Holiday Bowl Betting Update: Oregon Vs North Carolina Odds & Prediction

Holiday Bowl Betting Update: Oregon Vs North Carolina Odds & Prediction

Written by on December 27, 2022

One of the best from the Pac-12 takes on one of the best teams in the ACC on Wednesday when the Oregon Ducks travel down the Pacific Coast Highway to Petco Park in San Diego to throw down against the North Carolina Tar Heels. Both teams sport excellent quarterbacks. Will Bo Nix lead the Ducks to a win and cover as a massive -13.5 chalk? Or will Drake Maye ensure North Carolina keeps the score close? Check out College Football Bowl Odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Holiday Bowl. 

Oregon Comes In as the Betting Favorite, Can They Win the SDCCU Holiday Bowl?

Oregon Ducks vs North Carolina Tar Heels Lines and Match Info | Holiday Bowl 

Why bet on North Carolina versus Oregon?

Maye is an unstoppable force. UNC’s signa-caller threw for 4,115 yards and tossed 35 TDs to just 7 interceptions. Maye also rushed for 653 yards and 7 TDs. 

Overall, UNC averaged close to 474 yards per and scored 35 points each game. The Tar Heels ended up the second-best team in the ACC after losing to rival Clemson in the title game. UNC will be fired up to prove the loss was a fluke. 

North Carolina Tar Heels Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 473.6
  • Passing Yards: 317.2
  • Rushing Yards: 156.4
  • Points Scored: 35.0
  • Turnovers: 7

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 438.2
  • Passing Yards: 276.4
  • Rushing Yards: 161.8
  • Points Scored: 31.0
  • Takeaways: 8

Why bet on Oregon versus North Carolina?

Maye is unstoppable. But so is Oregon quarterback Bo Nix. The Auburn transfer was as good as it gets in his first season playing for the Ducks.

Nix completed over 71% of his passes. Bo also led the team with 14 rushing touchdowns. Nix averaged over 6 yards per carry and threw 27 touchdowns. He would have had more if he didn’t play hurt during a couple of games.

Oregon Ducks Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 507.8
  • Passing Yards: 291.5
  • Rushing Yards: 216.3
  • Points Scored: 39.7
  • Turnovers: 3

Oregon Ducks Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 386.1
  • Passing Yards: 260.6
  • Rushing Yards: 125.5
  • Points Scored: 27.4
  • Takeaways: 16

Tar Heels vs Ducks Relevant Trends

  • Ducks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight up loss
  • Oregon is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Over is 4-1 in the Ducks’ last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass
  • North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Under is 4-1 in the Tar Heels’ last 5 games

Oregon Ducks vs North Carolina Tar Heels Final Betting Prediction

Nix is a senior. So he could have skipped this bowl game and prepare for the NFL. But Bo knows the best chance he has of turning pro scouts’ heads is to dominate the ACC runner-up.

So we should expect Nix to give it his all on Wednesday night. Maye will also play great. The difference is that Drake doesn’t have a semblance of a defense to help keep him in games.

Clemson figured out how to contain Maye. No doubt, Oregon head coach Dan Lanning will have a plan to slow down UNC’s quarterback. On the flip side, the Tar Heels don’t play much defense. So Nix will post massive stats. Oregon rolls to at least a 17-point win. 

NCAAF Holiday Bowl Pick: Oregon Ducks -13.5 

 
 

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