NCAAF Week 1 Over/Under Picks for the 2021 Season

NCAAF Week 1 Over/Under Picks for the 2021 Season

The 2021 NCAA football season is closing in, and sportsbooks are already beginning to post lines for the opening slate of games. The first full slate of games starts Wednesday, September 1st, and runs through Monday, September 6th.

Week one matchups are set and ready to kick off in just under three months. We will cover a handful of crucial games and provide an early analysis of why that particular contest might go over or under the point total once posted. That being said, let’s jump right into action so you can plan your bets against their NCAAF odds.

NCAA Football Week One Over/Under Picks To Must Bet On

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Miami Hurricanes UNDER

Alabama posted one of the most prolific offensives statistically last season, and a majority of the pieces are now scattered among NFL rosters. The Crimson Tide usher in another wave of blue-chip players, highlighted by quarterback Bryce Young, one of the top bets to win the Heisman.

Players that are back are littered throughout the defensive two-deep, and the addition of former Volunteer linebacker Henry To’oTo’o doesn’t hurt. Expect this Alabama defense to return to a classic Nick Saban squad.

Miami gets DEriq King back under center along with critical pieces at wideout. The Hurricanes welcome back prominent figures on defense that will help Miami improve on its 59th defensive ranking last season.

With a new quarterback for Alabama and stout defensive players back, expect this one to hit the under.

Notre Dame at Florida State UNDER

The Seminoles welcome the Fighting Irish to Tallahassee for a prime-time kick-off on Sunday night. Notre Dame is fresh off another trip to the College Football Playoffs while the Seminoles try and quickly forget about the mess in 2020.

Ian Book is gone to the NFL, so the Fighting Irish will have a new quarterback under center for the first time since 2018. Wisconsin graduate transfer Jake Coan, who played in 25 games as a Badger, is the frontrunner for quarterback duties.

The Irish return two NFL-caliber running backs, so expect the Irish to focus on the ground game in the opener against a Florida State defense that ranked 108th in division-1. 

Many question marks are surrounding the state of the Florida State football program, and rightfully so after a 3-6 campaign last year. UCF quarterback McKenzie Milton transferred in, but it is unclear how healthy he will be at the start of the season.

Notre Dame will hold FSU to a low figure, and we just don’t see the Irish getting away from the rushing attack. Under is the play here.

Oklahoma Sooners at Tulane Green Wave OVER

The Sooners return quarterback Spencer Rattler who is a frontrunner to win the Heisman in 2021. Rattler threw for 3,031 yards in 11 games and only threw two interceptions over the last seven games.

Expect the Sooners, who return a majority of their offense in 2021, to score at will against a Green Wave defense that ranked 75th in the nation in total defense in 2020. Oklahoma has taken a step forward on defense since the hiring of Alex Grinch two seasons ago, but Tulane should still be able to muster up a couple of scores late in the game to add to the point total.

When this total comes out, be sure to jump on it early.

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