We are basically at the midway point of the NHL season, give or take a game or two, so it is the perfect time to look back and evaluate which teams have been worth wagering on and which ones should be avoided entirely.
For the most part, the focus is on teams that have failed to deliver from a betting standpoint, while still highlighting a few teams that have consistently provided value.
The key takeaway is simple: not all winning teams are profitable, and not all losing teams are bad bets.
NHL Regular Season Betting Analysis Overview
While there are certainly plenty of other factors to consider when betting on hockey, overall team trends across the season cannot be ignored. Understanding performance across moneyline, puckline, and totals markets provides a foundational edge.
Key Insight
Concept:
Season-long betting trends reveal profitability beyond simple win/loss records.
Why it matters:
Smart bettors focus on value and consistency, not just standings.
NHL Betting Analysis: Moneyline (Straight Up)
Looking at standings gives a quick snapshot of the best and worst teams. The Vegas Golden Knights and Winnipeg Jets lead with 27 wins, followed closely by the Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs with 26 wins.
However, the goal here is identifying poor betting teams. The San Jose Sharks, Chicago Blackhawks, and Nashville Predators sit at the bottom with just 13 wins, making them unreliable betting options.
Home and road splits add another layer. The Utah Hockey Club has just 5 home wins, while the Vancouver Canucks and New York Islanders have only 7 each, showing that home ice advantage is not always dependable.
Moneyline Insight
Top Teams:
Golden Knights, Jets, Capitals, Maple Leafs
Bottom Teams:
Sharks, Blackhawks, Predators
Moneyline Betting Reliability
| Category | Teams |
|---|---|
| Best Records | Vegas, Winnipeg, Washington, Toronto |
| Worst Records | San Jose, Chicago, Nashville |
| Worst Home Teams | Utah, Vancouver, Islanders |
NHL Betting Analysis: Puckline (Spread)
The puckline is typically set at 1.5 goals. Favorites must win by 2+, while underdogs can lose by 1 and still cover.
The Anaheim Ducks have been excellent ATS at 27-12, despite poor overall performance. The Vegas Golden Knights also perform well in both moneyline and spread markets.
At the bottom, the Boston Bruins (13-29 ATS), New York Rangers (13-26 ATS), and Edmonton Oilers (15-24 ATS) have struggled, often winning but failing to cover.
Home struggles are clear with the Rangers (4-14 ATS), Islanders (6-12 ATS), and Wild (6-13 ATS). On the road, the Dallas Stars are worst at 4-12 ATS, followed by Bruins and Blue Jackets.
Spread Betting Insight
Best ATS Team:
Anaheim Ducks (27-12 ATS)
Worst ATS Team:
Boston Bruins (13-29 ATS)
ATS Performance
| Category | Teams |
|---|---|
| Best ATS | Anaheim Ducks, Vegas Golden Knights |
| Worst ATS | Boston Bruins, NY Rangers, Edmonton Oilers |
| Worst Home ATS | Rangers, Islanders, Wild |
| Worst Road ATS | Dallas Stars, Bruins, Blue Jackets |
NHL Betting Analysis: Goal Totals
Totals are usually set between 5 and 6.5 goals. Some teams consistently trend toward high-scoring games, while others do not.
The Columbus Blue Jackets lead OVER trends at 28-11-1, followed by Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers.
For bettors favoring the OVER, the Anaheim Ducks (12-25-2) are a team to avoid. Ottawa Senators, LA Kings, and Dallas Stars also trend toward unders.
At home and on the road, the same teams consistently fail to hit the OVER, reinforcing predictable scoring patterns.
Totals Insight
Best OVER Teams:
Columbus, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia
Worst OVER Teams:
Anaheim, Ottawa, LA, Dallas
Goal Scoring Trends
| Category | Teams |
|---|---|
| Top OVER Teams | Columbus, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia |
| Worst OVER Teams | Anaheim, Ottawa, LA, Dallas |
FAQ
What is the most important NHL betting market?
Each market offers value, but combining moneyline, puckline, and totals analysis provides the strongest edge.
Are bad teams always bad bets?
No. Some losing teams perform well against the spread, offering hidden value.
Does home ice advantage matter?
It helps, but current trends show it cannot be relied on consistently.
Summary
- Winning teams are not always profitable
- Spread trends often reveal hidden value
- Totals betting depends heavily on team style
- Home vs road performance matters
Start Betting Smarter on NHL Games
Use these insights to improve your betting strategy and explore more opportunities in NHL betting markets.
Join NowFinal Thoughts
The NHL season offers constant opportunities, but success comes from understanding trends rather than chasing wins. Focus on value, identify patterns, and adjust based on performance metrics.
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About the Author
Since 2008, D.S. Williamson has written about sports and sports handicapping. His philosophy is value-based, meaning stats and other handicapping factors are only worth something in comparison to wagering odds. He believes money management and making value-based wagers is the single more important factor that distinguishes successful sports bettors from non-successful sports bettors.
About the Author
Henry Watkins is a Sports Writer at MyBookie. Originally from Scotland and currently residing in Metro Atlanta with his wife Penny, Henry covers a range of topics, including competitive and professional sports as well as sports business. In addition to his sports writing, he is also an author of horror fiction, with works such as Karaoke Night, Crueller, and Off The Grid.
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