NFL Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Analysis - Week 3

NFL Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Analysis – Week 3

One of the NFL’s more unsung but bitter rivalries happens on Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Cincinnati Bengals. Pittsburgh heads into the contest after losing straight up to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chicago Bears beat the Bengals 20-17 in Cincy’s last. Will the Steelers dominate? Or can Cincinnati keep this within the spread line? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. 

NFL Betting Preview for Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh

NFL Week 3: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Game Odds & Info

Why bet on Cincinnati versus Pittsburgh?

Versus the Bears, Joe Burrow played awful. The former Heisman Trophy winner threw 2 touchdowns. But he also threw 3 picks. In the first week, Burrow dominated the Vikings with a 74.1 completion percentage, 261 yards and 2 TD performance. Now that his bad game is out of the way, Burrow should excel against the Steelers, keeping this game closer than the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 307.0
  • Passing Yards: 198.0
  • Rushing Yards: 109.0
  • Points Scored: 22.0
  • Turnovers: 4

Cincinnati Bengals Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 304.5
  • Passing Yards: 209.5
  • Rushing Yards: 95.0
  • Points Scored: 22.0
  • Takeaways: 2

Why bet on Pittsburgh versus Cincinnati?

In NFL Week 1, Pittsburgh entered Buffalo a +6.5 underdog. The Steelers beat the Bills 23-16. Then in their second game, Pittsburgh bounced with a terrible performance against the Raiders as a -5.5 chalk. The Steelers showed no sense of urgency, no energy, and were flat. Mike Tomlin won’t allow his team to play two flat games in a row. Expect a more fired up Pittsburgh team to hit the field on Sunday, which means the Steelers should win and cover. 

Pittsburgh Steelers Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 291.5
  • Passing Yards: 234.5
  • Rushing Yards: 57.0
  • Points Scored: 20.0
  • Turnovers: 1

Pittsburgh Steelers Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 398.0
  • Passing Yards: 313.5
  • Rushing Yards: 84.5
  • Points Scored: 21.0
  • Takeaways: 1

Bengals at Steelers Relevant Trends

  • Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 3
  • Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • Over is 11-4-1 in the Bengals last 16 versus the AFC
  • Pittsburgh is 21-8-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings
  • Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite
  • Under is 6-2-1 in the Steelers last 9 games as a favorite

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers Final Betting Prediction

This is one of the tougher games to handicap. First, let’s throw out the trends because they’re meaningless. 

Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. This game implies neither team covers. Once we throw out the trends we can assess the stats. One stat that stands out? Pittsburgh rushes for 57 yards per game. 

Cincinnati has a decent defense, but it allowed the Bears to rush for 123 yards on 34 carries. So the real question is whether Pittsburgh can get their rushing attack going. 

The Steelers drafted Najee Harris in the first round to do just that. Harris has a ton of talent. In this game, he should finally show it because the Bengals have trouble stopping the rush.

Expect Big Ben to open the running game by passing in the first quarter. Then, once Cincinnati defenders pull into a cover 2, Harris should get to work. The Steelers win and cover.   

NFL Week 3 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

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