It’s always a little daunting to look at the upcoming weekend schedule in college football and try to figure out what games you should wager on. I find that it’s always best to take some time to narrow down those options to a few good plays that you really like. That is how I go about things every week, and what we have here are a selection of my favorite O/U picks for Week 4 of the college football season.
If you don’t regularly play the point total, we will also have ATS and SU picks out there for you, too, so be sure to be on the lookout for those. For now, let’s get to my O/U College Football Week 4 betting picks.
2019 College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks
Southern Miss Eagles at Alabama Crimson Tide (OVER 61)
Every year, coach Nick Saban is questioned about the schedule that his team plays in the lead up to the start of their SEC conference games. While Saban consistently defends the weak schedule, he does have a point in that it must be tough finding teams looking to get pasted by the Crimson Tide.
We should have another lopsided win for Alabama this weekend, with the Southern Miss Eagles preparing to be served up on a platter. The Crimson Tide have seen the OVER hit in each of their last 2 games, scoring a combined 109 points on the process. They should do enough to get the OVER again this week.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss’ last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Alabama’s last 10 games played in September
Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (UNDER 48 ½)
This is a match-up that has very much gone the way of the Gators in recent years, with Florida winning 9 of the last 10. While you would certainly expect the Gators to win again in their own building, there is definitely something to consider in terms of the point total.
Feleipe Franks, the starting QB for Florida, went down with a brutal season-ending injury in Florida’s win last week, which makes you wonder just how effective their offense will be this weekend. 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two have gone beyond the point total, but I think this one goes UNDER.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee’s last 8 games played in week 4
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (UNDER 39 ½)
If you are a fan of wide-open football and lots of points hitting the board, this game may well prove to be one to avoid. On the face of it, an average of over 39 PPG looks decent enough, but the Spartans scored 51 in an easy outing against Western Michigan. Take that out of the equation and you have a team managing just 17 PPG.
Northwestern are not much better, so not a lot of offense likely here. In fact, each of the last 7 games that Michigan State has played against Big Ten opposition have gone UNDER.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Michigan State’s last 11 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns (OVER 74 ½)
This game is likely to be the polar opposite of the last game on our list here, as these are two teams that certainly know their way into the endzone. Lat’s week’s 40-point outing against Tulsa was the Cowboys lowest offensive output of the season, which should tell you a little something about what they can do when the offense has the football.
For Texas, all 3 of their games this season have gone OVER, which should be the case this weekend, as I expect this thing to turn into a shootout from the opening whistle.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas’ last 6 games against Oklahoma State
