NFL Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Betting Analysis - Week 1

NFL Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Betting Analysis – Week 1

The Green Bay Packers start what Aaron Rodgers has said may be his Air Jordan like Last Dance while New Orleans breaks in a new quarterback for the first time since 2006 when the Saints and Packers throw down at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville on Sunday. Because Hurricane Ida caused damage to the Superdome, New Orleans must play their first home game of the season on the road. Will that affect the game? Is Jameis Winston the answer and how motivated will the reigning NFL MVP be knowing this could be his final season? Check out NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Packers at Saints.  

NFL Betting Preview for Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

NFL Week 1: Green Bay at New Orleans Game Info & Odds

Why bet on Green Bay versus New Orleans?

Yes, Rodgers and management had an issue during the offseason. But the three-time MVP didn’t sit out training camp. Also, he’s a professional, which means, like always, he’s going to try to win on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers has amazing talent around him, including Davante Adams, who scored 18 TDs last season, a returning Randall Cobb, and young Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The Packers offense should be too much for the Saints’ defense to handle.  

Green Bay Packers 2020 Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 389
  • Passing Yards: 256.6
  • Rushing Yards: 132.4
  • Points Scored: 31.8
  • Turnovers: 11

Green Bay Packers 2020 Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 334
  • Passing Yards: 221.2
  • Rushing Yards: 112.8
  • Points Scored: 23.1
  • Takeaways: 18

Why bet on New Orleans versus Green Bay?

In 2015, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers thought enough of Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston to make him the top pick in the NFL Draft. Winston struggled with the Bucs, but it looks like his main issue was turnovers, never arm strength and an ability to throw TD passes. In 2019, Winston led the league in passing yards and threw 30 touchdowns. He also threw 30 picks. So if he’s matured from the gunslinging days, he may do enough to lead the Saints to a victory in his first game taking over for the retired Drew Brees. 

New Orleans Saints 2020 Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 376.4
  • Passing Yards: 234.9
  • Rushing Yards: 141.6
  • Points Scored: 30.1
  • Turnovers: 17

New Orleans Saints 2020 Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 310.9
  • Passing Yards: 217
  • Rushing Yards: 93.9
  • Points Scored: 21.1
  • Takeaways: 24

Packers at Saints Relevant Trends

  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1
  • Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings
  • Over is 8-2 in Packers last 10 games in Week 1
  • Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1
  • New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
  • Under is 8-3 in the Saints last 11 games 

Green Bay versus New Orleans Final Betting Prediction

The line opened at Green Bay -4.5 and then went to Packers -4. It has now settled at GB -3.5. Money has gone onto the Saints. 

There are a couple of reasons for that. First, Green Bay may have to start two rookies along the offensive line, including rookie center Josh Meyers. Starting a rookie center is never ideal.

Second, Winston could allow Payton to open the offense. Two players on the offensive of the ball, wide receiver Marquez Callaway and running back Tony Jones Jr. emerged during training camp. 

The line continues to move in New Orleans’ favor suggesting pro handicappers believe the Saints take this ATS. Because both teams head into this with question marks, we won’t go against the line movement. New Orleans is the pick.  

NFL Week 1 Pick: New Orleans Saints


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