Yankees vs Blue Jays

Yankees vs Blue Jays | MLB Betting Lines

Written by on June 15, 2021

The New York Yankees continue to struggle and would fall to .500 with a loss in Buffalo against the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday night. If the Yanks don’t turn things around soon, Manager Aaron Boone is probably getting fired. Toronto is favored on the MLB odds.

How to Bet Yankees at Blue Jays MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Tuesday, 7:07 PM ET
  • Where: Sahlen Field, Buffalo
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Jordan Montgomery/Hyun-Jin Ryu
  • TV: MLB Extra Innings

Why Bet on NY Yankees? | MLB Betting Lines

First baseman and reigning MLB home run champion Luke Voit went 1-for-3 with an RBI double Sunday in his first rehab game with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. Voit also played five innings at first base in his first game since suffering a Grade 2 oblique strain in late May. He’s made a quick recovery and could be cleared to rejoin the Yankees in the next few days but probably not in time for this one.

Slugger Aaron Judge was out of the lineup Sunday due to back spasms but should be good to go Tuesday. Judge is batting .333/.425/.593 with 24 runs scored, eight homers and 17 RBIs in his past 30 games. His .333 BA in that span is tied for the fourth-highest in the AL and Judge has reached base safely in 27 of those 30 games, reaching base multiple times in 18 of those games. Judge also has reached base safely in 26 of 29 road games this season, batting .308/.410/.625.

It’s lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-1, 3.99 ERA) on the mound here. Montgomery yielded three runs off eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Twins last Tuesday. Montgomery allowed two first-inning runs but kept the Twins off the scoreboard over the next four frames. His team staked him to a one-run lead heading into the bottom of the sixth, but Montgomery yielded a two-out single followed by a game-tying double to lose the chance for a win. He threw 63 of 89 pitches for strikes, including 15 swings and misses. He tossed a respectable 31% overall CSW on all of his pitches, contributing to his six strikeouts.

Montgomery got off to a rough start this year, going 1-1 with a 4.39 ERA and a 22 percent strikeout rate over 26 2/3 innings across five starts in April. But over his last four starts he has gone 1-0 with a 2.66 ERA and a 24.7 percent strikeout rate over 23 2/3 innings of work. His 3.89 xERA is his lowest mark since 2018, and he’s also done a good job at limiting walks as his 5.6 percent walk rate ranks in the 87th percentile.

Montgomery took a no-decision at home on May 27 vs. Toronto, allowing three runs over 4.2 innings in Game 2 of a doubleheader. Toronto hits better at home (.272/.341/.483) than on the road (.244/.305/.393), and the Jays have also been heating up at the plate since he last faced them, as Toronto is slashing .274/.338/.442 and averaging 4.5 runs per game over their last 11 games.

Why Bet on Toronto? | MLB Betting Lines

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. clobbered his major league-leading 21st home run of the season on Sunday in the Blue Jays’ 18-4 blowout win over the Red Sox. Unreal. Guerrero Jr. scalded an opposite-field two-run homer off righty reliever Ryan Weber in the seventh inning. He also added an RBI single in the fourth inning as well.

At age 22, Guerrero Jr. is the 3rd youngest player ever to be the 1st player in a season to reach 20 home runs, behind Mel Ott (age 20 in 1929) and Eddie Mathews (age 21 in 1953). Sunday was Guerrero’s 11th three-hit game of the season and he’s the front-runner for the American League’s MVP Award this season and could even win the Triple Crown. Prior to this season, Toronto had never had a player lead the AL Triple Crown race beyond even two games into a season. Toronto also has three games of at least five homers this year in large part due to Guerrero. The Blue Jays lead the Majors in slugging (.441).

It’s lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu (5-4) on the mound. Ryu allowed three runs over six innings last Thursday in a loss to the White Sox. Ryu gave up only five hits, including an RBI double from José Abreu and a two-run homer to Yasmani Grandal, which ended up being enough to saddle him with a loss. He generated only seven swinging strikes and finished with a lackluster 26 percent CSW (called strikes plus whiffs).

It was a solid rebound effort for the 34-year-old lefty after he was torched for a season-high seven runs (six earned) over 5 2/3 frames against the Astros his last time out.  The veteran left-hander has given up three or fewer earned runs in five of his last six outings, however. He has a 3.34 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 62/12 K/BB ratio across 70 innings (12 starts).

The 34-year-old hasn’t topped a 90 mph fastball average in any start since April 13, his overall velocity is down to a career-low 89.3 mph, and three of the four lowest velo starts of his career have come in his last six outings. Opponents have hit his fastball harder (92.8 mph) than they have in any of his other seasons and he’s already allowed as many home runs on the fastball (six) as he did his 182.2-inning 2019 campaign.

Game Trends

  • Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
  • Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
  • Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.
  • Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings

Expert Prediction

  • Blue Jays 6, Yankees 3
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