Arnold Palmer Invitational Open Odds, Picks, and PGA Betting Analysis

The Bay Hill Golf Course in Florida welcomes the world’s top golfers this weekend for the Arnold Palmer Invitational Presented by Mastercard. A prize pool of $20 million, combined with the prestige and history of the tournament and its namesake, has attracted top-10 players like Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy.

Scheffler won last year’s tournament with a 5-under-par, scoring a one-stroke victory over Tyrell Hatton, Billy Horschel, and Viktor Hovland. McIlroy won the event in 2018. Seven of the last nine tournaments have been decided by one stroke, so expect a close battle at Bay Hill this weekend. 

Check out MyBookie’s PGA betting odds for Arnold Palmer Invitational golf tournament.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Presented by Mastercard Betting Preview and Odds

The Betting Favorite – Jon Rahm (+600)

Rahm continues to further cement his status as the top player in the world right now. He’s finally No. 1 in the Official World Golf Ranking, and deservedly so. Rahm won the Genesis Open with 17-under-par two weekends ago and finished third at the Waste Management Phoenix Open the week prior.

If it seems like Rahm has been in contention every weekend, it’s because he has. Including the DP Tour, he has four victories already this season and hasn’t finished outside of the top 10 all season. That’s a remarkable run, and, while he’ll almost certainly be in contention again this weekend, there’s just too many other elite golfers looking to break through. Fade Rahm this weekend, although it’s certainly worth betting that he’ll finish T10.

The Best Value Pick – Will Zalatoris (+1875)

Bay Hill might be one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour, as evidenced by the winning scores in each of the last few years. It favors players with a strong iron game as opposed to good ball strikers off the tee. Will Zalatoris, 7th in the OWGR, is one of the best iron players in the world – he leaves much to be desired on the greens, but his precision and accuracy from the fairways should give him an advantage at Bay Hill.

Zalatoris has only played four events this season and has a pair of top-25 finishes. He started out slow, but is coming off of a fourth-place finish at The Genesis Invitational, where he shot below 70 in three of four rounds. In fact, he has only scored higher than 70 in two of 14 rounds this season. At worst, betting Zalatoris to have a top-five finish seems like an incredible value.

Round 1 18-Hole Match Bet Play – Cam Young (-127) vs. Chris Kirk (+104)

Yes, Cameron Young is the better player and should fare well at Bay Hill, but there’s something to be said about betting on a player coming off of a victory, especially in the first round of the following tournament.

Chris Kirk is in the best state, both mentally and physically, of his career and, even at 37 years old, could be in line for a breakout year. Moreover, Kirk has averaged 68.5 over his last four first rounds, whereas Young is averaging 69.75.

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