Music City Bowl Betting Update: Iowa Vs Kentucky Odds & Prediction

Music City Bowl Betting Update: Iowa Vs Kentucky Odds & Prediction

Two teams that go hit hard by the transfer portal step onto the field at Nissan Stadium on Saturday to take part in the 2022 Music City Bowl. Neither Iowa nor Kentucky will start the quarterback that played the most snaps during the regular season. Which backups will get it done on New Year’s Eve? See below for odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Music City Bowl.

TransPerfect Music City Bowl Iowa Is The Favorite, Can They Win The Bowl?

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Kentucky Wildcats Lines and Match Info | Music City Bowl

When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
TV / Streaming: ABC/ESPN+
ATS Odds: Iowa -2.5
Money line Odds: Kentucky +113 / Iowa -139
Over/Under Odds: 31

Why bet on Kentucky versus Iowa?

Quarterback Will Levis has first round NFL Draft pick potential, which is why he and his family said it was best if he sat this one out. With Levis on the bench, Kentucky is likely to play a pair of quarterbacks.

Kaiya Sheron has thrown for 187 yards, 2 TDs, and a pick. Destin Wade is also freshman. Both will benefit from Vince Marrow’s play-calling. Marrow said that the Wildcats “will score points” in this game, which means he’s going to open the playbook for the backup QBs.

Kentucky Wildcats Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 336.3
• Passing Yards: 216.1
• Rushing Yards: 120.3
• Points Scored: 22.1
• Turnovers: 6

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 320.2
• Passing Yards: 173.4
• Rushing Yards: 146.8
• Points Scored: 19.1
• Takeaways: 10

Why bet on Iowa versus Kentucky?

Iowa’s starting quarterback during the season, Spencer Petras, won’t play due to an injury. But the Hawkeyes got some great news because tight-end Sam LaPorta will play.

LaPorta is one of the best tight-ends in the nation. He was on the shelf for most of this season, which means he’ll be fired up to lead the Hawkeyes to a victory.

Iowa Hawkeyes Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 255.2
• Passing Yards: 158.2
• Rushing Yards: 97.0
• Points Scored: 17.4
• Turnovers: 10

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 277.9
• Passing Yards: 173.8
• Rushing Yards: 104.1
• Points Scored: 14.4
• Takeaways: 13

Wildcats vs. Hawkeyes Relevant Trends

• Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games
• Iowa is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
• Under is 5-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 6 versus a team with a winning record
• Wildcats are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games
• Kentucky is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass
• Under is 6-0 in the Wildcats’ last 6 games on grass

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Kentucky Wildcats Final Betting Prediction

LaPorta is a receiver, which means for the great tight-end to be effective somebody has to throw him the ball. In that sense, LaPorta won’t see many targets.

Petras wasn’t an effective quarterback. So even if he played, Iowa might be at a disadvantage. But not only will the Hawkeyes miss Petras, but backup Alex Padilla hit the transfer portal.

Iowa is down to it’s third and fourth string signal-callers. Neither is as talented as Sheron or Wade. Not only that, but we must believe Marrow calls a game that goes after the Iowa secondary.

Hawkeyes safety Kaevon Merriweather has opted out. Merriweather is the best safety in the nation. Iowa’s defense should still play well, but it might struggle versus Marrow’s more electric play-calling. The Wildcats moneyline is the play to make.

NCAAF Music City Bowl Pick: Kentucky +113


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