The 2023 French Open is still months away, but that doesn’t mean it’s not worth looking into. Most sportsbooks have betting open year-round for the four Grand Slams, and the French Open at Roland Garros is an event like no other. It’s the only clay-court Grand Slam and has been dominated by one man for the better part of the 21st century: Rafael Nadal.
A 14-time champion, Nadal defeated Norwegian Casper Ruud in last year’s finals. The veteran Spaniard has been so dominant at Roland Garros that only four other players – Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Stan Wawrinka – have won the French Open since 2005.
However, as the calendar turns to 2023, Nadal is surprisingly not the betting favorite to win this year’s French Open. Let’s have a look at our top 3 players to win the Roland Garros and a sleeper pick so you can bet on the French Open Odds.
Early 2023 French Open Betting Predictions and Odd Favorites | Tennis Lines
The Top 3 Favorites to Win the 2023 Roland Garros
- Carlos Alcaraz (+175)
Carlos Alcaraz, the 2022 US Open and current world No. 1, has a share of the shortest odds to win the 2023 French Open. Expected to take the reigns from Nadal as the next great Spanish tennis player, Alcaraz had a breakthrough season in 2022 and became the youngest player to finish the year as the top-ranked player in the ATP Rankings. He’s still just 19.
For reference, Alcaraz was the sixth seed in the 2022 French Open and reached the quarter-finals before losing a four-set match to German Alexander Zverev. He did, however, miss the ATP Finals and Davis Cup finals due to injury but is apparently 100 percent ahead of the Australian Open.
- Novak Djokovic (+175)
Djokovic is only a two-time French Open champion (he has 21 Grand Slam victories), but that’s largely due to the dominance of Nadal. He won the event in 2021 with Nadal absent from the draw and in 2016, when Nadal was forced to withdraw in the third round due to a wrist injury. Judging by the past, if Nadal is healthy, there’s little to no chance Djokovic wins at Roland Garros.
Yet, there’s added motivation this year for the Serbian star. He’s chasing his record-tying 22nd Grand Slam at the Australian Open, which could set up a scenario in which he and Nadal are looking to win their 23rd Grand Slam at Roland Garros.
- Rafael Nadal (+250)
What else is there to say about Nadal at Roland Garros? Nobody has dominated any tournament quite like he has at the French Open. It’s also been about four or five tournaments in a row now in which he’s silenced critics who believe he’s due to experience a drop in play. Nadal at +250 is perhaps the best-value bet for the 2023 French Open.
Sleeper Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime +4000
You might be surprised to learn that clay is one of Felix Auger-Aliassime’s best surfaces. The Canadian has won 65.88 percent of his matches on clay (112-58) since 2015 and has gone toe-to-toe with Nadal at Roland Garros. In fact, he was the only player to take Nadal to five sets at last year’s French Open and just the third player to ever accomplish that feat.
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