2021 Spanish Super Cup Final Expert Analysis

2021 Spanish Super Cup Final Expert Analysis

Written by on January 15, 2021

In the Spanish Super Cup semifinals, Barcelona escaped Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao got past favored Real Madrid. On Sunday, the final two left standing hit the pitch for the right to lift the 2021 Spanish Super Cup trophy. Once MyBookie sets odds on the Super Cup Final, we should expect Barcelona to be a huge favorite on both the moneyline and the handicap. Does Barca have what it takes to bet Bilbao? Or will the dog bark on Sunday? Check out analysis and a free pick for Barcelona Vs Bilbao so you can make your bets against their Spain Super Cup odds.

Spanish Super Cup Final: Barca a Huge Favorite over Bilbao

2021 Spanish Super Cup Final: Athletic Bilbao Vs Barcelona

  • When: Sunday, Jan. 17 at 3:00 pm ET
  • Where: Estadio de La Cartuja, Seville, Spain
  • TV/Streaming: ESPN 2 / ESPN Deportes / ESPN+

Why bet on Athletic Bilbao against Barcelona?

Bilbao is a decent squad. They’ve won 2-of-3. One of the wins, the one that mattered, was a nice 2-1 victory against Real Madrid. If Bilbao can upset Real, why couldn’t they upset Barca? Also, the loss happened versus Barcelona in a 3-2 contest. Bilbao showed in that match, it happened on January 6, that they can score goals versus Barca. AB won’t step onto the Estadio de La Cartuja grass intimated, that’s for sure. 

Athletic Bilbao Last 5

  • W – 2-1 vs. Real Madrid
  • L – 2-3 vs. Barcelona
  • W – 1-0 vs. Elche
  • L – 0-1 vs. Real Sociedad
  • D – 1-1 vs. Villareal

Atheltic Bilbao predicted starting lineup

  • Simon
  • Martinez
  • Nunez
  • Balenziaga
  • Capa
  • Garcia
  • Vencedor
  • Munian
  • de Marcos
  • Williams
  • Garcia

Why bet on Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao?

Barcelona is on fire. Messi, Griezmann, and their mates have won their last four. The 4-0 victory against Granada was breathtaking while Barca also showed they can beat their Sunday rivals. Not only that, but since the New Year, Barcelona has played more together than they ever did in 2020. If Barcelona plays as a team on January 17, they should prevail. 

Barcelona Last 5

  • W – 1-1 vs. Real Sociedad
  • W – 4-0 vs. Granada
  • W – 3-2 vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • W – 1-0 vs. Huesca
  • D – 1-1 vs. Eibar

Barcelona predicted starting lineup

  • ter Stegen
  • Umtiti
  • Mingueza
  • Alba
  • Dest
  • Busquets
  • Pedri
  • de Jong
  • Messi
  • Griezmann
  • Dembele

Athletic Bilbao Vs Barcelona Final Betting Analysis

Teams like Barcelona are always over bet. Oddsmakers assign ridiculous handicaps and underlay moneyline odds. We can’t say for sure that will happen, which is why instead of recommending a play on the moneyline, handicap, or draw, we’ll tell you what we think happens in Sunday’s match.

Barcelona should get Messi back. He had to skip the match against Sociedad. Even if Messi returns, Athletic Bilbao will put up a fight. In the last head-to-head, Bilbao lost by a single goal. The score implies that the likely underdog’s defense broke down.

Therefore, if Athletic Bilbao concentrates more on defense, they’ll have a shot to win via penalty kicks. That’s our prediction, that Bilbao pulls out a victory with penalty kicks. It doesn’t mean you should put money on the draw.

Wait for odds to come out. If we’re wrong and Barcelona offers fair odds, make sure Messi is okay to play, and then consider backing Barca. If Bilbao offers overlay odds, consider backing Bilbao to win in regulation. If the draw is the overlay, go with the draw. 

No matter what you do, handicap based on Messi’s health and listed odds. We think the game ends in a draw and then Bilbao wins on penalty kicks. But don’t take our word for it.   

Soccer Free Pick: Athletic Bilbao wins on penalty kicks

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