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Sitting at No. 7 in the penultimate College Football Playoff Top 25 rankings – the final rankings are Sunday – means Texas has to blast No. 18 Oklahoma State on Saturday in the Big 12 title game and get some help elsewhere to reach the playoff for the first time. The Longhorns are more than two TD favorites. 2023 NCAAF Expert Analysis #18 Oklahoma State vs. #7 Texas | MyBookie Sportsbook 2023 Big 12 Championship

How to Bet Oklahoma State vs. Texas NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, noon ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
TV: ABC
Stream: ESPN+
Radio: Tunein.com
Opening NCAAF Lines: Texas -15 (total 55)

Series History

Normally, the teams would have played in the regular season but because the Big 12 expanded, not every team plays every other any longer. This will be the 38th all-time meeting with UT leading 26-11, including a 2-0 mark in neutral site games. But Oklahoma State won last year’s contest in Stillwater with the 11th-ranked Cowboys topping No. 20 Texas, 41-34. OSU won nine of the past 13 matchups, as well as six of the past eight. Pokes coach Mike Gundy is 9-9 in his career against Texas, while Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is 0-2 against Oklahoma State.

Why Bet on Oklahoma State Cowboys?

OSU (9-3, 7-2 Big 12) had to win last week to reach this game but nearly lost at home to struggling BYU, rallying from 18 points down for a 40-34 double-OT win. BYU had a chance to win in the second OT Ollie Gordon’s TD run for OSU, but Oklahoma State’s Trey Rucker ripped the ball from Isaac Rex after a catch and recovered the fumble to end it. The Cowboys celebrated after the play was confirmed by replay review. In the second half and overtime, the OSU defense held BYU to 10 points and 125 total yards, while coming up with a game-clenching fumble recovery in the second overtime. The Cowboy defense has produced 18 total turnovers in the past eight games while the offense has turned it over 12 times during that stretch. This season, the Cowboys are 9-0 when they win or tie the turnover battle.

The win marked OSU’s largest home comeback victory and its third-largest comeback win in program history. The Cowboys erased a 21-point deficit to beat Notre Dame in the 2022 Fiesta Bowl and a 20-0 deficit to win at Colorado on Nov. 10, 1979. OSU’s 24-13 fourth-quarter comeback also ranks third in fourth-quarter comebacks, sitting behind a 28-14 rally against Oklahoma on Dec. 6, 2014, and a 20-0 comeback versus Colorado on Nov. 10, 1979.

With 166 rushing yards and five touchdowns, Gordon joined Barry Sanders as the only players in Oklahoma State history to rush for five touchdowns in a single game. Sanders accomplished the feat three times in his career. since Oct. 21, 2017, at Texas. Leon Johnson III caught nine passes, a career-high, for 132 yards against BYU. Since debuting with the Cowboys five games ago, Johnson III is averaging 89.2 receiving yards per game.

Quarterback Alan Bowman placed back-to-back 300+ yard passing games for his first time as a Cowboy, last doing so in the first two games of the 2020 season with Texas Tech. The Cowboys finished the game with a 300-yard passer (Bowman), 100-yard rusher (Gordon II) and 100-yard receiver (Johnson III) for the third time in the last four games.

With the win, Oklahoma State became the lone Big 12 team and the ninth Power Five Conference program to make more than one league championship game over the last four seasons. The list includes Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, Michigan, Oregon, Oklahoma State, Utah, USC and Iowa.

Gordon probably will win the Doak Walker Award as the nation’s top running back. A three-time Doak Walker National Running Back of the Week and four-time Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week, Gordon leads the FBS in nearly every major rushing category, including rushing yards (1,580), rushing yards per game (131.7), 100-yard rushing games (8), 150-yard rushing games (5), 200-yard rushing games (2), 250-yard rushing games (2) and carries of at least 30 yards (14), 40 yards (7) and 70 yards (2). He is second in rushing touchdowns (20), total touchdowns (21) and all-purpose yards (1,852).

Oklahoma State has won 11 conference titles since 1926, and the 2023 Big 12 Championship appearance marks its second time to reach the championship game in the past three seasons. A win would mark the first in school history in a conference championship game, as each of the Cowboys’ previous titles were won in a format that did not include a championship game.

Why Bet on Texas Longhorns?

Texas (11-1, 8-1 Big 12) was the regular-season Big 12 champion in its final season in the conference. The Horns closed the regular season with a 57-7 rout of Texas Tech. The Longhorns had 528 yards of total offense (226 pass, 302 rush) while holding Texas Tech to only 198 total yards. Running back Jaydon Blue had a career day and carried the ball 10 times for 121 yards, including a 69-yard touchdown rush. It marked the first 100-yard game of his career.

Texas’ 57 points are the most scored by the Longhorns this season and the most since scoring 70 versus Texas Tech in 2021. The 50-point victory was the largest for Texas in a Big 12 game since 2007. It is the 10th time this season Texas has scored at least 30 points in a game. The Longhorns have scored at least 50 points six times in the Steve Sarkisian era. Texas held the Red Raiders to seven points, the third time this season that UT has held opponents to single-digits in scoring. It marks the first time since 2017 that the Longhorns have held three opponents to fewer than 10 points in a game.

Michael Taaffe blocked a punt in the second quarter, the second blocked punt for the Longhorns this season and the third blocked kick. Keilan Robinson returned the opening kickoff of the second half 95 yards for a touchdown. It was the ninth-longest kickoff return in program history and the first kickoff return touchdown for Texas since 2020. Bert Auburn went a perfect 5-for-5 on field goals in the victory, including a career-long 54-yarder. Auburn extended his streak of successful field goals to 19, a Texas and Big 12 Conference record and now has made 28 kicks on the year, a school record.

Texas has won 11 games in a season for the first time since 2009. It marks the sixth time in program history the Longhorns have recorded 11 wins in the regular season (1977, 1983, 2005, 2008, 2009, 2023). Texas concluded Big 12 regular-season play with an all-time conference record of 157-79 (.665).

Defensive lineman T’Vondre Sweat was named a finalist for the 2023 Outland Trophy, the Football Writers Association of America announced Tuesday. The Outland Trophy is awarded annually to the nation’s top interior lineman. Sweat has played in all 12 games with seven starts for the Longhorns this season. He has established career highs with 40 tackles, 16 solo tackles, eight tackles for loss, two sacks and four pass breakups, while adding a blocked kick.

Sweat and the Texas defense lead the nation in third-down defense (26.3%) and red zone defense (68.8%), while ranking fourth in rushing defense (85.0 ypg). The Longhorns are also 12th in scoring defense (17.2 ppg) and 27th in first down defense (210).

The Longhorns are making their seventh all-time appearance in the Big 12 Championship, with a record of 3-3. UT’s last appearance in the game was in 2018. Texas’ seven appearances are the second-most in conference history. Texas will be the home team for the game, but has chosen to wear its traditional all-white uniforms.

College Football Expert Prediction

Texas 34, Oklahoma State 23

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