Fiesta Bowl Betting Update: Michigan Wolverines Favorites to Win

Fiesta Bowl Betting Update: Michigan Wolverines Favorites to Win

Michigan steps onto the field at State Farm Stadium in Glendale hoping to secure a victory over Big 12 runner-up TCU and stamp their ticket to the National Championship. Michigan opened a -10 chalk but has since fallen to -7.5. Is that a sign the Wolverines are due for a letdown? Or will the Maize & Blue find a way to make it to the title contest while also covering? Keep reading for College Football Bowl Odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Fiesta Bowl.

Michigan Comes In as the Betting Favorite, Can They Win the Fiesta Bowl?

2022 Fiesta Bowl Betting Lines: Michigan Wolverines vs TCU Horned Frogs Match Info

Why bet on Michigan versus TCU?

For the second straight time, Jim Harbaugh’s crew went undefeated during the regular season. The Wolverines not only blasted rival Ohio State but also beat up Purdue in the Big Ten title match.

Michigan’s defense ranked third in total yards allowed and fifth in points allowed per game. On offense, quarterback JJ McCarthy solidified his starter’s role. Michigan is loaded and is the deserving favorite to beat a lucky TCU side. 

Michigan Wolverines Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 453.5
  • Passing Yards: 210.5
  • Rushing Yards: 243.0
  • Points Scored: 40.1
  • Turnovers: 3

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 277.1
  • Passing Yards: 191.8
  • Rushing Yards: 85.2
  • Points Scored: 13.4
  • Takeaways: 12

Why bet on Michigan versus TCU?

Two words and one name, Max Duggan. The Texas Christian signal-caller is an unbelievable player. Duggan is magic on the field.

He’ll do whatever it takes to lead the TCU Horned Frogs to a win. Max will run the ball, pass it, find the open receiver, whatever is required. It helps Duggan’s game that he can throw to the top wideout in the nation, Kendre Miller.

TCU Horned Frogs Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 473.0
  • Passing Yards: 273.0
  • Rushing Yards: 200.0
  • Points Scored: 40.3
  • Turnovers: 6

TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 384.6
  • Passing Yards: 235.6
  • Rushing Yards: 149.0
  • Points Scored: 25.0
  • Takeaways: 14

Wolverines vs Horned Frogs Relevant Trends

  • Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games
  • TCU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games
  • Under is 4-1 in the Horned Frogs’ last 5 games
  • Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games
  • Michigan is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win
  • Over is 14-4 in the Wolverines’ last 18 games at a neutral site 

TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines Final Betting Prediction

Michigan dominated Ohio State, which is one of the reasons so many people believe the Wolverines easily dispatch of the Horned Frogs. But a quick review of Michigan’s contest against their top rivals paints a different picture.

The Buckeyes tried to shut down the Wolverines’ offense. TCU knows they don’t have a great defense. So the Frogs will play bend but don’t break and hope to hold the Maize & Blue to field goals.

Michigan’s defense is great, but it allowed a one-dimensional Ohio State team to pass for 349 yards. Purdue quarterback Aidan O’Connell thew for 366 yards. Duggan should have a lot of success getting the ball to Miller. 

The falling spread line suggests the above analysis is correct. TCU may not win this game, but they’re going to make it desperately close. The Frogs are the play against the spread. 

NCAAF Fiesta Bowl Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +7.5

 
 

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