2021 Farmers Insurance Open Expert Analysis - PGA Betting

2021 Farmers Insurance Open Expert Analysis – PGA Betting

Written by on January 27, 2021

Okay MyBookie golf betting faithful, with the PGA Tour heading into Torrey Pines for this weekend’s 2021 Farmers Insurance Open, it’s time to find out which golfers look like potential winners and which ones to avoid so you can get all set to make your bets against their PGA odds.

PGA Tour – 2021 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview

Located in San Diego, California, the first two rounds of the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open will be played on the North and South courses with the final two rounds taking place solely on the South course. The North course measures 7,258 yards. This year, the 2021 US Open will also take place on the 7,765 yard, par-72 South course at Torrey Pines. All four par-5s are over 560 yards, half of the 12 par-4s are over 450 and three par-3s are over 200.

A year ago, veteran Marc Leishman earned his fifth career PGA Tour title by shooting a blistering final-round 65 to win the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open. This year, Leishman will defend his title against a relatively loaded field that features notable stars like Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Adam Scott and Jon Rahm. Rahm is currently the betting favorite with McIlroy and Xander Schauffele right behind on the odds list. The defending champ is a  middle-of-the-pack long shot at +3300.

Now, let’s take a look at some past winners, followed by a look at this year’s odds.

Farmers Insurance Open Past Winners

  • 2020 Marc Leishman
  • 2019 Justin Rose
  • 2018 Jason Day
  • 2017 Jon Rahm
  • 2016 Brandy Snedeker

Odds To Win 2021 Farmers Insurance Open

  • Jon Rahm+650
  • Rory McIlroy+800
  • Xander Schauffele +1100
  • Tony Finau +1800
  • Patrick Reed +2500
  • Harris English +2500
  • Sungjae Im +2500
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2500
  • Viktor Hovland +2800
  • Brooks Koepka +3000
  • Scottie Scheffler +3300
  • Matthew Wolff +3300
  • Marc Leishman +3300
  • Jason Day +3500
  • Si-Woo Kim +4000
  • Bubba Watson +4000
  • Adam Scott +4000
  • Ryan Palmer +5000
  • Will Zalatoris +6000
  • Cameron Davis +6000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +6000
  • Cameron Smith +6000

The Top Five Picks

  1. Brandt Snedeker

While the 40-year-old Tennessee native is ranked just 103rd in the official golf world rankings, I like Brandt Snedeker as a long sot pick because of his past success at Torrey Pines. The nine-time PGA tour winner might have claimed his last tour win in 2018 in the Wyndham Championship, but Snedeker won this event in 2021 and 2016 while finishing second in 2010 and 2013. In his 2016 victory, Snedeker played one of the greatest final rounds in tournament history, shooting a three-under 69 while playing in heavy rain and winds that gusted to 45 mph. His last 17 holes were bogey-free and I think his mastery of this course will give him a shot at the very least.

  1. Jason Day

43rd in the official golf world rankings, the 33-year-old Australian has been all over the map to start his 2020-21 campaign. Day finished T38 at the US Open in September before missing the cut at the Shriners Open in early October. Day withdrew from the CJ Cup a week later before finishing T60 at the Zozo Championship to close out October. Day then finished T7 at the Vivint Houston Open, before missing the cut at the Masters by shooting a second round 78. Day then finished an encouraging T12 at the RSM Classic in November and will make his first appearance of the 2021 calendar year at Torrey Pines. Day won this event in 2015 and 2018 while finishing T2 in 2014. Day ranks 53rd in driving distance (303.0) and 43rd in scoring average (70.3).

  1. Adam Scott

23rd in the official golf world rankings, the 40-year-old Australian has been a pillar of consistency since the start of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. In five events, Scott has one Top 25 finish, but five finishes inside the Top 45 including his T41 in the Sony Open in Hawaii two weeks ago. Scott finished second in this event in 2019 and ranks 41st in driving distance (312.1), 48th in birdie average (4.35) and 57th in scoring average (70.5) Maybe it’s e, but I think Scott has the look of a good long shot pick this coming weekend.

  1. Sungjae Im

17th in the official golf world rankings, the 22-year-old South Korean looks like a great pick to get the outright win at Torrey Pines. Im has played a whopping 11 events this season while recording five Top 25 finishes and two Top 10 finishes including a T2 finish in last year’s Masters in November. Im finished T12 at last week’s American Express while shooting three rounds in the 60s. Im is seeking his second PGA Tour win following his 2020 victory at the Honda Classic and I believe he could get it.

  1. Jon Rahm

Second in the official golf world rankings, the 26-year-old Spaniard has been fantastic since the start of the new season. In five events, Rahm has recorded five Top 25 finishes while finishing T17 in each of his last four events. Rahm comes into the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open fresh off a pair of identical T7 finishes at the Masters and the Sentry Tournament of Champions on Jan. 10. Rahm ranks 25th in driving distance (307.2) while ranking sixth in eagles per hole (60.0) and 17th in scoring average (69.9). Rahm won this event in 2017 and finished second to Marc Leishman lat year, one stroke back. Rahm is my pick t win and cash in this coming weekend.


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