When it comes to football, fans tend to fall into two sperate categories. There are those who love hard-nosed defensive battles, while other love seeing the ball aired out all over the field in a high-scoring affair. Whichever of these sides you fall on, I think we can all agree that we just hope for a close, exciting game when it comes to the Super Bowl. The championship game goes this weekend, and we have a scenario where it really could go either way. The Chiefs and the Eagles both have high-powered offenses, but they also have defensive units that can shit things down in a hurry. That makes playing the O/U a little tougher, but we are going to try and break it all down, starting with making the case for the OVER in the Super Bowl wager.
Why Bet the Over for Super Bowl 57?
Historical Results
If you wager on a regular basis, you already know that the bookies have an uncanny knack for setting lines that are stunningly accurate. That does not change when it comes to the Super Bowl, as there is almost a 50/50 spilt when it comes to the point total outcome, with the previous 56 Super Bowls going 27-28-1 O/U.
If there is a trend to go with here, it would actually be the UNDER, as that has been the outcome in each of the last 4 championship games. The Chiefs have been in 2 of the last 3 Super Bowl games and have seen the UNDER hit in both, but when the Eagles were last in, it was the OVER that hit there, not that those games have much to do with this one.
The Kansas City Chiefs and the OVER
With Patrick Mahomes under center and some amazing targets, the Chiefs are a team that can run up the score rather quickly. They are a little hobbled on the offensive side of the football heading into the big game, but there are still reasons why you might want to consider the OVER in this one. In games where the Chiefs allowed less than 90 yards rushing, they followed that up by going 6-1 O/U in their next game. They have also seen the OVER hit in 5 of the last 7 games where they accumulated a total of over 350 yards.
The Philadelphia Eagles and the OVER
Much like their opponent this Sunday, the Eagles have an offense that can rack up the points rather quickly. With that, we often overlook the defense, but this is a very good group that has allowed a combined 14 points in their 2 playoff games this season. If defenses do indeed win championships, then that stat alone really stands out. The OVER has hit in 8 of their last 11 following a SU win, while they are 5-2 O/U in games following one where they allowed less than 150 passing yards.
This does feel like a matchup where you can make a very good case for both the OVER and UNDER. As a bettor, it is your job to look at those trends, as well as other factors, such as injuries, to determine how the scoring might go this Sunday night.
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