One of the best from the Pac 12 takes on one of the ACC’s top teams at the 2022 Sun Bowl when UCLA throws down against the Pitt Panthers. After a great start, at one point the Bruins ranked in the top ten, UCLA’s form tailed off towards the end of the season. Pittsburgh picked it up towards the end of their season, winning their final four games. Will Pitt continue playing great football? Or will UCLA get back to their SU and ATS winning ways? Check out College Football Bowl Odds, analysis, and a free pick for UCLA versus Pittsburgh.
Who is Playing in the Sun Bowl? | UCLA Bruins vs Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Preview
UCLA versus Pittsburgh Lines | Sun Bowl Odds
- When: Friday, Dec. 30 at 2:00 pm ET
- Where: Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX
- TV / Streaming: CBS/Paramount+
- ATS Odds: UCLA -3.5
- Money line Odds: Pittsburgh +143 / UCLA -176
- Over/Under Odds: 54.5
Why bet on Pittsburgh versus UCLA?
Pittsburgh finished their season winning four straight and winning 3-of-4 against the spread, but that’s not the only reason to like Pitt versus the Bruins. Pittsburgh averages close to 31 points per game.
The Panthers’ offense faces a defense that allows over 28 points per. QB Kedon Slovis won’t play, but that’s okay. Backup QB Nick Patti knows how to run the Panthers’ offense and Patti doesn’t face a great defense.
Pittsburgh Panthers Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 402.3
- Passing Yards: 220.8
- Rushing Yards: 181.5
- Points Scored: 30.8
- Turnovers: 9
Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 319.7
- Passing Yards: 224.2
- Rushing Yards: 95.5
- Points Scored: 23.4
- Takeaways: 10
Why bet on UCLA versus Pittsburgh?
The Bruins can move the ball through the air and on the ground. Not only that, but although the stats say UCLA doesn’t perform well on defense, few teams in the Pac-12 have lock down defenses. So we can’t compare the Bruins’ defensive stats to Pittsburgh’s.
UCLA Bruins Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 507.9
- Passing Yards: 261.5
- Rushing Yards: 246.4
- Points Scored: 39.6
- Turnovers: 7
UCLA Bruins Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 401.8
- Passing Yards: 275.7
- Rushing Yards: 126.2
- Points Scored: 28.3
- Takeaways: 10
Bruins vs Panthers Relevant Trends
- Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games
- Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at a neutral site
- Over is 5-1 in the Panthers’ last 6 games following a straight up win
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf
- UCLA is 2-7 ATS in their last 7 games at a neutral site
- Over is 6-1 in the Bruins’ last 7 games following a straight up win
Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCLA Bruins Final Betting Prediction
UCLA may have to play without Dorian Thompson-Robinson. UCLA’s entire offense revolves around Thompson-Robinson.
The same isn’t true for Pittsburgh and Slovis. The Panthers are a run first team. The offense line will block no matter who carries the rock. So although top Pitt rusher Israel Abanikanda will skip this game, the Panthers should continue to have success rushing the ball.
Thompson-Robinson hasn’t said whether he’s playing or not. The likelihood he does play isn’t great. So if Thompson-Robinson doesn’t play, does that mean UCLA is a bad pick?
Nope. The thing is, UCLA overall is the much better team, this happens in Texas, and Pittsburgh has an awful record in bowl games. We should expect Chip Kelly’s Plan B, should Dorian take a seat, to be good enough for a Bruins’ win and cover.
NCAAF Pinstripe Bowl Pick: UCLA Bruins -3.5