When it comes to wagering on baseball, one of the first things we all tend to look at is the current form of each team. It stands to reason that a team on a hot winning streak is likely to be a very good bet against an opponent who has been struggling of late. When digging a little deeper, we start to look at how the two teams played in previous meetings, as well as their home and away records.
Another major factor in making a wager on any game is the pitching match-up set for that day’s game. At this stage of the season, we have usually seen more than enough of every pitcher to get an idea of how they might fare on any given night. This, though, is also the stage of the season when the lower-ranked teams start to roll rookies and prospects into the line-up, which makes things a good deal tougher for bettors. That is what we are getting with the Wednesday night game between the Tigers and the White Sox. It is the White Sox who are in as MLB Betting favorites, with the run total set at 11.
Tigers vs White Sox MLB Odds, Game Info & Prediction
- When: Wednesday, July 3 at 8:10 PM EST
- Where: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
- Starting Pitchers: Alexander vs. Detwiler
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: WGN 720 AM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Chicago White Sox -140 (Total 11)
Why bet on the Detroit Tigers?
No matter which way you look at it, the Detroit Tigers season, at least from a playoff standpoint, is totally over. They come into Wednesday night with a brutal 27-52 record, with all signs pointing towards the wheels totally coming off for this team. They have just 1 win in their last 10 games, with their inability to score runs very much highlighted during that run.
In 4 of their last 5 games, they have managed but a single run, with the lone exception being a 7-5 win over the Nationals. With that in mind, it is probably not that surprising to learn that they are 4-6 ATS in their last 10, although a reasonable 22-15 ATS on the road. They will have the rookie prospect, Tyler Alexander, making his first start here.
- Runs: 3.43
- Hits: 7.77
- Walks: 2.68
- Strike Outs: 9.81
- Runs: 5.30
- Hits: 9.18
- Walks: 3.27
- Strike Outs: 8.08
Why bet on the Chicago White Sox?
The White Sox are 12 wins better of than their opponent, sitting at 39-42 on the season, which leaves them 12 ½ games off the pace in the race for the AL Central. They are 5 ½ games back in the race for the final Wild Card spot in the American League, but there are a lot of teams ahead of them, all of whom have a positive run differential, whereas the White Sox are sitting at -69 right now.
The math says that they are still in the playoff picture, but a closer look at those standings certainly suggests otherwise. Chicago are 22-18 SU at home this season, but just 15-25 ATS in those games. They will have Ross Detwiler (1-0, 3.60 ERA) on the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.33
- Hits: 8.60
- Walks: 2.43
- Strike Outs: 9.38
- Runs: 5.19
- Hits: 8.88
- Walks: 3.63
- Strike Outs: 7.85
Tigers vs White Sox MLB Betting Trends
- Tigers are 21-45 against the money line against right-handed starters this season
- White Sox are 39-42 against the money line in all games this season
- White Sox are 3-2 against DETROIT this season
- 3 of 5 games in this series have gone over the total this season
- Norris is 2-0 when starting against White Sox with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.040
- His team’s record is 4-1 in these starts. The OVER is 2-3
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Tigers vs White Sox
Combined, the starting pitchers have just 5 innings of experience between them this season. My guess is that the bullpens are called on early, which could see the runs start to add up. I am on Chicago, but I really like the OVER.
Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Chicago White Sox 8