Play-In Time: Warriors vs Kings NBA Betting Lines & Predictions

Play-In Time: Warriors vs Kings NBA Betting Lines & Predictions

The first round of the Western Conference play-in tournament concludes in the second game of a TNT doubleheader on Tuesday night as the No. 9 Sacramento Kings host the No. 10 Golden State Warriors. The winner lives for at least one more game and the loser’s season is over

2024 NBA Play-In Tournament Expert Analysis Golden State vs Sacramento | MyBookie NBA


How to Bet Warriors at Kings NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Tuesday, 10 PM ET
Where: Golden 1 Center
Stream: TNT app
NBA Odds: Warriors -3 (total 223.5)


Warriors vs Kings Season Series

The teams split four regular-season meetings but haven’t played since a 134-133 Kings win in San Francisco on Jan. 25. Domantas Sabonis made a go-ahead dunk with 22 seconds left and Harrison Barnes scored a career-high 39 points with back-to-back baskets in crunch time for the winners. Steph Curry scored 33 points with six 3-pointers on a night the teams combined to hit 41 from long range. Jonathan Kuminga added 31 points. Three of the four meetings were decided by a single point.


Why Bet on Golden State Warriors?

The Warriors (46-36) rested a few key guys Sunday but still managed to beat a bad Utah team 123-116 to win for the 10th time in 12 games. Golden State only could have moved up as high as eighth in the West if it won and both the Kings and Lakers lost.

Warriors Last 5
vs Jazz – W123-116
vs Pelicans – L114-109
@ Trail Blazers – W100-92
@ Lakers – W134-120
vs Jazz – W118-110

Coach Steve Kerr rested Draymond Green and Steph Curry, whose 74 regular-season games and 2,421 total minutes are both the two-time MVP’s most since 2016-17. The Warriors are 1/3 this season in games missing both Green and Curry.

“He could have played. If we had to play him, he would be playing,” Kerr said about Curry. “Given what we’re facing, it made no sense to put him out there today.”

Klay Thompson had 25 points in Sunday’s win and did so in just 20 minutes as he saw an uptick in usage with Curry resting. While Thompson isn’t what he used to be, he still scored 20 or more points in 31 different games this season. Andrew Wiggins had 19 points on Sunday, while Jonathan Kuminga was scoreless on 0-for-4 shooting. Kuminga started the year as a bench alternative but was Golden State’s best player on prolonged stretches, hitting the 20-point mark in 23 different appearances.

With a plus-264, rookie Brandin Podziemski led the Warriors in plus-minus this season (Curry was second with a plus-189) and second among the 2023-24 rookies (Chet Holmgren led with a plus-423). His 61 steals were the second-most on the team behind Chris Paul (70) and his total rebounds (427) led the team and was the most for a Warriors rookie in a single season since Joe Smith grabbed a team-high 717 in 1995-96. In 17 games this season Podziemski recorded at least 10 points, five rebounds and five assists, the second-most such games by a rookie this season behind Victor Wembanyama’s 23. It was the most for a Warriors rookie since Stephen Curry had 26 such games in 2009-10.

In the final 12 games of the 2023-24 regular season, the Warriors allowed 105.4 points per game, the second-fewest in the NBA in that span. In that 12-game span, Golden State has the third-best defensive rating (107.8) in the NBA.

In the 2023 NBA Playoffs these two teams faced off in the first round with the No. 6 seed Warriors upsetting the No. 3 seed Kings in seven games. Curry scored at least 30 points in five of the seven games (and the two he didn’t he had 28 and 29 points), and became the first player to score 50 points in a Game 7 in NBA history.

The last time the Warriors were in the Play-In Tournament was in 2021, when they were the No. 8 seed. Golden State fell to the No. 7 seed Lakers, 103-100, on May 18, 2021, as LeBron James recorded a triple-double (22 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists) and made the game-deciding 3-pointer with 58.2 seconds left.

Bet Golden State to Win
NBA Betting Odds Tonight

Play-In Tournament Vegas Picks NBA Odds Subject to Change SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Sacramento +3 +121 O 223.5
Golden State -3 -149 U 223.5
NBA First Half Lines | 2nd Half NBA Lines

Why Bet on Sacramento Kings?

