2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis

2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis

Earlier this week, UEFA had their group draw for the 2023-2024 season. Most groups boast two favorites and a couple of underdogs to move to the knockout stage. Group F, though, is loaded. PSG, Dortmund, Newcastle, and AC Milan will battle in Group F.

Which teams will finish first or second in their group and head to the Round of 16?

Check out an analysis and our picks. Then when UEFA Champions League odds drop, handicap, and make your wagers.


2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis | MyBookie Soccer Preview

2023–24 UEFA Champions League | 69th season of Europe’s premier club football tournament
Competition Proper: September 19th, 2023 – June 1st, 2024


2024 UEFA Champions League Draw Analysis

Champions League Group A:
Bayern Munich, Manchester United, Copenhagen, Galatasaray

Harry Kane has dominated. Bayern’s new striker is showing why Tottenham was so hesitant to part ways. Bayern wins Group A.

Man United should finish second. Rasmus Hojlund, United’s news striker, should be ready before the first group stage match. So the Red Devils will beat Copenhagen and Galatasaray.

Group A Winner: Bayern
Group A Second: Manchester United  

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Champions League Group B:
Sevilla, Arsenal, PSV Eindhoven, Lens

Europa League winner Sevilla has not had a good start to the LaLiga season. Sevilla will be a disappointment at the Champions League level.

Lens isn’t good enough. PSV Eindhoven can upset Arsenal and win the group. But the Gunners have become one of the Premier’s top clubs. Arsenal wins and PSV finishes second.

Group B Winner: Arsenal
Group B Second: PSV Eindhoven

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Champions League Group C:
Napoli, Real Madrid, Braga, Union Berlin

Braga and Union Berlin are terrific soccer teams. Both would skate to the knockout stage if they didn’t have to face Napoli and Real Madrid.

Real is the greatest Champions League squad in history. So El Blanco stamps their ticket with a group crown. As long as Victor Osimhen plays for Napoli, and right now he does, Napoli will get by Braga and Berlin.

Group C Winner: Real Madrid
Group C Second: Napoli

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Champions League Group D:
Benfica, Internazionale, Salzburg, Real Sociedad

Inter made it to last season’s UEFA Champions League Final. The team is good enough to at least win Group D and make it to the Round of 16.

Benfica and Real Sociedad should fight for second place. Salzburg is solid, but they play in a lower level league and don’t have the players to upset either Benfica or Sociedad. Of the two, the Portuguese Liga squad, Benfica, gets the nod.

Group D Winner: Internazionale  
Group D Second: Benfica

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Champions League Group E:
Feyenoord, Atletico Madrid, Celtic, Lazio

On paper, it’s Atletico and Lazio, right? Not so fast. Atletico should be a lock to win the group, but Lazio will have a tough time beating Celtic.

Celtic is a solid franchsie and Lazio doesn’t appear to be as good this season as they were last. Atletico to win and Celtic to finish second.

Group E Winner: Atletico  
Group E Second: Celtic

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Champions League Group F:
Paris Saint-Germain, Dortmund, AC Milan, Newcastle

On paper, the Group of Death is well, the Group of Death. Ah, but Paris won’t be focused. Neymar is gone. Messi is gone and Mbappe wants out.
Dortmund is solid. So we can’t discount their chances. AC Milan, though, is a different squad with Christian Pulisic. The American has 2 goals in 2 games from 4 shots.

Newcastle will upset Dortmund and finish second. The Premier League squad has become one of the better teams in the EPL.

Group F Winner: AC Milan  
Group F Second: Newcastle

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Champions League Group H:
Barcelona, Porto, Shakhtar Donetsk, Antwerp 

Barca and Porto have a free pass. Shakhtar Donetsk and Antwerp fought hard to qualify for he Champions League, but they landed in the same group as two of the better UEFA squads.

Barca routinely wins Spanish LaLiga. Porto routinely wins Portuguese Liga. Barcelona finishes first and Porto finishes second.

Group H Winner: Barcelona
Group H Second: Porto

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Schedule for 2023–24 UEFA Champions League Qualifying Phase and Play-off Round

Round Draw date First Leg Second Leg
Preliminary round 13 June 2023 27 June 2023 (semi-finals) 30 June 2023 (final)
First qualifying round 20 June 2023 11–12 July 2023 18–19 July 2023
Second qualifying round 21 June 2023 25–26 July 2023 1–2 August 2023
Third qualifying round 24 July 2023 8–9 & 15 August 2023 15 & 19 August 2023
Play-off round 7 August 2023 22–23 August 2023 29–30 August 2023
Group Stage
Matchday 1 31 August 2023 19–20 September 2023
Matchday 2 31 August 2023 3–4 October 2023
Matchday 3 31 August 2023 24–25 October 2023
Matchday 4 31 August 2023 7–8 November 2023
Matchday 5 31 August 2023 28–29 November 2023
Matchday 6 31 August 2023 12–13 December 2023
Knockout Phase
Round of 16 18 December 2023 13–14 & 20–21 February 2024 5–6 & 12–13 March 2024
Quarter-finals 15 March 2024 9–10 April 2024 16–17 April 2024
Semi-finals 15 March 2024 30 April – 1 May 2024 7–8 May 2024
Final 15 March 2024 1 June 2024 at Wembley Stadium, London


2024 UEFA Champions League Odds to Win

Team Odds
Manchester City +191
Bayern Munich +400
Real Madrid +550
Arsenal FC +570
Paris Saint-Germain +1225
FC Barcelona +1600
Inter Milano +1675
Atletico Madrid +2500

Bet 2024 UEFA Champions League Odds

Team Odds
Borussia Dortmund +2600
SSC Napoli +5000
Real Sociedad San Sebastian +6600
RB Leipzig +6800
FC Porto +10000
PSV Eindhoven +14000
Lazio Rome +16000
FC Copenhagen +48000



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