Texas A&M Vs Auburn Expert Analysis - NCAAF Betting

Texas A&M Vs Auburn Expert Analysis – NCAAF Betting

Written by on December 4, 2020

The fifth-ranked  Texas A&M Aggies will look to keep their College Football Playoff hopes alive when they hit the road to take on the 22nd-ranked Auburn Tigers in a meaningful Week 14 SEC showdown. With the Aggies in good shape while waiting for another Top 5 team to slip up and the Tigers looking to bounce back from a humbling loss last weekend, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NCAAF odds in this affair.

College Football Odds and Predictions – No. 5 Texas A&M at Auburn

Why Bet On No. 5 Texas A&M

Texas A&M kept its playoff hopes alive by getting past LSU 20-7 last weekend even though the Aggies explosive offense was mostly grounded. While quarterback Kellen Mond was limited to a paltry 105 passing yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, running back Isaiah Spiller led the way to victory by rushing for 141 yards and one score on 27 carries. Texas A&M recorded three sacks, a pair of interceptions and one fumble recovery in the win.

“Way too inconsistent,” Aggies head coach Jimbo Fisher said of the offense against LSU. “We didn’t block well up front, we didn’t protect the quarterback, he took a lot of hits. We still missed some throws we should have made, quite a few throws. We didn’t get a rhythm going offensively, but our team found ways to win the game and that is what’s important. Our defense kept raising its game.”

The Aggies gave up just 267 yards against the Tigers and came within 43 seconds of pitching a shutout. The defense permitted LSU to convert just 2 of 16 on third down. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.

Why Bet On No. 22 Auburn

No. 22 Auburn saw its three-game winning streak emphatically snapped in its humbling 42-13 smackdown loss against top-ranked Alabama last weekend. Quarterback Bo Nix tossed a pair of interceptions and was sacked three times in the loss. Auburn gave up a whopping five TD passes to Alabama quarterback Mac Jones while never challenging after going into the break down 21-3.

“We’ve got two games left,” Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn said. “This is an unusual season. We’ll need to rebound like we did earlier in the season.”

The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.

Texas A&M Aggies (6-1) Vs Auburn Tigers (5-3) Game Info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 5, 2020 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium
  • NCAAF Odds: Texas A&M -6.5
  • Total: 48.5

Expert Analysis and Prediction

Texas A&M has gone a disappointing 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings against Auburn. The Underdog in this SEC rivalry has gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings while Auburn has gone 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss and an impressive 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.

With that said, I’m going to advise college football bettors everywhere to back the Tigers to cover the spread as a nearly touchdown home dog in this Week 14 matchup. While I’m not picking Texas A&M to lose this affair outright, I also don’t see the Aggies cruising to the easy victory. This matchup might not end in a field goal finish, but the Aggies won’t win by a touchdown either. While the road team in this series has gone a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings, I’m going with 22nd-ranked Auburn to cover in a close finish!

Pick: Texas A&M 27 Auburn 21

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