Sacramento (46-36) snapped a three-game skid with a 121-82 blowout of Portland on Sunday to earn at least one more home game in a rematch of the 2023 first-round loss to the Warriors. The winner of this game will visit the loser of the 7 vs. 8 game between the Lakers and Pelicans for the West’s final playoff spot.

Kings Last 5
vs Trail Blazers – W121-82
vs Suns – L108-107
vs Pelicans – L135-123
@ Thunder – L112-105
@ Nets – W107-77

“It’s exciting,” Kings guard Davion Mitchell said. “We get to get a little payback for last year. We know they’re going to come in here with energy. We’re playing a home game and it’s going to be loud. It’s going to be physical, but I think we’re ready for it. I think the whole year, we’ve prepared ourselves for it, playing physical on both ends of the floor, and I think we’ll be ready.”

Domantas Sabonis had 18 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists in the finale and finished the regular season with the league lead in double-doubles (77) and triple-doubles (26). He is one of five players in NBA history to total 25 triple-doubles or more in a season. He was the seventh player in NBA history to reach 77 double-doubles and the first since Moses Malone in 1978-79.

Additionally, Sabonis tied Oscar Robertson (1960-61: 26, 29163-64: 26) for the second-most triple-doubles in a season in franchise history. Sabonis is one of three players this season with multiple 15-assist triple-doubles along with Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic.

De’Aaron Fox had 24 points in only 26 minutes as he took a seat for good at the end of the third. Fox averaged a team-high 26.6 points and led the league in steals per game (2.0) this season. Fox has notched 32 multi-steal games this season, which is first in the NBA. He has 23 games with three-plus steals this season, which is tied for the most in the NBA.

Harrison Barnes had 17 points and five rebounds on Sunday and has become more important with the injuries to guards Malik Monk and Kevin Huerter, both of whom will miss this game. Huerter was the team’s starting shooting guard and Monk is among the league’s best 6th men.

Monk was averaging 15.4 points and 5.1 assists per game, the only reserve with those averages this year. This season, he has totaled 1,110 points, 370 assists, 148 made 3s and 170 free throws made off the bench, which rank first, first, fourth and second, respectively, among reserves. Monk also sits second in points and in assists per game off the bench. In their absence, the Kings have turned to undrafted rookie guard Keon Ellis, a more defensive-minded player.

“I thought we came out and took care of business,” Kings coach Mike Brown said of Sunday’s win. “We did what we could to control the little bit of control we had over our destiny and we got it done, and now we know who we’re going to play. We’ve just got to go out and execute and try to get a win.”

Brown was an assistant coach for the Warriors for six seasons (2016-22), including three championship runs (2017, 2018, 2022).

Bet Sacramento to Win
NBA Betting Odds Tonight


Warriors vs Kings Expert Prediction

Warriors 113, Kings 111


NBA Championship Odds 2023/24

  • Boston Celtics +160
  • Denver Nuggets +300
  • Los Angeles Clippers +1000
  • Milwaukee Bucks +1200
  • Oklahoma City Thunder +1200
  • Dallas Mavericks +1200
  • Phoenix Suns +1800
  • Minnesota Timberwolves +1800
  • Philadelphia 76ers +2000
  • Los Angeles Lakers +3000
  • New York Knicks +3300
  • Miami Heat +4000
  • Cleveland Cavaliers +4500
  • Golden State Warriors +5000
  • New Orleans Pelicans +6000
  • Indiana Pacers +8000
  • Orlando Magic +15000
  • Sacramento Kings +20000
  • Chicago Bulls +100000
  • Atlanta Hawks +150000

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2023 Warriors vs Kings Playoffs in Game 2

The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors find themselves down 1-0 in their Western Conference first-round series against the Sacramento Kings and the Dubs might not have Jordan Poole for Game 2 tonight. Golden State is a short favorite on the NBA odds.


Warriors vs. Kings, Game 2 | 2023 NBA Expert Analysis


How to Bet Golden State at Sacramento NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Monday, 10 PM ET
Where: Golden 1 Center
Stream: TNT app
NBA Odds: Warriors -1 (240 points)


Why Bet on Golden State?

