Valspar Championship Odds, Picks, and PGA Betting Analysis

The PGA Tour’s Valspar Championship gets underway on Thursday at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club in Palm Harbor, Florida. It’s the Tour’s last stop on its Florida swing and one of the few non-designated events in March and April. As a result, the $8 million prize purse is much lower than the $20 million plus that has been awarded in recent events, but there’s still a surprisingly decent field in Florida this weekend.

Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth headline the field, which also includes 2022 U.S. Open winner Matthew Fitzpatrick and two-time defending Valspar champion Sam Burns Here’s a look at some of the favorites and the best-value longshot pick.

Check out MyBookie’s PGA betting odds for Valspar Championship golf tournament.

 

Valspar Championship Betting Predictions and Favorites Odds | PGA Tour Lines

PGA Tour Tournament Info | Updated PGA Odds
When: March 9–12, 2023
Where: Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club, Palm Harbor, Florida, USA
Par: 71
Length: 7,340 yards (6,710 m)

 

The Favorite – Justin Thomas +1025

Justin Thomas
Current tour: PGA Tour
Professional wins: 17
Highest ranking: 1 | May 13, 2018: 5 weeks

Thomas isn’t playing the best golf of his career by any stretch, but he has the best name value in the tournament. It’s not surprising that he’s considered the betting favorite yet, while he has a legitimate chance to win, it just doesn’t feel as though he has the necessary momentum right now.

Thomas had to grind to a T60 finish at the PLAYERS last weekend and barely made the cut. He was T21 at the Arnold Palmer and T20 at the Genesis Open. Outside of a fourth-place finish at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, it’s been a relatively disastrous year for Thomas thus far. 

He does, however, have a history of playing well at Innisbrook. He finished T3 in last year’s event and T21 two years ago. Thomas ranks sixth among all players in this year’s field in average adjusted strokes-gained at the course at +1.71.

 

The Smart Pick – Keegan Bradley +2100

Keegan Bradley
Current tour: PGA Tour
Professional wins: 11
Highest ranking: 10 | March 24, 2013

Keegan Bradley always seems to be in contention, and that’s especially true at Innisbrook. Although he doesn’t always finish well; Bradley was the first-round leader a few years back and missed the cut after a disastrous second round. He’s been T6 or better after the first round in five of his last six starts at Innisbrook and finished as runner-up in 2021. 

Bradley missed the cut at the PLAYERS, giving him added rest heading into this weekend. He finished T10 the week prior at the Arnold Palmer and was T20 at the Waste Management in February. Bradley has five career victories on the PGA Tour, including the ZOZO Championship in October 2022.

 

Longshot Pick – Justin Suh +3200

Justin Suh
Current tour: PGA Tour
Professional wins: 11
Highest ranking: 77 | March 12, 2023

If you’re looking for a solid longshot option this weekend, there’s few better than Justin Suh. The 25-year-old USC alumnus has shown to be one of the better young players on the Tour this season with a pair of top-10 finishes, including a T6 at the PLAYERS last weekend.

Suh missed the cut in each of his first three events this season, but has since made the cut in 11 of 12 tournaments and recorded each of his top-10 results in his last three starts.

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