Updated 2020 NFL MVP Odds & Expert Analysis

Updated 2020 NFL MVP Odds & Expert Analysis

Written by on November 4, 2020

The NFL Regular Season made it to the halfway point. It looks like clear sailing from here on out, which is great news for everyone, not just football fans. Even though the race for the Super Bowl has heated up with undefeated Pittsburgh going from a +2000 underdog to one of the favorites at +550, the race to win the league MVP hasn’t changed much except for the chalk attracting more and more action. Check out an update and their odds to win the NFL MPV Regular Season Award!  

Updated Regular Season NFL MVP: Brady Moves Up

2020 NFL MVP Announcement

  • When: TBD
  • Where:  TBD

2020 NFL MVP Odds

  • Russell Wilson -110
  • Aaron Rodgers +450
  • Patrick Mahomes +450
  • Tom Brady +1200
  • Kyler Murray +1600
  • Lamar Jackson +1600

After the first half of the season, Russell Wilson looks like a lock

One of the top preseason MVP choices has played as if he’s fighting for a Super Bowl each and every week. Russell Wilson has dominated opposing defenses. He’s thrown 26 touchdowns to 6 picks, is completing over 71% of his passes, and has thrown for 2,151 yards. 

How good has Russell been at this point? So good that he’s on pace to break Peyton Manning’s single season TD passes record of 55. That’s pretty awesome. The only thing that could stand in Russell’s way is an injury or a serious depreciation in touchdowns and yards thrown.

Injuries happen. So, that’s always a concern. The rest of the schedule seemingly favors the Hawks, though. On the schedule are such powerhouse squads like the New York Jets, Washington Commanders, New York Giants, and the “it’s hard to believe they’re this bad” Philadelphia Eagles.

Remember, if the Seahawks trail in any game, or are in shootouts, that favors Russell’s chances to win the MVP. So, the -110 odds, if MyBookie still offers those odds, makes Wilson an overlay.

Brady making moves

Is anyone surprised that the player surging up MVP leaderboards is Tom Brady? Terrific Tom has thrown for 20 touchdowns to just 4 picks. He’s completing 66.2% of his passes and he’s thrown for 2,189 yards. 

Don’t expect +1200 on TB when MyBookie posts odds, though. Tom should be second or third choice at around +500 to +600. Even though Brady hasn’t thrown as many touchdowns as Russell, we’ve got eight games left. Things could break Tom’s way, which makes him a great player to back if you’re looking to beat the chalk.

Can Rodgers and Mahomes get back into the conversation?

Both Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers have fallen off some. In Patrick’s case, it’s not fair. Mahomes has tossed a single interception while throwing for 2,315 yards and 21 touchdowns. 

Those stats make him a contender for the award, but the KC Chiefs are too good in every phase of the game. That makes it hard for MVP voters to back Mahomes. Not only that, but most expect Patrick to dominate. Again, not his fault he’s so good, but since Mahomes has already won the MVP, he won’t win again unless Russell implodes.

Aaron Rodgers was a contender up until the last few weeks. He hasn’t thrown for 300 yards in 3 straight while his TD to INT ratio is 7-to-2 in 3 games. There’s a chance AR gets back to his usual self. For that to happen, he must have a good game versus the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday night.

Wilson and Seattle take on Buffalo, Patrick Mahomes leads the Chiefs against Carolina and Tom Brady and the Bucs look for revenge versus Drew Brees and the Saints. Keep those Week 9 games on your radar.  

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