A pair of college football teams with hopes of winning their bowl game descend upon the Land of Enchantment on Saturday for the 2022 New Mexico Bowl. SMU and BYU boast high-scoring offenses. So much so that the total in this year’s New Mexico Bowl is an insane 72.5 points. Will the Cougars and Mustangs end up braking New Mexico Bowl scoring records? Which defense will do just enough for the SU and ATS victories?
Check out odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 New Mexico Bowl.
NCAAF 2022 New Mexico Bowl: SMU Mustangs vs. BYU Cougars
- When: Saturday, Dec. 17 at 2:15 pm ET
- Where: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
- TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
- ATS Odds: BYU -1.5
- Money line Odds: SMU +102 / BYU -124
- Over/Under Odds: 72.5
Why Bet on SMU versus BYU?
More impressive than that is the fact SMU also went 4-2 against the spread in their final six games. The Mustangs covered in the loss to the Bearcats. Only Tulane provided the true non-cover game. SMU failed to cover against Memphis in their final game by a point.
SMU Mustangs Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 479.8
- Passing Yards: 324.9
- Rushing Yards: 154.9
- Points Scored: 38.4
- Turnovers: 9
SMU Mustangs Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 446.2
- Passing Yards: 242.8
- Rushing Yards: 203.3
- Points Scored: 34.7
- Takeaways: 9
Why Bet on BYU versus SMU?
Also, earlier in the season, the Cougars hung with Notre Dame in an 8-point loss, and beat Utah State and Wyoming. The Cougars also beat Baylor, one of the Big 12’s better teams, which means BYU is battle-tested.
BYU Cougars Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 440.5
- Passing Yards: 266.6
- Rushing Yards: 173.9
- Points Scored: 31.9
- Turnovers: 3
BYU Cougars Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 410.0
- Passing Yards: 235.8
- Rushing Yards: 174.3
- Points Scored: 30.0
- Takeaways: 7
Mustangs vs. Cougars Relevant Trends
- Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
- SMU is 2-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record
- Under is 5-1 in the Mustangs last 6 games
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass
- BYU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
- Over is 11-4 in the Cougars’ last 15 games on grass
BYU Cougars vs. SMU Mustangs Final Betting Prediction
We can make a case for both teams to win this game and cover the spread. BYU is the slight chalk do to their more impressive resume.
But SMU is the hotter team The Mustangs are impossible to keep from scoring 40. The offense is as fast as almost any in college football.
Not only that, but BYU’s defense has fallen apart. Also, the Cougars did finish the season winning three straight. However, Stanford was terrible in 2022, Utah Tech doesn’t count, and Boise State had an up and down season.
Outside of Tulane, SMU played great down the stretch, including losing to Cincinnati by 2 points, and dropping 77 onto Houston in a win. In addition, the Mustangs hung with TCU, a College Football Playoff team, in a 42-34 loss. Southern Methodist wins and covers.
NCAAF New Mexico Bowl Pick: SMU Mustangs +102