Golden State lost Game 1 126-123 on Saturday. Stephen Curry had 30 points and six rebounds. Curry racked up 30 points (11-20 FG, 6-14 3Pt, 2-2 FT), six rebounds and two assists in 37 minutes. Curry had a chance to send Game 1 into overtime, but his 3-pointer in the final seconds missed the mark. He still finished with a team-high 30 points on 55% shooting from the field, but turnovers were an issue as he racked up a team-high five. Klay Thompson added 21 points, six rebounds and five assists.

Andrew Wiggins closed with 17 points, four blocks and three rebounds. Wiggins returned and looked mostly like his old self after missing 25 games due to family issues. The only missing element from his game was his perimeter shot, as he made only 1-of-8 attempts from beyond the arc – including a crucial missed three late.

Warriors coach Steve Kerr didn’t mind seeing Wiggins get a corner shot with his team down one in the waning seconds. “Take that shot all day long. Left corner 3, that’s his spot,” Kerr said.

Donte DiVincenzo remained in the starting lineup, playing 20 minutes and finishing with 10 points, three rebounds and four assists. Jordan Poole’s minutes took a hit with Wiggins back in action, as he played 22 and accounted for 17 points. Poole is questionable for Monday’s game against the Kings with a sprained left ankle. He played in all 82 games for the Warriors this season including 43 starts and averaged a career-high 20.4 points.

Curry needs seven points to tie Wilt Chamberlain (3,607) for 19th on the NBA Playoffs all-time points scored list. At 18th is Elgin Baylor at 3,623 career playoff points. Curry is the Warriors franchise’s playoff leader in points, 3-pointers made and attempted, field goals made and attempted, and free throws made and attempted. Draymond Green needs two assists to tie Mark Jackson (905) for 20th on the NBA Playoffs all-time assists list.

Golden State has a 24-8 record since 2015 and a 30-10 record since 2013 after a playoff loss, the highest winning percentage during each span. The Warriors have won 18 straight playoff series against West teams. It is the longest streak to date since 1970-71, the first season of conferences.


Why Bet on Sacramento?

De’Aaron Fox was spectacular in his playoff debut for the Kings in Game 1 with 38 points, five assists and three steals. He showed no ill effects from the ankle injury that hampered him a week ago, shooting 48.1 percent from the floor and drilling four out of eight three-point attempts. The odds-on favorite to take home the first Jerry West Award, given to the league’s most clutch player, Fox scored 29 of his 38 points after halftime.

Malik Monk shot 8-of-13 from the field and 14-of-14 from the foul line to finish with 32 points. With Domantas Sabonis and Kevin Huerter combining to shoot 8-of-29 from the field, the Kings needed someone to step up to assist Monk and, to a lesser extent, Trey Lyles were the two who answered the call. Monk was in attack mode throughout the night, shooting better than 50% from the field and making all 14 of his free throws. As for Lyles, he added 16 points and six rebounds in 18 minutes off the bench.

Fox and Monk both attended Kentucky and became the 1st pair of teammates who attended the same college to each score 30 points in a playoff game since Clyde Drexler and Hakeem Olajuwon for the Rockets in 1995. They were also the 2nd duo to score 30 points with both making their playoff debut. The other was Alonzo Mourning and Kendall Gill for the 1993 Hornets.

The Kings’ offensive surge was overwhelming even by their standards. They scored 69 points in their final 45 possessions of the game, a scorching 1.53 points per game. The fans were spectacular in the Kings’ first playoff game since 2006.

“Our fans were off the charts. It was deafening in there. It was extremely loud,” Kings head coach Mike Brown told reporters after the game. “So you gotta take your hat off to them cause they brought it for us tonight and you could feel the energy.”


Game Trends

  • Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Expert Prediction

Warriors 122, Kings 120

2023 Warriors vs Kings Play-In Tournament

The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors were wildly inconsistent during the 2022-23 regular season and landed as only the sixth seed in the West. They open defense of their title on Saturday night at No. 3 seed Sacramento with the game near a pick’em on the NBA odds.


