It was another wild week in the world of college football, and one that saw more changes to the top 4. The biggest surprise of the week, which we actually called in our Week 7 SU picks, saw Tennessee beat Alabama in an instant classic. With Ole Miss extending their unbeaten record with a win, the Crimson Tide are now behind the 8-ball in the SEC West Division. Can they dig themselves out and still make it to Atlanta for the SEC Championship Game? Only time will tell, but for now, we are focusing on Week 8. Specifically, we are looking at out ATS picks for the weeks, so let’s jump right in and get started with the College Football Betting predictions as we try to match our perfect Week 7 ATS predictions.
Week 8 Against the Spread Picks and Odds | 2022 College Football Betting Analysis
Cincinnati Bearcats (-3) at SMU Mustangs
A trip to the playoffs for the Bearcats last season was a feat that was always going to be impossible to repeat, at least until we expand to a 12-team playoff. The Cincinnati Bearcats come into this weekend with a 5-1 record, which includes a perfect 2-0 mark in conference play. On the flipside, the SMU Mustangs are 3-3 overall and just 1-1 in conference play, so this is a game they need if they are to have any hope of making it to the AAC Conference Championship Game. This is a matchup that Cincinnati has done well in when going against the spread, covering in 4 of their last 5 meetings with SMU. That number is low enough that I think they do it again and improve on that mark.
Toledo Rockets at Buffalo Bulls (+6 ½)
You may not be totally familiar with either of these teams, especially if you focus on the Power 5 conferences, but this is actually a fantastic matchup. Both of these teams are sitting atop their respective divisions in the Mid-American Conference and both remain unbeaten in conference play. The winner of this one definitely gets a leg up in their attempt to reach the Mid-American Championship game. There is a lot to like about both teams against the spread, but it is past meetings that are shaping what I am playing on this one. The Toledo Rockets are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Bulls, which has me leaning toward Buffalo to cover once again.
Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+6 ½)
Another big game and another one where we are leaning toward the underdog at home. This may prove to be an elimination game of sorts, as both of these teams have already taken a loss in Big 12 Conference play. It’s tough to imagine a 2-loss team making it to the Conference Championship Game, especially when there are two teams who are still unbeaten at this point in the season. Texas is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and while that is certainly a good record, it is perhaps not as convincing as what Oklahoma State has done, going 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games. I like the Cowboys to keep this one close.