Triple Crown Betting Analysis: Forte is favorite, also Tapit Trice and Derma Sotogake

Triple Crown Betting Analysis: Forte is Favorite, also Tapit Trice and Derma Sotogake

The Kentucky Derby field is all but set. On the first Saturday in May twenty three-year-olds will step into the starting gate at Churchill Downs to run for the title Derby Champion. Updated odds peg Todd Pletcher trained Forte the chalk. Is Forte good enough to not only win the Derby but also the Triple Crown? How about the chances of Forte’s competitors like Tapit Trice or Derma Sotogake? See below for a Triple Crown betting analysis.


Horse Racing: Will 2023 Have a Triple Crown? | Horse Racing Lines

2023 Kentucky Derby Info

  • When: Saturday, May 6
  • Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
  • Distance & Surface: 1 ¼ miles on dirt

Four Kentucky Derby Entrants That Can Win the Triple Crown


With Todd Pletcher in his corner, the chalk for sure can win the Crown. The key is whether Forte has peaked or will peak before the Belmont Stakes.

If he has yet to tap into his best race, Forte could get it done on the first Saturday in May and then roll in the Preakness before blowing out his competition in the Belmont. Breeding suggests Forte will have no issue getting 1 ½ miles in the Belmont.

So the Derby favorite has a good chance of winning the Triple Crown.

Bet Forte to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Tapit Trice

Like Forte, Tapit Trice is bred to handle distances from a mile to 1 ½ miles and beyond. Sire Tapit has already produced three Belmont Stakes winners. Not only that, but Tapit Trice is proven. He won the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby and the Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes. The horse also won an allowance in February.

Bet Tapit Trice to Win Today
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Angel of Empire

Sired by Classic Empire and a To Honor and Serve broodmare, Armony’s Angel, Angel of Empire has all the tools to win the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, and Belmont.

The Brad Cox trained and Flavien Prat ridden sophomore has run faster with each race. He blew away the field in the Arkansas Derby. The thing is, he could have won that race by about ten lengths if Flavien had given him the whip throughout the stretch.

Getting the 1 ½ Belmont distance is no issue. Cox is one of the top trainers in the world and Prat is riding lights out. This +1400 choice to win the Derby can take the crown.

Bet Angel of Empire to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Derma Sotogake

The front runner blew away the competition in the Grade 2 UAE Derby. The word is out that unlike past UAE Derby winners, Derma Sotogake has a legit chance of wearing the roses.

If Derma also takes the Preakness, it could be tough for him to win the Belmont. He’s not exactly bred to run 1 ½ miles. However, the way he strode out after dominating his UAE Derby competitors suggests he’s good enough to win the Crown.

Bet Derma Sotogake to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Bottom Line: Will there be a Triple Crown winner in 2023?

The Derby separates the contenders from pretenders, which is why if Angel of Empire wins the Kentucky Derby, the Cox trained runner can win the Triple Crown.

Speed rating horseplayers will scoff at the notion. But Angel of Empire closed into an over 47 seconds half mile in the Arkansas Derby and maintained his closing kick for more than a half a mile. He might have been able to maintain his kick for a full mile.

What does it mean? By the half-mile pole in the Derby, Angel of Empire could be well on his way to the finish line, rolling past his opponents.

The Preakness won’t be an issue because Flavien will keep him closer to the pace. Then in the Belmont, Angel of Empire will run past his opponents in the stretch. You heard it hear first. Angel of Empire will win the Triple Crown.

Triple Crown Winner in 2023: Yes


Justify was the last to Win the Triple Crown – 2018 Belmont Stakes


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Race information

Race typeThoroughbred
Distance1+1⁄4 miles (10 furlongs; 2 km)
Record1:59.40, Secretariat (1973,1+1⁄4 miles)
2:34.50, Spokane (1889,1+1⁄2 miles)
WeightColt/Gelding: 126 lbs (57.2 kg)
Filly: 121 lb (55 kg)
PurseUS$3 million
1st: $1,860,000

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