Pirates vs Giants MLB Expert Betting Prediction, Odds and Money line

Pirates vs Giants MLB Expert Betting Prediction, Odds and Money line

Written by on May 22, 2024

Blake Snell won the NL Cy Young Award last season with San Diego, becoming a rare pitcher to win a Cy in the NL and American League.

He signed with San Francisco this offseason but has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball as Snell is set to return to the mound Wednesday in Pittsburgh. The Pirates are short favorites on the MLB odds.

MLB Moneyline Pirates -115, Giants +105 (total 8)
Expert Pick Pirates 4, Giants 3

San Francisco Giants Betting Odds +102

The Giants are pretty banged up overall with a handful of everyday guys on the injured list, including shortstop Nick Ahmed, catcher Patrick Bailey and outfielders, Austin Slater, Michael Conforto and Jung Hoo Lee. Over the weekend, SF transferred Lee to the 60-day IL as he will miss the remainder of the 2024 season after dislocating his left shoulder. The team’s leadoff hitter and free-agent signee will finish his first season in the majors with a .262/.310/.331 slash line while hitting two homers and driving in eight RBI across 145 plate appearances.

Near the end of Spring Training, the Giants signed reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell to a two-year, $62 million deal with an opt-out clause after this season. Last year with the Padres, Snell led the majors with a 2.25 ERA, a .180 opponents’ batting average and a .579 OPS against, and had 234 strikeouts in 180 innings, which was more than enough to qualify as one of the game’s best pitchers and earn him his second career Cy Young Award.

At the same time, Snell was also the MLB leader with 99 walks and nearly became the first pitcher since 2012 with 100-plus walks in a season. So there were some concerns by other teams and that’s why Snell’s free-agent market didn’t materialize. Those other teams were right thus far as Snell is a brutal 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA in his three starts with the Giants. The lefty will be activated off the injured list ahead of Wednesday’s game to start in Pittsburgh.

Snell was scheduled to make his fourth start of the year against the Mets on April 24, but he was scratched after landing on the 15-day injured list with an adductor issue. Snell made his first rehab start with Single-A San Jose on May 12, striking out seven over four perfect innings on 46 pitches, including an immaculate inning. Snell continued to dazzle in his next appearance with Triple-A Sacramento on May 17, striking out 10 over five no-hit innings.

He said he felt better than his first rehab start and grew stronger as the game went on — enough to throw 15 pitches in the bullpen after tossing 60 in the game. Snell was firing all cylinders last time out, with his fastball coming in at an average of 95.6 mph, just 0.3 over his season average across 2024. His curveball, too, was harder (81.1 mph, up 1.1).

Snell faced the Pirates twice last year while with San Diego and was 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA. San Francisco is 14-0 when scoring five or more runs this season, the only team in the Majors with an undefeated record when scoring five or more runs.


Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Odds -125

Two of Pittsburgh’s three games against the Giants at Oracle Park last month were decided in the last at-bat. The Pirates have played in a total of 12 games decided in the last at-bat (the Bucs are 6-6 in those games). That’s tied for the fourth-most games in all of MLB.

The Pirates are 17-1 when leading after eight innings with their only loss on April 9 against Detroit. The team ranks fifth in the National League and ninth in all of MLB with a .988 fielding percentage this month.

Pittsburgh is without starting third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes. He was placed on the injured list on May 11 with lower back inflammation but this trip to the IL could potentially be on the shorter side as Hayes has resumed all exercises. He could make it back before the end of the month if all goes well.

Ahead of Tuesday’s series opener, the Bucs recalled outfielder Ji Hwan Bae from Triple-A Indianapolis. Bae slashed .367/.479/.551 with four home runs and seven stolen bases over 27 games with Indianapolis, while playing center field, left field and second base.

It’s good-looking young rookie Jared Jones on the mound here. Jones (3-4) picked up the win over the Cubs last Thursday, allowing three runs on seven hits while striking out seven over six innings. Jones allowed hits in four of his six innings of work, including a solo homer to Ian Happ to lead off the second.

However, the right-hander still managed to log his third consecutive quality start while also posting at least seven strikeouts for the seventh time in nine outings this season. Jones produced 15 swings and misses on the night, though his seven hits allowed marked a season high. He’s won just two of his last six decisions despite carrying a 2.89 ERA on the campaign.

Jones said he had to go back to the drawing board in order to regain confidence in his slider vs. the Cubs after his last start when the results weren’t quite there. He watched film, compared that outing to those of the past and made sure he was replicating the things that made him successful when throwing in between starts. That extra work paid off.

Jones has limited opposing hitters to a .208 batting average and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his starts. His 155 swings and misses this season are the most by a pitcher in his first 9 career starts in the pitch-tracking era (2008). The previous mark was 150 by Masahiro Tanaka. Strikeouts are a huge part of Jones’s game, as he now has 63 in 53.0 innings for Pittsburgh.

On April 28, Jones pitched in San Francisco and took the loss after allowing three runs in five innings. He fanned only three and seemed to tire out quickly, with his last three fastballs in the fifth coming in at 94.4, 93.3 and 93.8 mph. That’s from a guy averaging 97.4 mph on the season. Jones allowed third-inning B2B homers by Thairo Estrada and Mike Yastrzemski.



Bet Giants at Pirates MLB Odds

When: Wednesday, 6:40 PM ET
Where: PNC Park
Pitchers (away/home): Blake Snell/Jared Jones
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/

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