NCAAF Week 9 Lines and Analysis: Top Loser Picks

NCAAF Week 9 Lines and Analysis: Top Loser Picks

It’s hard to believe that we’re just a few weeks away from the end of the college football season. Week 8 didn’t bring the excitement and the crazy results that Week 7 did. We’ll see some important games this week, as teams are headed down the home stretch of the conference season. After looking over this week’s slate of games, we’ve found a couple of games that caught our NCAAF Betting eye. Instead of giving you the winners, we’re going to give you our “sure losers” for the week. Here is the preview for those games. 

Who Will Be the Big Losers In Week 9 of the 2022 College Football Season?

USC Trojans @ Arizona Wildcats (-15)

Both of these teams are coming off of a bye in Week 8. USC lost their first game of the year in Week 7 when they lost at Utah. Arizona is coming off of a loss to Washington. Both of these teams will be looking to get back on the winning track, as the Wildcats will host USC on Saturday.

The Trojans know that they can’t afford to lose another game in the conference. After Oregon beat UCLA on Saturday, USC, UCLA, and Utah all have one loss, while Oregon is undefeated. It’s going to be an interesting race to get to the Pac-12 title game. Arizona knows that they’re now playing the spoiler, and they will cherish that role.

USC has one of the best offenses in college football. When Lincoln Riley left Oklahoma for USC, he brought Caleb Williams with him. Riley and Williams enticed numerous other transfers to come to USC, and they have built an offensive powerhouse. While the defensive side of the ball has had its issues, there’s not a defense in the Pac-12 that can slow the USC offense down.

As for Arizona, the 3-4 Wildcats gave up nearly 600 yards of offense in their loss to Washington. Arizona likes to throw the ball, so their passing game could give USC some issues. We’re sure that they’ll throw for quite a few yards, as we see them having to play catch-up throughout the game.

Unfortunately for Arizona, we’re going to make them one of our “sure losers.” USC will have no issues scoring against Arizona’s porous defense, and even though the Wildcats will be able to put up some points, they won’t be able to keep up. Arizona wins this one by at least three touchdowns, and easily covers the spread, thus making Arizona a “sure loser.”

Kentucky Wildcats @ Tennessee Volunteers (-13.5)

This will be a huge SEC battle. Tennessee is undefeated in the division, and is trying to stay that way in anticipation of their meeting with the Georgia Bulldogs. Kentucky had a good start to the season, but has since tapered out some, and they’re now looking to play spoiler.

Tennessee has one of the best offenses in college football, as they’re averaging nearly 48 points per game. Their average margin of victory is nearly 25 points per game. While Kentucky has had a nice season, we just feel like this is Tennessee’s year.

With this game being at Tennessee, we’re making Kentucky one of our “sure losers” for the week. Kentucky won’t be able to keep up with Hendon Hooker and the Vols. Kentucky ends up getting beat by at least 21 points.

We knew it was going to be an interesting 2022 NASCAR season as the Cup Series switched over to the Next Gen car, and that indeed was the case as 19 different drivers won a race this past year. Some people love the parity, while others think that the new setup favors being lucky rather than good. 

The 2022 NASCAR postseason was interesting, with the first four races being won by non-playoff drivers. Eventually, the cream did rise to the top, with Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, and 2021 Cup Series champion Kyle Larson winning races down the stretch. 

Even with all the parity during the regular season, few people could argue that Joey Logano was an undeserving 2022 Cup Series champion. Logano had three wins during the regular NASCAR season and two in the playoffs, but now the question becomes, can he repeat in 2023? Let’s take a look at this analysis for your NASCAR bets.

What to expect in the upcoming 2023 NASCAR season?

2023 Team Changes 

There has always been some swapping of teams in the offseason in NASCAR, but it’s almost getting to be like an MLB trade deadline the way drivers are realigned for the 2023 season.

The biggest move is Kyle Gibbs going from Joe Gibbs Racing, where he’s been since 2008, and heading to Richard Childress Racing. This is the equivalent of Tom Brady leaving the Patriots. 

Other big team changes for 2023 include Tyler Reddick leaving RCR for 23XI. This isn’t a shock because Busch was coming over, and Reddick had announced his departure in 2024, but Kurt Busch’s retirement from a full-time driver pushed up the timeline. 

It’s not just ‘trades’ that are going to make 2023 interesting, but also full-time debuts. The two biggest names moving to the Cup Series full-time are Ty Gibbs, who replaces Busch at his grandfather’s JGR club, and Noah Gragson, coming off one of the more successful Xfinity regular seasons in recent memory to drive full-time for Petty GMS. A.J. Allmendinger is also returning to the Cup Series full-time for the first time since 2018.

Who Will Win the 2023 Cup Series?  

It will be interesting to see if the parity of 19 different drivers winning last season calms down in year two of the Next Gen car or if that’s just how NASCAR is going to be moving forward. Logano (+650) showed a mastery of the new racing format, so he’s obviously a favorite to become the first back-to-back winner since Jimmie Johnson in 2009/2010. 

The co-favorites to win the 2023 Cup Series are Chase Elliott and his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Kyle Larson at +600. Elliott made the final four this season, and he and Larson won the Cup Series in 2020 and 2021, respectively. 

Other contenders for some 2023 NASCAR Cup Series future bets are Christopher Bell (+800), who was a championship four finalist after getting hot with two wins in the playoffs. Ryan Blaney (+850) will be a hot pick as well, even though he failed to pick up a win last season. 

Maybe 2023 is the year that some old dogs return to top form, too, as Denny Hamlin (+1000) had two wins in 2022 but another ten top-five finishes. Maybe a change of scenery gets Busch (+2000) back on track. 

Buckle up; the Daytona 500 is right around the corner.

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