FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 3 Betting Analysis

FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 3 Betting Analysis

CONMENBOL FIFA World Cup Qualifying matches take place on Thursday when Colombia battles Uruguay, Paraguay travels to Argentina, Boliva hosts favorite Ecuador, Peru takes on Chile, and massive favorite Brazil welcomes Venezuela.

Which South American squads take the next step towards a spot at the 2026 World Cup?

Check out World Cup odds, analysis, and free picks for the four CONMEBOL matches taking place on Thursday, October 12.

 

2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 3 Betting Analysis | MyBookie World Cup Preview

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CONMEBOL Qualifiers Matchday 3: Thursday, October 12th, 2023

 

Colombia vs Uruguay

CONMEBOL Odds: Colombia +113 vs Uruguay +255
Thursday, October 12th at 4:30 pm ET
Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla, Colombia

Both teams are playing great soccer. Colombia has the edge because this match happens on their pitch.

Not only that, but Colombia has won 4-of-5 with a draw. Granted, 3 of the wins were in international friendly matches. However, 1 of the victories came via a 2-0 score against Germany.

Uruguay lost their last 2-1 to Ecuador. The match happened in Ecuador. The Ecuadorians are tough to beat on their grass. Before losing to Ecuador, Uruguay had won 4 straight, including beating Chile 3-1 on Sep 8. Uruguay is worth a look because of the overlay odds. But a better play is on the draw, which has happened in the last 2 head-to-head matches.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Draw | Bet Colombia vs Uruguay
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Argentina vs Paraguay

CONMEBOL Odds: Argentina -1.5 -121 vs Paraguay +1.5 -103
Thursday, October 12th at 7:00 pm ET
Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina

The defending World Cup champs haven’t missed a beat. Since winning the WC in December last year, the Albiceleste has won 6 straight.

Lionel Messi trained with Argentina a couple of days ago in preparation for this match. Argentina is taking every international contest seriously. To make matters more difficult for Paraguay, the road team in this isn’t playing well.

Messi may not step onto the pitch in this. Even if Lionel doesn’t play, Argentina covers the handicap spread. The Argentinians get it done.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Argentina -1.5 | Bet Argentina vs Paraguay
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Bolivia vs Ecuador

CONMEBOL Odds: Bolivia +285 vs Ecuador +102
Thursday, October 12th at 7:00 pm ET
Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

The Ecuadorians have become one of the better soccer nations in CONMENBOL. On Thursday, Ecuador’s rise should continue.

Bolivia has lost 4-of-5 and 3 straight. In their first 2 FIFA WC Qualifying matches, Brazil blasted Bolivia 5-1. Then against Argentina, Bolivia lost 3-0.

Ecuador’s only loss in their last 5 came versus Argentina in Argentina. Also, the loss was 1-0. At +102 odds, Ecuador is an overlay.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Ecuador | Bet Bolivia vs Ecuador
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Chile vs Peru

CONMEBOL Odds: Chile -128 vs Peru +380
Thursday, October 12th at 8:00 pm ET
Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago, Chile

The road dog in this has 2 loses and a draw in their last 3. Home squad Chile shows 2 draws and a loss in their last 3.

Chile’s loss came versus Uruguay on the road. For sure, the Chileans can bounce back in this with a quality win. But the odds imply Peru has no chance, which isn’t the case.

Peru lost to Brazil 1-0 in their last, which tells us Peru is playing great soccer. So although Chile is a decent play, backing Peru at the odds to score the upset makes sense.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Peru | Bet Chile vs Peru
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Brazil vs Venezuela

CONMEBOL Odds: Brazil -2.5 +113 vs Venezuela +2.5 -144
Thursday, October 12th at 8:30pm ET
Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá, Brazil

Venezuela is playing well enough to keep any loss to within 2 goals. The Venezuelans have won 3-of-4 with a 1-goal loss to Colombia.

Brazil has also won 3-of-4. Brazil’s loss came in an international friendly versus Senegal. If we throw out the loss, Brazil offers decent odds to win this by at least 3 goals. Brazil beat Bolivia 5-1 on Sep 8. We should expect a similar score in Thursday’s match versus Venezuela.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Brazil -2.5 | Bet Brazil vs Venezuela
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

2023 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifying Matchday 3 Schedule


Date Time Matchday Home   Away
Thursday, October 12 4:30 p.m. Matchday 3 Colombia vs. Uruguay
Thursday, October 12 7:00 p.m. Matchday 3 Argentina vs. Paraguay
Thursday, October 12 7:00 p.m. Matchday 3 Bolivia vs. Ecuador
Thursday, October 12 8:00 p.m. Matchday 3 Chile vs. Peru
Thursday, October 12 8:30 p.m. Matchday 3 Brazil vs. Venezuela

Bet FIFA World Cup Odds

 
2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualification Process
Confederation Direct slots Play-off slots Teams started Start date End date
CONMEBOL 6 1 10 7 September 2023 September 2025
 

2026 World Cup Odds to Win | Odds to Win World Cup

Top Teams Odds
France +540
Brazil +560
England +660
Argentina +820
Spain +900
Germany +1000
Portugal +1275
Netherlands +1600
Italy +2100
Belgium +3200

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Team Odds
Uruguay +3200
USA +3300
Mexico +5000
Denmark +6400
Croatia +6400
Morocco +6600
Norway +6800
Japan +8000
Switzerland +8500
Serbia +10000
Canada +10000
Chile +11000
Colombia +14000
Sweden +15000
Ecuador +15000
Senegal +15000
Egypt +16000
Republic of Korea +16000
Ghana +17000
Ukraine +19000
Algeria +19000
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Team Odds
Czech Republic +20000
Poland +20000
Turkiye +20000
Nigeria +20000
Austria +24000
Slovakia +24000
Paraguay +24000
Tunisia +26000
Cameroon +26000
Georgia +30000
Slovenia +30000
Israel +32000
Peru +32000
Wales +34000
Scotland +36000
Romania +38000
Hungary +44000
Australia +46000
Greece +48000
Bolivia +48000
Venezuela +48000
Iran +48000
Team Odds
South Africa +50000
China +50000
Panama +75000
Northern Ireland +90000
Ireland +90000
Honduras +90000
Costa Rica +90000
New Zealand +90000
Saudi Arabia +90000
Qatar +90000
Bulgaria +95000
Finland +95000
Iceland +95000
Albania +95000
Jamaica +100000
DR Congo +100000
United Arab Emirates +100000
Bahrain +100000
Palestine +100000
Kazakhstan +200000
Bangladesh +250000
San Marino +300000

 

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