Mariners vs. Astros Betting Preview & Analysis

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Preview & Analysis

Written by on October 12, 2022

After a wild first game, the Seattle Mariners (0-1) and Houston Astros (1-0) will clash in Game 2 of their divisional series on Thursday. The Astros will host this one at Minute Maid Park, with first pitch scheduled for 3:38 pm ET.

The Astros won in dramatic fashion in the opener 8-7 after Yordan Alvarez hit the ninth-inning, three-run home run off of the Mariners’ Robbie Ray. Alvarez finished three for five with five runs batted in and two runs scored. The Astros were forced to come back after Justin Verlander gave up six runs on 10 hits in four innings.

Mariners vs. Astros Game 2

For Seattle, the team knocked 13 hits on the night, but the bullpen could not get the job done after Logan Gilbert pitched 5.1 innings, allowing three runs on five hits. J.P. Crawford and Eugenio Suarez both homered in the defeat.

Astros open as Thursday’s betting favorites. They are -154 to win, while the Mariners’ moneyline sits at +130. The runline features Seattle +1.5 (-178), and the over/under for total runs is 6.5.

Mariners Have To Find A Way To Regroup

After they had their own massive come-from-behind win over the Blue Jays in their last series, the Mariners were the victims of a brutal loss Tuesday. Now, if they hope to compete in the series, they have to find a way to regroup and pick up the split in the first two games.

Taking the mound for Scott Servais’ club will be righty, Luis Castillo. The trade deadline acquisition went 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 11 starts with the Mariners.

In his last start, he dominated Toronto after throwing 7.1 scoreless innings, striking out five and allowing just six hits.

In three postseason games thus far, catcher Cal Raleigh and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have been the team’s hottest hitters. Raleigh is hitting .417/.462/.750 with a home run and four runs batted in. Not to be outdone, Suarez is hitting .462/.462/.846 with a home run and three runs batted in.

Astros Look To Use Home Field Advantage To Take First Two

On the way to a 106-56 regular season record, the Astros dominated at Minute Maid Park, finishing with a 55-26 record. After winning Tuesday at home, they will look to continue using their home-field advantage to take a massive lead on their division rivals.

Framber Valdez will get the ball in Game 2 for Houston. In 31 games this season, he went 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and he had 194 strikeouts in 201.1 innings.

In his last game, on October 5, Valdez picked up the win over the Philadelphia Phillies after throwing five scoreless innings while striking out 10.

While the Astros have one of the deepest lineups in baseball, Yordan Alvarez showed again Tuesday night why he is the most feared batter in the lineup. In just 470 regular season at-bats, he hit .306/.406/.613 with 37 home runs and 97 runs batted in.

Jose Altuve also had a huge season, ending the year with a .300/.387/.533 line. He also added 28 home runs, 57 runs batted in, 103 runs scored, and 18 stolen bases.

Take Houston At Home

As Tuesday’s opener showed, anything can happen in the postseason, as Game 1 was one of the most exciting games of the early postseason.

Looking ahead to Game 2, there are a lot of things that you have to like about Houston in this one. First, the Mariners have struggled recently against the Astros, going just 1-7 over their last eight games. Furthermore, they are just 1-4 in their last five at Minute Maid Park.

For Houston, they have gone 4-1 in their last five home games and 5-1 in their last six overall. Starter Framber Valdez has also been solid at home, going 7-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 14 games in Houston.

The biggest question might be whether Seattle can bounce back after an epic collapse. The day off on Wednesday will help, but the best bet at this point is to take Houston winning at home.

Take the Astros straight up at -154.

 
 

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