NCAAF 2021 #16 NC State Wolfpack at #12 Wake Forest Betting Analysis

NCAAF 2021 #16 NC State Wolfpack at #12 Wake Forest Betting Analysis

Two ACC rivals clash on Saturday night when the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, fresh off their first loss of the season, hosts the NC State Wolfpack. The Deacons and the Wolfpack both rank in the College Football Playoff Top 25. The winner of Saturday’s game will be in the driver’s seat to take the Atlantic Division and play in the ACC Championship. Will the Demon Deacons bounce back? Or will NC State get it done? Keep reading for NCAA Football odds, analysis, and a free pick for NC State at Wake Forest. 

NCAA Football – #16 NC State Wolfpack vs #12 Wake Forest Demon Deacons

NCAAF Week 10: NC State at Wake Forest Game Odds & Info

Why bet on #16 NC State versus #12 Wake Forest?

After a surprising 30-31 loss to Miami, NC State has picked it up. The Wolfpack head to Winston-Salem on a 2-game winning streak, 28-13 versus Louisville and 28-14 against Florida State. NC State’s defense should cause Wake Forest problems. The Wolfpack allow just 321.6 total yards per game. Opponents average less than 17 points each contest versus NC State’s D. 

NC State Wolfpack Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 415.4
  • Passing Yards: 278.1
  • Rushing Yards: 137.3
  • Points Scored: 31.1
  • Turnovers: 2

NC State Wolfpack Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 321.6
  • Passing Yards: 220.9
  • Rushing Yards: 100.7
  • Points Scored: 16.0
  • Takeaways: 10

Why bet on #12 Wake Forest versus #16 NC State?

If not for blowing an 18-points lead versus Sam Howell and the North Carolina Tar Heels in Week 10, the Wake Forest Demons Deacons would be undefeated and #7 or #8 on the College Football Playoff Rankings. Wake makes no apologies for being a throw first, come and catch us on the scoreboard, team. The Deacons average 508.8 yards per game, ranking sixth in the nation. On average, Wake Forest scores over 44 points per game. 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 508.8
  • Passing Yards: 321.1
  • Rushing Yards: 187.7
  • Points Scored: 44.7
  • Turnovers: 3

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 435.9
  • Passing Yards: 219.3
  • Rushing Yards: 216.6
  • Points Scored: 27.7
  • Takeaways: 8

Relevant Trends for #16 NC State Wolfpack versus #12 Wake Forest Demon Deacons

  • Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • NC State is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 on the road
  • Over is 7-1 in NC State’s last 8 games as an underdog
  • Wake Forest is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games
  • Home team is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings
  • Under is 5-1 in the Demon Deacon’s last 6 games 

#16 NC State at #12 Wake Forest Final Betting Prediction

NC State has a good defense, but it has yet to face an offensive juggernaut like Wake Forest. Wake quarterback Sam Hartman has thrown for 2,873 yards and 27 touchdowns to just 5 picks.

But although Hartman is great, there is a flaw in his stat line that should concern the Deacons. The Wake Forest quarterback completes just 62.5% of his passes. 

That’s not terrible. It might be disastrous versus an NC State team that allows just 220.9 passing yards per. Also, the Wolfpack are 6-3 ATS while for all of Wake’s scoring prowess, the Deacons are just 4-5 ATS.

North Carolina State is the best team Wake Forest has faced this season. Before losing to North Carolina, Hartman and the offense had success versus Syracuse, a game they won in overtime, Army, and Duke.

NC State steps it up on Saturday. The Wolfpack offer value to hand Wake their second straight loss. 

 

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