Super Bowl Odds After Big NFL Free Agency Moves

Super Bowl Odds After Big NFL Free Agency Moves

Written by on March 23, 2020

Super Bowl OddsWhile the NFL’s free agency signing period continues, the movement football fans and betting enthusiasts saw this past week have already had their impact of the odds to win the 2021 Super Bowl next February.

Super Bowl Odds After Big NFL Free Agency Moves

Whether for good or bad, a handful of teams have seen their Super Bowl LV Odds altered for several reasons, including the fact that Tom Brady will be suiting up for a new team for the first time in two decades. Whether for good – or bad – here’s a look at how a handful of teams have seen their odds either improve or recede.

Super Bowl LV Odds – March 23rd

2021 Super Bowl Odds Opening Odds (1/13/20) Current Odds (3/17/20)
Kansas City Chiefs 7/1 9/2 (+450)
Baltimore Ravens 8/1 5/1
San Francisco 49ers 8/1 10/1
New Orleans Saints 10/1 14/1
New England Patriots 12/1 30/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 12/1 30/1
Dallas Cowboys 16/1 14/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1 20/1
Green Bay Packers 20/1 20/1
Seattle Seahawks 20/1 20/1
Los Angeles Rams 25/1 40/1
Chicago Bears 30/1 40/1
Cleveland Browns 30/1 40/1
Los Angeles Chargers 30/1 40/1
Indianapolis Colts 30/1 20/1
Houston Texans 30/1 80/1
Tennessee Titans 30/1 60/1
Minnesota Vikings 30/1 30/1
Buffalo Bills 40/1 30/1
Atlanta Falcons 40/1 60/1
Las Vegas Raiders 40/1 40/1
Denver Broncos 60/1 50/1
New York Jets 60/1 60/1
Tampa Bay Bucs 60/1 14/1
Arizona Cardinals 80/1 40/1
New York Giants 80/1 50/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 80/1 300/1
Detroit Lions 80/1 100/1
Carolina Panthers 100/1 100/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1 300/1
Miami Dolphins 100/1 60/1
Washington Redskins 100/1 200/1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Super Bowl Odds From 60/1 to 14/1

Well, duh. After signing six-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady, the Bucs jumped their Super Bowl Odds all the way up from a 60/1 pick to a 14/1 favorite to win Super Bowl 55 next season. Brady joins a team with two Pro Bowl wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and he’ll have some clearly capable tight ends in O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate. Tampa Bay also has an improving defense that finished first against the run last season. Tampa Bay also kept linebacker kevin Monter and defensive end Jaso Pierre-Paul. With Brady joining widely-respected head coach Bruce Arians, the sky’s the limit for the new-look Buccaneers moving forward and at 14-1, Tampa Bay is worthy of a futures odds pick even though I don’t think they’ll be the best team in the NFC in 2020.

Arizona Cardinals

  • Super Bowl Odds From 80/1 to 40/1

The Cardinals are the next biggest winners of free agency after suckering Houston into trading superstar wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is exchange for fading former running back David Johnson. Now, Hopkins joins future Hall of Fame wideout Larry Fitzgerald and the talented Christian Kirk to give young quarterback Kyler Murray one of the top receiving trios in all of football. Arizona also kept running back Kenyan Drake after his monster season in 2019 while adding veteran defensive tackle Jordan Phillips after he racked up 9.5 sacks for Buffalo this past season. After a year mostly full of success as a first-time NFL head coach, the future looks bright for Cards coach Kliff Kingsbury in the desert.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Super Bowl Odds From 30/1 to 20/1

Not only did the Colts go out and sign former Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers, but they also made sure he’d have plenty of protection by veteran tackle Anthony Castonzo to a two-year $33 million deal while re-signing offensive lineman Le’Raven Clark. Rivers gets one year and $25 million to show he’s still capable of leading a team into Super Bowl contention.

NY Giants

  • Super Bowl Odds From 80/1 to 50/1

I have no idea what new York’s dds have improved seeing as how the G-Men didn’t really make any major free agent additions, with their best free agent signing being that of linebackers Blake Martinez and David Mayo to identical three-year deals.


  • Super Bowl Odds From 100/1 to 60/1

The Dolphins looks like a franchise that has a great plan for getting back to respectability in the very near future – particularly if they can land the right quarterback in the upcoming NFL Draft. Miami added superstar cornerback Byron Jones by making him the highest paid cornerback in the league. The Fins also added veteran tackle Ereck Flowers, bruising running back Jordan Howard, edge rushers Shaq Lawson and Emmanuel Ogbah and do-it-all linebacker Kyle Van Noy.

One Step Forward, Two Steps…

  • New England 12 to 30

Yeah, when you don’t show your six-time Super Bowl winning quarterback the love he deserves, this is what happens! With Tom Brady out the door, we’re going to find out quickly whether it was Bill Belichick’s or Brady’s genius that was the real driving force behind New England’s two-decades of domination.


  • Super Bowl Odds From 12 to 30

Despite the fact that Brady bolted for the NFC and the Steelers will have Ben Roethlisberger back on the field in 2020, NFL bettors saw the Steelers’ Super Bowl odds take a hit by going from a 12/1 pick to 30/1. Pittsburgh has added veteran tight end Eric Ebron and traded for defensive tackle Chris Wormley, but they haven’t been big players in free agency at all while several other AFC rivals made a series of what looks like roster-improving moves.


  • Super Bowl Odds From 30/1 to 80/1

When the 2019 regular season ended, I was calling for the Texans to ax underachieving head coach Bill O’Brien. Instead, the Texans named his as their new GM and he promptly blew it in a big way by trading Pro Bowl wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins for aging running back David Johnson. Maybe it’s me, but I’m more sure than ever. It’s time for O’Brien to go before he ruins all of Deshaun Watson’s chances to experience some real postseason success.


  • Super Bowl Odds From 80 to 100

Let me just repeat what I wrote the day Detroit named former Patriots defensive coordinator Matt Patricia as their head coach. The Lions blew it in a big way. Then again, Detroit did manage to sign veteran Chase Daniel to be their backup in 2020…ooh!


  • Super Bowl Odds From 100 to 200

I don’t know why Washington’s Super Bowl odds took a hit recently, but I completely and utterly disagree. The Skins made a great hire by naming former Panthers head coach Ron Rivera as their new leading man. Rivera then added veteran linebacker Thomas Davis and veteran cornerback Kendall Fuller to help shore up a unit that should be stingy right away in 2020 based on Rivera’s past successes in Carolina.

The Brady Effect

The San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds went from an 8/1 pick to a 10/1 selection while New Orleans saw their futures odds move from 10/1 to 14/1. While both teams will likely be among the very best Super Bowl contenders in 2020, both franchises saw their respective NFL odds move simply because Tom Brady joined the NFC.