Mastering the Odds: UEFA Europa League Semifinal First Leg Betting Analysis

Maximize Your Profits: Betting on the Europa League Semifinal First Leg

On Tuesday and Wednesday, the Champions League had their first leg semifinals. As the tension mounts and anticipation reaches its peak for the upcoming matches, we are reaching the final moments to be thinking about betting on UEFA Europa League, MyBookie has the betting analysis and free picks for Marseille versus Atalanta and Leverkusen against Roma.

It’s the Europa League’s turn to showcase their final four of the season. In one semifinal, Ligue 1 team Marseille is a +142 slight favorite over Serie A squad Atalanta. In the other, Bundesliga champ Bayer Leverkusen is the road favorite over Serie A squad AS Roma.

Which teams get the edge in the leg 1 matches? Let’s find out…

 

UEFA Europa League Semifinals: Leverkusen Travels to Roma and Marseille Hosts Atalanta | MyBookie US Football Previews for the Top Games

2024 Major League Soccer | 53rd season of Europe’s secondary club football tournament
Semifinal 1st Leg: Thursday, May 2nd, 2024

 

Marseille vs Atalanta

Europa League Odds: Marseille +142; Atalanta +184

Thursday, May 2nd at 3:00 pm ET
Orange Velodrome, Marseille, France

The home team is in decent form. Marseille has lost a single match in their last 5, versus Benfica in a Europa League quarterfinals match on April 11. Since then, Marseille has knocked out Benfica, drawn against Toulouse and Nice, and beaten Lens 2-1.

Atalanta is in better form than the home team. The Serie A squad has beaten Monza, Fiorentina, and Empoli in their last 3 matches. The win against Fiorentina impressed big time because Atalanta dropped 4 goals while giving up 1 goal.

Although Atalanta is playing better than Marseille, this happens on Marseille’s pitch. Not only that, but the home team is easily the best soccer club Atalanta has faced in their last 3. Marseille wins 1-0.

Marseille vs Atalanta
Europa League Pick: Marseille | Betting Europa League Lines MyBookie Betting Lines for the Matches


 

AS Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen

Europa League Odds: AS Roma +146; Bayer Leverkusen +106

Thursday, May 2nd at 3:00 pm ET
Olimpic, Roma, Italy

Bayer Leverkusen didn’t just win the German Bundesliga. Leverkusen won the Bundesliga title with 5 games to spare.

That’s how dominant the road team has been. It’s also the reason that even though this happens on Roma’s pitch, Leverkusen is the favorite.

Roma, though, is no slouch. The home side has won 3-of-5 with the lone loss coming against Bologna, which, surprisingly, is in fourth place on the Serie A Standings. If the season ended today, Bologna would be a Champions League qualifier, which tells us Roma’s loss came against a quality club.

Leverkusen has drawn in 3 straight, which makes sense because they want to be fresh to take on Roma on Thursday. Still, 3 straight draws is not the form you want heading into a Europa League Semifinal.

If we add the fact that Roma is the home side, it’s clear that Leverkusen may not be sharp enough for the regulation victory. Roma may not win, but they will force a draw.

AS Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen
Europa League Pick: Draw | Betting Europa League Lines MyBookie Betting Lines for the Matches


 

2024 UEFA Europa League Semifinal Schedule

Date Time Round Home   Away
Thursday, May 2 3:00 p.m. 1st leg AS Roma vs. Bayer Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 3:00 p.m. 1st leg Marseille vs. Atalanta

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UEFA Europa League Semifinal: Betting the Second Leg
 

Previous Betting News

The 2023 UEFA Europa League Semifinals concludes on Thursday, May 18. Heading into the second legs, no team has an edge in either semifinal. AS Roma has a 1-goal lead over Bayer Leverkusen, but on Thursday, Roma must travel to Germany for the second leg. Juventus and Sevilla are tied 1-1.

Check out Europa League betting lines, analysis, and free picks for Bayer Leverkusen vs. AS Roma and Sevilla versus Juventus.

UEFA Europa League Semifinals: Betting the Second Leg Games with MyBookie

Europa League Semifinals: 2nd Leg: April 20, 2023

Bayer Leverkusen vs. AS Roma

When: Thursday, May 18 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany
Handicap Odds: AS Roma +0.5 -131 / Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 +103
Money Line Odds: Bayer Leverkusen +108 / AS Roma +270 / Draw +234
Goals Total Odds: O 2.5 +114 / U 2.5 -145

Why AS Roma is a Good Bet versus Bayer Leverkusen

Roma had an edge in the first match. But we shouldn’t look past how Roma beat Leverkusen 1-0. The road team in this only had possession 38% of the time. Yet, Roma managed 12 total shots and 5 shots on goal.

Why Bayer Leverkusen is a Good Bet versus AS Roma

Bayer dominated possession in the first leg. Leverkusen controlled the ball 62% of the time. The German Bundesliga squad took 10 shots but only 2 were on goal. No doubt, if Leverkusen manages to take better shots, they should at least get a goal versus Roma.

