In terms of qualifying for the World Cup, CONMEBOL might be one of the most forgiving paths to the tournament.
The group is made up of 10 South American nations, with the top 6 gaining qualification, while the 7th place finisher goes into a playoff.
My CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying Analysis
We are 7 games into the qualifying stage and the battle for those 6 automatic spots is raging on.
Tuesday night will see us head into Matchday 8, with a full slate of games featuring all 10 teams.
Who will rise and who will fall? Let’s take a closer look at all 5 CONMEBOL qualifying games.
^Colombia +174 vs Argentina +178
This looks to me to be the best game on the Tuesday schedule. Argentina sits at the top of the group with 18 points from their 7 games.
They have scored 11 and surrendered just twice. Colombia is in 3rd with 13 points, and while they have been solid defensively, goals have been hard to come by.
Colombia has scored 7 times in qualifying. This matchup tends to be tight and defensive, so let’s follow that trend.
CONMEBOL Soccer Pick: Colombia 1-1 Argentina |
Chile -370 vs Bolivia +980
As it stands at the moment, both of these teams are below the cut line, so this is an absolutely massive game.
Chile has just 5 points through 7 games, scoring just 3 times while surrendering 10 goals.
Bolivia is a point ahead of their opponent, and while they have found the net 8 times, they have been defensively porous, surrendering 14 goals.
I think we will get goals here, and I like Chile for the home win.
CONMEBOL Soccer Pick: Chile 3-2 Bolivia |
Ecuador -244 vs Peru +760
It is Ecuador currently clinging to the final automatic qualification spot, picking up 8 points from their opening 7 games.
Scoring 4 and giving up 5 during that stretch, Ecuador tends to keep things tight.
Peru is in dire need of a result if they are to stay in the hunt for a top 6 spot, as they are currently sitting bottom of the group with just 3 points.
Don’t expect anything in the way of offense here, as I like Ecuador to edge it.
CONMEBOL Soccer Pick: Ecuador 1-0 Peru |
Venezuela +214 vs Uruguay +142
If you are looking for a game likely to produce goals, then this might be the way to go.
Uruguay has been fun to watch in this group, scoring 13 times and surrendering 5 in their 7 games, including a 4-1 win over their opponent this evening.
Venezuela is down in the #6 spot right now and will be hoping for better at home than they delivered in their thrashing during their visit to Uruguay, but I’m not so sure if they get what they want.
CONMEBOL Soccer Pick: Venezuela 1-3 Uruguay |
Paraguay +530 vs Brazil -175
If the qualifying was to end today, Venezuela would have clinched the playoff spot in 7th, but they will be looking to climb higher.
They have scored 6 times and given up 7 in qualifying to this point. Brazil has not looked like the team we expect thus far, but they are coming off a win that moved them up to #4 in the group.
I think they win again here, but I also think it won’t be entirely convincing.
CONMEBOL Soccer Pick: Paraguay 0-1 Brazil |
^¡Los goles de la Fecha 7 de las #EliminatoriasSudamericanas! ⚽️
— CONMEBOL.com (@CONMEBOL) September 7, 2024
Os gols da Rodada 7 das #EliminatoriasSudamericanas! 🍿
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