at 47.5 points.


2023 TransPerfect Music City Bowl Odds: Auburn vs Maryland | MyBookie Bowl Game Preview

Auburn Tigers vs Maryland Terrapins
ATS Odds:
Auburn -6.5
Money line Odds: Auburn Line -260 / Maryland Line +220
Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Saturday, December 30th, 2023 at 100 pm ET | ESPN
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN


Maryland Terrapins Analysis

Maryland finished their regular season winning 2-of-3. Not only did the Terrapins step it up when beating Nebraska 13-10 on the road and taking down Rutgers 42-24 on the Scarlet Knights’ field, but in their second to final game of the regular season, Maryland almost pulled off the biggest upset of the season.

The Terps hung with the mighty Michigan Wolverines in a 31-24 victory. A loss would have sent the Wolverines out of the College Football Playoff no matter if they beat Ohio State and won the Big Ten Championship. If Maryland plays with the same gusto against Auburn that it did versus Michigan, they can keep the Music City Bowl closer than the spread.

Maryland Offense Averages

  • Total Yards: 393.8
  • Passing Yards: 284.8
  • Rushing Yards: 108.9
  • Points Scored: 29.6
  • Turnovers: 8

Maryland Defense Averages

  • Total Yards: 336.9
  • Passing Yards: 207.3
  • Rushing Yards: 129.6
  • Points Scored: 23.3
  • Takeaways: 15

Auburn Tigers Analysis

Maryland may have played well against Michigan. Auburn was unlucky to lose to rival Alabama in the Iron Bowl. Bama had 4th and goal at the 32 and Jalen Milroe threw an unreal pass to Isaiah Bond that Bond caught in the end zone.

Auburn proved in the miracle Alabama victory over them that the Tigers are good enough to hang with College Football Playoff quality squads. Freeze will get his team to bounce back from the loss and provide and exceptional performance on Saturday.

Auburn Offense Averages

  • Total Yards: 355.8
  • Passing Yards: 157.1
  • Rushing Yards: 198.8
  • Points Scored: 27.3
  • Turnovers: 5

Auburn Defense Averages

  • Total Yards: 361.1
  • Passing Yards: 201.7
  • Rushing Yards: 159.4
  • Points Scored: 21.9
  • Takeaways: 11

Auburn s vs Maryland Final Betting Prediction

Taulia Tagovailoa won’t play in this, which means Maryland will turn to sophomore quarterback Billy Edwards. Don’t expect a USC Miller Moss situation. Moss torched Louisville’s defense for 327 yards and 6 TD passes in the Holiday Bowl.

Moss was a four-star recruit who got a chance to learn Lincoln Riley’s system last season and this season. Edwards is a 3-star recruit who doesn’t have the physical traits that Tagovailoa possesses.

While the Terrapins must play without their quarterback leader, Auburn will be at full strength. The Tigers are angry after the way the Iron Bowl ended. Auburn covers the 6.5.

NCAAF Music City Bowl: ATS Auburn Tigers -6.5 | Bet Auburn vs Maryland Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bowl


Auburn Tigers Last 5

Date OPP Result
11/25/23 vs ALA L27-24
11/18/23 vs NMSU L31-10
11/11/23 @ ARK W48-10
11/4/23 @ VAN W31-15
10/28/23 vs MSST W27-13

Maryland TerrapinsLast 5

Date OPP Result
11/25/23 @ RUTG W42-24
11/18/23 vs MICH L31-24
11/11/23 @ NEB W13-10
11/4/23 vs PSU L51-15
10/28/23 @ NU L33-27

Maryland Terrapins vs Auburn Tigers Trends

  • Maryland are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
  • Maryland are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played in December.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland’s last 6 games played on a Saturday.
  • Maryland are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland’s last 7 games played on a Saturday when on the road.
  • Auburn are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Auburn are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
  • Auburn are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played in December.
  • Auburn are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday.
  • Auburn are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games when playing as the favourite.

MyBookie offers College Football futures to win the 2023 NCAA Division I FBS football season.


2023 NCAA College Football National Championship Odds to Win

Team Odds
Michigan Wolverines -200
Washington Huskies +170

Bet College Football National Championship Lines


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MyBookie Odds for the Games

Previous Betting News

TransPerfect Music City Bowl Iowa Is The Favorite, Can They Win The Bowl?

Two teams that go hit hard by the transfer portal step onto the field at Nissan Stadium on Saturday to take part in the 2022 Music City Bowl. Neither Iowa nor Kentucky will start the quarterback that played the most snaps during the regular season. Which backups will get it done on New Year’s Eve? See below for odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Music City Bowl.


Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Kentucky Wildcats Lines and Match Info | Music City Bowl

When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
TV / Streaming: ABC/ESPN+
ATS Odds: Iowa -2.5
Money line Odds: Kentucky +113 / Iowa -139
Over/Under Odds: 31


Why bet on Kentucky versus Iowa?

Quarterback Will Levis has first round NFL Draft pick potential, which is why he and his family said it was best if he sat this one out. With Levis on the bench, Kentucky is likely to play a pair of quarterbacks.