Final Betting Analysis: AS Roma vs. Bayer Leverkusen

Roma versus Leverkusen should be terrific. Leverkusen has the edge, though. The Bundesliga squad should have a strategy that allows them to take better shots and counter Roma’s ability to counter. It won’t be easy, but Leverkusen will at least force an aggregate draw and could beat Roma by 2 before the end of regulation.

UEFA Europa League Semifinal Leg 2 Pick: Bayer Leverkusen +108 | Bet Bayer Leverkusen vs. AS Roma Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Why Sevilla is a good bet versus Juventus

Sevilla is in decent form. Not only did the LaLiga squad force a draw against Juve in Turin in the first leg, but Sevilla followed up the draw with a fantastic 3-0 victory over Real Valladolid. This happens on Sevilla’s pitch, which is another reason to consider them the better play.

Why Juventus is a Good Bet versus Sevilla

Juventus drew against Sevilla in the first leg, and this happens on Sevilla’s grass, but that doesn’t mean Juve isn’t the better pick. Juventus, at least on paper, is the better team. Juve should have the right strategy to get it done on Thursday.

Final Betting Analysis: Juventus vs. Sevilla

Juventus versus Sevilla should be a terrific match. Although Juve let an opportunity to get an aggregate lead slip from their grasps in the first leg, we shouldn’t write off the Massimiliano Allegri coached squad.

Allegri will have the right strategy to get Juve to the winner’s circle. Also, the odds make the Serie A squad an overlay.

UEFA Europa League Semifinal Leg 2 Pick: Juventus +200 | Bet Juventus vs. Sevilla Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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UEFA Europa League Semifinal: Betting the First Leg Games
 

Previous Betting News

The 2023 UEFA Europa League Semifinals kick off on Thursday with first leg matches. Serie A team AS Roma takes on Bundesliga squad Bayer Leverkusen in one match. Then in the other, La Liga team Sevilla throws down against Serie A power Juventus.

Which teams get it done in the first leg? Which team gets it done?

Check out Europa League betting lines, analysis, and free picks for the matches happening on Thursday, May 11.

UEFA Europa League Semifinals: Betting the First Leg Games with MyBookie

Europa League Quarterfinals: 1st Leg: April 13 / 2nd Leg: April 20

AS Roma vs. Bayer Leverkusen

When: Thursday, May 11 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Olimpico Stadium, Roma, Italy
Handicap Odds: AS Roma -0.5 +107 / Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 -136
Money Line Odds: Bayer Leverkusen +260 / AS Roma +112 / Draw +234
Goals Total Odds: O 2.5 +111 / U 2.5 -141

Why AS Roma is a Good Bet versus Bayer Leverkusen

Roma isn’t in great form, but the draws and losses make sense. There’s no shame in losing 0-2 against Internazionale, a Champions League contender.

Not only that, but AS Roma has no reason to go all out versus Inter when their lone shot at a championship is to win the Europa League.

In their last Europa League match, Roma dusted Feyenoord Rotterdam 4-1. Expect that Roma side to show up on Thursday.

Why Bayer Leverkusen is a good bet versus AS Roma

In their last meaningful match versus a top Bundesliga rival, Leverkusen prevailed over Leipzig 2-0. The draw against Union Berlin and FC Cologne make sense because like Roma, Leverkusen won’t waste effort in meaningless matches.

Bayer has not shot of winning the Bundesliga. So saving players for this has been the goal in the last couple of games.

Final Betting Analysis: AS Roma vs. Bayer Leverkusen

Roma has the edge because this happens on their pitch. But in the second half of the season, Leverkusen has played great soccer.

Bayer not only has the win over Leipzig but they’ve also got a win over Bayern in their last 10 matches. Leverkusen can turn it on at will. They will do so on Thursday for the upset money line victory.

UEFA Europa League Semifinal Leg 1 Pick: Bayer Leverkusen +260 | Bet Manchester United vs. Sevilla Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Juventus vs. Sevilla

When: Thursday, May 11 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Allianz Stadium, Torino, Italy
Handicap Odds: Juventus -0.5 -131 / Sevilla +0.5 +103
Money Line Odds: Sevilla +370 / Juventus -125 / Draw +260
Goals Total Odds: O 2.5 +115 / U 2.5 -145

Why Sevilla is a Good Bet versus Juventus

Sevilla is playing fantastic soccer. The road team in this shows 4 victories and a single loss. The

Also, Sevilla bounced back after the loss with a 3-2 victory over Espanyol in their last. The La Liga squad can surprise.

Why Juventus is a Good Bet versus Sevilla

This happens on Juve’s pitch. So Juventus has an edge. In addition, Juve is in good form. The losses to Napoli and Internazionale were by a single goal.

Juve drew with Bologna before winning their last couple of matches. The home team is playing terrific soccer.

Final Betting Analysis: Juventus vs. Sevilla

We can make a case for Juventus or Sevilla. But it’s tough to go against Juve because this happens on their pitch.

Also, although Sevilla did bounce back from the loss to Girona by beating Espanyol, it wasn’t easy. Espanyol scored 2 goals, which is a sign Sevilla’s defense isn’t playing well. Juve is the pick.

UEFA Europa League Semifinal Leg 1 Pick: Juventus -125 | Bet Juventus vs. Sevilla Today
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