We are basically at the midway point of the NHL season, give or take a game or two, so it is the perfect time to look back to see which teams have been worth wagering on, and which should be avoided like the plague.
For the most part, we are going to put the focus on the teams that have failed to deliver the goods from a betting standpoint, but we will also start each category by taking a very quick look at the teams who have been a good bet.
NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis
While there are certainly plenty of other things to consider when betting on hockey, the overall trends for each team over the course of the season to this point certainly cannot be ignored.
We are going to look at the straight up, spread, and totals trends here, so let’s go ahead and dive right in.
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— NHL (@NHL) January 2, 2025
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NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis: Moneyline (Straight Up)
Look at the standings and get a quick handle on the best and worst teams in the league. Sitting at the top, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Winnipeg Jets, both of whom have won 27 games. The Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs are right behind them with 26 wins.
Like we said, though, the goal here is to look at the teams that have been the most disappointing, so let’s get to the bottom 5 teams in terms of straight up wins this season. The San Jose Sharks have played 2 more games than the other 2 team with 13 wins this season, so that makes them the worst. The Chicago Blackhawks and Nashville Predators also have just 13 wins, so it does not seem like a good idea to throw a lot of money in their direction.
We can break this down a little further by looking at home and road wins, as that also has to be a factor when wagering. The team that has the worst home record to this point is the Utah Hockey Club, who have managed just 5 wins on home ice. Given that they are an expansion team, their record is not totally surprising. The Vancouver Canucks are a little surprising at home with just 7 wins, the same number as the New York Islanders. It just goes to show that while home ice advantage is a thing, it is not something that can be totally relied upon.
^NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis provided by MyBookie
NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis: Puckline (Spread)
Unlike other sports, the spread in hockey remains pretty much consistent, as it is generally always set at 1 ½. In short, the favorite has to win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while the underdog has to win or lose by a goal, which happens on a pretty regular basis. The Anaheim Ducks ae not having a particularly good season, but they have been fantastic against the spread going 27-12 ATS. The bad news is that it means they have probably lost a lot of close games. The Vegas Golden Knights are next best, so they are good in the moneyline and against the spread.
Moving down to the worst teams against the spread, there are some surprises to be found at the bottom of the heap. The Boston Bruins are at the very bottom, going 13-29 ATS to this point in the season. The New York Rangers are 13-26 ATS, while the Edmonton Oilers, who were in the Stanley Cup Final last season, are also wallowing near the bottom of the pack with a record of 15-24 ATS. Both the Bruins and Oilers are currently in playoff spots, so this is more a matter of them winning close games.
There is a very clear worst team against the spread in home games, with that record going to the New York Rangers, who are 4-14 in their own building. There must be something in the water in that part of the nation, as the New York Islanders have also struggled at home, going 6-12 ATS. The Minnesota Wild has also been poor on home ice, going 6-13 ATS, so once again, we are seeing that some teams are a better bet away from home than in their own backyard.
In road games, we have another clear bottom team, with the Dallas Stars a very poor spread bet when playing on the road. They are a pathetic 4-12 ATS away from the cozy confines of home ice. They are far and away the worst in that regard, with the Boston Bruins at 6-15 ATS away from also close to the bottom. The Columbus Blue Jackets round out the bottom 3 with a 7-12 ATS record away from home.
^NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis: Goal Total
In hockey, the total is usually set between 5 and 6 ½ goals, and while we are not going to break it down by each individual total, there is still plenty to learn from the overall totals of each team. If you are looking for a lot of goals, the Columbus Blue Jackets are the team to watch, as they are 28-11-1 OU this season. They are followed by the Pittsburgh Penguins at 23-16-2 and the Philadelphia Flyers at 22-17-1.
It’s tough to say that a team is bad here, so let’s look at it from the perspective of a bettor who likes to regularly play the OVER. In that situation, the Anaheim Ducks are the team to avoid, as they are 12-25-2 O/U to this point in the season. You then have the Ottawa Senators (13-19-6), the LA Kings (13-23-2), and the Dallas Stars (13-19-6) sitting among the bottom teams in terms of failing to hit the OVER.
In home games, the Anaheim Ducks are again at the bottom in terms of failing to go OVER the goal total with a record of 6-14-1. The Dallas Stars are also there at 7-12-3. It is all the same teams who are at the bottom in road games, with 6 teams (Anaheim, Ottawa, LA, Dallas, Nashville, and New Jersey) in this category seeing the total go OVER just 6 times on the road.
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— NHL (@NHL) January 7, 2025
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