Kaiya Sheron has thrown for 187 yards, 2 TDs, and a pick. Destin Wade is also freshman. Both will benefit from Vince Marrow’s play-calling. Marrow said that the Wildcats “will score points” in this game, which means he’s going to open the playbook for the backup QBs.


Kentucky Wildcats Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 336.3
• Passing Yards: 216.1
• Rushing Yards: 120.3
• Points Scored: 22.1
• Turnovers: 6

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 320.2
• Passing Yards: 173.4
• Rushing Yards: 146.8
• Points Scored: 19.1
• Takeaways: 10


Why bet on Iowa versus Kentucky?

Iowa’s starting quarterback during the season, Spencer Petras, won’t play due to an injury. But the Hawkeyes got some great news because tight-end Sam LaPorta will play.

LaPorta is one of the best tight-ends in the nation. He was on the shelf for most of this season, which means he’ll be fired up to lead the Hawkeyes to a victory.


Iowa Hawkeyes Offensive Averages

  • • Total Yards: 255.2
  • Passing Yards: 158.2
  • Rushing Yards: 97.0
  • Points Scored: 17.4
  • Turnovers: 10

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Averages

  • • Total Yards: 277.9
  • Passing Yards: 173.8
  • Rushing Yards: 104.1
  • Points Scored: 14.4
  • Takeaways: 13

Wildcats vs. Hawkeyes Relevant Trends

  • • Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games
  • Iowa is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
  • Under is 5-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 6 versus a team with a winning record
  • Wildcats are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games
  • Kentucky is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass
  • Under is 6-0 in the Wildcats’ last 6 games on grass 

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Kentucky Wildcats Final Betting Prediction

LaPorta is a receiver, which means for the great tight-end to be effective somebody has to throw him the ball. In that sense, LaPorta won’t see many targets.

Petras wasn’t an effective quarterback. So even if he played, Iowa might be at a disadvantage. But not only will the Hawkeyes miss Petras, but backup Alex Padilla hit the transfer portal.

Iowa is down to it’s third and fourth string signal-callers. Neither is as talented as Sheron or Wade. Not only that, but we must believe Marrow calls a game that goes after the Iowa secondary.

Hawkeyes safety Kaevon Merriweather has opted out. Merriweather is the best safety in the nation. Iowa’s defense should still play well, but it might struggle versus Marrow’s more electric play-calling. The Wildcats moneyline is the play to make.

NCAAF Music City Bowl Pick: Kentucky +113


Previous Betting News

Who is Playing in the Music City Bowl? | Iowa Hawkeyes vs Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

For fans of the teams in the final four in the college football playoffs, New Year’s Eve can feel like a long day as they wait for the big games. The good news is that we will all have a pleasant distraction, with a pair of games set to go before we get to the National Championship semi-finals. There really is a good set of games set to go on the final day of the year, with a little something for everyone. There are games that will almost certainly be an offensive spectacle, as well as one or two that are probably going to be a defensive struggle. The Music City Bowl, that sees the Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky Wildcats square off, is one that looks set to fall into the latter category. You need only look at the point total to see that this one could be a defensive battle. Iowa is in as a 2-point favorite, with the point total set at 31. That being said, it’s time to look at both teams and how they arrive to this Music City Bowl matchup so you can bet on the NCAA Football Bowl Odds.


Iowa versus Kentucky Lines | Cotton Bowl Odds

  • When: Saturday, December 31 at 12 PM EST
  • Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville
  • TV: ABC

Why bet on the Iowa Hawkeyes

The Hawkeyes finished the season at 7-5, leaning heavily on their defense to get to that mark. Scoring points proved to be a struggle for this team, and it could potentially be even tougher in this game given that they will be without their starting QB, as well as the backup. That seems like a bit of a nightmare for a team that managed to score just 17 PPG this season. The Iowa Hawkeyes are going to, once again, need to look for their defense to be strong. The defensive unit was stellar in 2022, landing in the top 10 in points conceded at a tough over 14 PPG. If they don’t get some help from their offense here, though, this could prove to be a vey long day. Iowa covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games away from home. The UNDER has hit in 9 of their last 13.


Why bet on the Kentucky Wildcats

The Kentucky Wildcats came storming out the gate, winning each of their first 4 games, but things started to become a little more problematic once they go into the SEC portion of their schedule. They ended up going 3-5 in conference games to end the season with the same 7-5 record as their opponents in the Music City Bowl. Also like the Hawkeyes, Kentucky had problems putting points on the board, averaging 22 PPG on the offensive side of the football. They were also strong on defense, though, giving up just 19 PPG. They are also going to be without their starting QB, as he will be declaring for the NFL Draft. Kentucky has been a great bet, going 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games. They have seen the UNDER hit in each of their last 8 games.


Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

With both starting QBs out of this one, a game that was always going to be low scoring suddenly looks even less likely to deliver a ton of offense. I definitely think the UNDER is the way to go, plus I like Kentucky to win and cover.

NCAA Football Betting Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes 10 Kentucky Wildcats 17



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