Giants MLB Betting Season Prediction

Giants MLB Betting Season Prediction

The San Francisco Giants led the majors with 107 wins last season but little good that did them in the playoffs. I’d expect some major regression this season – assuming there is one. Here’s a breakdown of the Giants.

  • Odds to win World Series: +2500
  • Odds to win National League: +1100
  • Odds to win NL West: +400

MLB Analysis 2022 season

The Giants won their sixth NL West title and first since 2012 last season. The Giants sole possession of first place following their win on May 31 and held it for 121 of 122 days for the remainder of the season, beating out the Los Angeles Dodgers by 1.0 game. The Giants clinched the division on the final day. The 107 wins were a franchise record. At the beginning of the season, Fangraphs projected the Giants to finish third in the National League West with a 5.7 percent chance of making the playoffs.

SF finished the season with the best record in the Majors in games following a loss, going 38-17 (.691). As a team, the Giants were worth 27 outs above average this season according to Statcast, tied for fifth-most in the Majors with KC behind the Cardinals (53), Astros (41), Rangers (31), and Rays (29). The Giants lost a good chunk of their Opening Day roster for long stretches throughout the 2021 season. Overall, the Giants lost 1,490 games due to injury this season, 10th-most in the Majors. SF had 37 different players placed on the IL, the third-most in the Majors.

San Francisco hit 241 homers in 2021, the most in franchise history for a single-season and the most in the National League. Only the Blue Jays (262) hit more. The Giants had a MLB record 17 different players hit at least five home runs, surpassing the previous mark held by the 2019 Mariners (16).

SF also had 10 different players reach the 10-homer threshold in 2021, most by any NL team and tied for the most in the Majors with the Dodgers, Rays and Yankees. The 10 such players with 10 or more homers was also a new team franchise record with the previous best being nine different players in 2000, 1987, 1958 and 1952. SF turned in a franchise-best 17 games with four or more homers this season that also was tied for most in the Majors with Toronto.

Alas, the Giants lost in five games in the NLDS to the Dodgers. Including the five playoff games, the teams played each other a whopping 24 times overall It was the first time in the San Francisco era (1958-pres.) that the Giants will have faced the same opponent at least 24 times in a single season (incl. playoffs). The previous high was 23 games vs. Philadelphia in 1961) and 23 games apiece vs. Chicago-NL and Pittsburgh in 1960.

The Giants-Dodgers NLDS was their first ever postseason meeting and it was the first time in MLB history (regular season or playoffs) that two teams met after winning at least 105 games. The Giants are now 100-93-2 all-time in postseason play and 61-52 in the SF-era (since 1958). They are 19-20-2 (win-lost-split) in 41 postseason series, having gone 17-21 (4-5-0 win-lost-split) in eight trips to the NLDS, 24-15 (5-2-0) in seven trips to the NLCS and 57-57-2 in the World Series (8-12-2).

The team took a major hit in the offseason with future Hall of Fame catcher Buster Posey surprisingly retiring. Posey, 34, was a seven-time All-Star, including in his final season when he hit .304. He is the first catcher in MLB history to hit .300 or better in his final year. Posey joined Pete Rose as the only other player in MLB history to win Rookie of the Year (2010), an MVP (2012) and three World Series rings (2010, ’12, ’14).

Posey caught three no-hitters, tied for third-most in league history. He’s one of eight catchers ever to be selected to five All-Star games, win an MVP and win at least one World Series title. Five of the other seven are in the Hall of Fame. In addition, trade acquisition Kris Bryant is a free agent and not likely to be re-signed.

Bryant was also one of SF’s offensive bright spots during the NLDS, hitting .471 (8-for-17) with one home run and two RBI in the five-game series. Bryant reached base safely in four of the five games. The Giants were held to four runs or fewer in each of the five games during the NLDS. It was only the fourth time in 2021 (regular or postseason) that the Giants were held to four runs or fewer in five straight games.

 
 

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