The final bowl game of the season takes place on Tuesday, when the LSU Tigers take on the Kansas State Wildcats. Both LSU and Kansas State had disappointing seasons. The Texas Bowl is the final chance to end the season on a positive note. Which team gets it done? Check out College Football Bowl odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Texas Bowl. 

NCAAF Betting Analysis for Kansas State Wildcats Vs LSU Tigers

Texas Bowl Odds | Kansas State vs LSU Betting Preview

• When: Tuesday, Jan. 4 at 9:00 pm ET
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
• TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
• ATS Odds: Kansas State -4 ½     
• Moneyline Odds: LSU +160 / Kansas State -190  
• Over/Under Odds: 48    

Why bet on LSU versus Kansas State?

The Tigers enter this bowl game off their best performance of the season. LSU faced a scorching Texas A&M squad in coach Ed Orgeron’s final game. The underdog Tigers not only covered the spread, but they upset Jimbo Fisher’s team 27-24. LSU should carry momentum from that victory into this matchup. 

LSU Tigers Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 373.6

• Passing Yards: 264.1

• Rushing Yards: 109.5

• Points Scored: 27.1

• Turnovers: 5

LSU Tigers Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 373.3

• Passing Yards: 234.8

• Rushing Yards: 138.4

• Points Scored: 25.3

• Takeaways: 8

Why bet on Kansas State versus LSU?

K-State lost their last couple of regular season games, but the Wildcats hung tough in both. Baylor beat Kansas State 20-10 and Texas beat the Wildcats 22-17. Also, starting quarterback Skyler Thompson should play on Tuesday night. He’s listed as probable. 

Kansas State Wildcats Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 355.7

• Passing Yards: 194.2

• Rushing Yards: 161.5

• Points Scored: 26.3

• Turnovers: 7

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 348.0

• Passing Yards: 221.7

• Rushing Yards: 126.3

• Points Scored: 21.1

• Takeaways: 9

Relevant Trends for LSU Tigers vs Kansas State Wildcats

• Tigers are 5-0 in last their 5 neutral site games
• LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games
• Over is 5-0 in the Tigers’ last 5 versus the Big 12
• Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in January
• Kansas State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 bowl games
• Under is 5-1 in the Wildcats’ last 5 games

Texas Bowl Final Betting Prediction

On paper, this should be a close game, but after a deep dive, it’s apparent the Wildcats have all the advantages. Not only should Thompson play, but top running back Deuce Vaughn, who scored 15 TDs this season, and K-State’s entire offensive line should also play. 

LSU will be without their top running back, top defensive player in Derek Stingley Jr., both starting quarterbacks in Max Johnson, who will transfer, and Myles Brennan, who is hurt. Also, third string QB Gus Nussmeier won’t play. 

If Nussmeier plays, he loses a year of eligibility. Without Nussmeier, LSU must start one of two walk on quarterbacks. So no matter what we think of Kansas State, we can’t possibly side with a Tigers’ squad down to 45 scholarship players, including zero at the QB position.

K-State is close to full strength. For various reasons, transfer, injury, or opt-outs, the LSU Tigers aren’t. Even at full strength, LSU would struggle to beat Kansas State. Wildcats should have no trouble covering this spread.   

Texas Bowl Pick: Kansas State Wildcats

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