Warriors vs. Kings, Game 1 | 2023 NBA Expert Analysis


How to Bet Golden State at Sacramento NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, 8:30 PM ET
Where: Golden 1 Center
Stream: ESPN+
NBA Odds: Warriors -1 (total 238.5)


Season Series

Golden State won three of four meetings this season, including the most recent one on April 7 in Sacramento, 119-97. Klay Thompson scored 29 points and Stephen Curry added 25. Trey Lyles and Chimezie Metu each scored 15 points to lead the Kings, who rested their top three scorers with De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis and Kevin Huerter all getting the night off. These neighboring franchises had never made the playoffs in the same season previously since the Kings moved to Sacramento for the 1985-86 campaign.


Why Bet on Golden State?

The Warriors closed the regular season on a three-game winning streak, hanging 157 points on Portland in the finale on Sunday in a blowout. The Dubs set an NBA record with 55 first-quarter points. Steph Curry had 26 points and Klay Thompson, who scored 20 points, became the third player in NBA history to hit at least 300 3-pointers in a single season. He led the NBA with 301 makes.

Curry ended the season with averages of 29.4 points, 6.3 assists and 6.1 rebounds per game while shooting 42.7 percent from deep, his best mark since the 2018-19 campaign. Jordan Poole had 21 points and finished averaging 20.4 points and 4.5 assists. He was a rare player in the NBA to play all 82 games.

The Warriors had 19 games this season with 20-or-more 3-pointers made, the most such games in a single season in NBA history. The Warriors broke a tie with the 2018-19 Rockets (18). The team scored 349 points off of offensive rebounds grabbed by Kevon Looney’s league-leading 271 offensive rebounds. The 349 points are the most in the NBA this season off of offensive rebounds. The second-most points is 320 from Sacramento Kings center Domantas Sabonis’ 246 offensive rebounds (ranked fourth in the NBA).

Golden State averaged 118.9 ppg this season, second-highest scoring average in the NBA behind Sacramento (120.7 ppg). The Warriors also ranked second in 3-point field goal percentage (.385 3P%).

Golden State has 18 consecutive playoff series wins against Western Conference teams. The last time the Warriors lost a playoff series against a Western Conference team was in 2014 when they fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 4-3 in the first-round series. It is the longest streak to date since 1970-71, the first season of conferences. Golden State has had 18 consecutive playoff series in which it has won at least one road game, an NBA record streak that began with a road victory in Denver in the First Round of the 2013 NBA Playoffs.


Why Bet on Sacramento?

Sacramento is in the playoffs for the first time since 2006, ending not just the longest playoff drought in the NBA but in all four of the major US pro leagues. Kings Head Coach Mike Brown was an assistant coach for the Warriors for six seasons (2016-22), including three championship runs (2017, 2018, 2022).

De’Aaron Fox has scored 20+ points in 9 of his last 15 games, including 25 points or more in 6 of those outings, averaging 23.7 points and 5.6 assists per game on 50.8% shooting in that span. Fox was one of the league’s top scorers this season in crunch time as the Kings guard is averaging 5.0 points per game in those instances, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Fox also ranks first in field goals made (72) while shooting 52.9% from the floor, which ranks sixth among players with a minimum of 40 field goals attempted in those instances. In the fourth quarter this season, Fox has totaled 547 points (203-402 FG), ranking first in the NBA in total Q4 points.

Domantas Sabonis ranks first in double-doubles (65), second in rebounds per game (12.3) and first in total rebounds while sitting second in triple-doubles (14). The seventh-year center-forward is averaging 19.1 points, 12.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game as he is on pace to become the fourth player in NBA history to notch averages of at least 18.6 points, 12.2 rebounds and 7.0 assists.

Kevin Huerter has been impactful for the Kings this season, averaging 15.2 points per game while shooting 40.1% from behind the 3-point line. Among players who have attempted at least 250 3-point field goals this season, Huerter ranks 26th in 3-point field goal percentage as the fifth-year guard has made five or more 3s in 11 games. Malik Monk is currently averaging 13.6 points and 3.9 assists per game off the bench.

The Kings’ 118.6 offensive rating is the highest in NBA history, in part because the pick-and-roll offense featuring Sabonis and Fox has been spectacular. The Kings outscore opponents by 10.0 points per 100 possessions in the clutch — fourth best in the NBA.


Game Trends

  • Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

Expert Prediction

Warriors 120, Kings 118



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