NFL Expert Picks: Texans Favored by 6 against Jaguars in Week 4

Three weeks into the season is not usually a time for teams to start pressing the panic button, but it is a time to get concerned if things are not going to plan.

Over the years, we have all seen how difficult it is to make the playoffs for teams that lose their first 2 or 3 games.

My NFL Betting Analysis in the Week 4

It’s certainly not a start that a team can’t recover from, but the margin for error gets slimmer and slimmer with each loss.

On the flipside, teams that get off to a good start will be well aware that they cannot take their foot off the gas, especially when going against teams that are beginning to slip into desperation mode.

We have a game like that this weekend, with the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars hitting the road to face the Houston Texans, a team on the rise.

Houston is favored by 6, with the point total set at 44 ½.

Jacksonville Jaguars Odds +212

Thursday Injury Report pic.twitter.com/BguCmo9W0U
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 26, 2024

When the Jacksonville Jaguars drafted Trevor Lawrence a few years back, they believed, as did most football fans, that they had nabbed their QB of the future.

While Lawrence has had his moments, he has not come close to hitting the heights that most pundits expected he would.

In fact, there are now murmurings that it might be time for Lawrence to spend some time on the bench, but I’m not sure we will see that happen just yet.

The harsh reality, though, is that the Jaguars are 0-3 and in real danger of losing again this weekend.

With this start, the Jas are now just 1-8 SU in their last 9 games, as well as being winless in their last 5 road trips.

They have been a pretty awful spread bet, too, covering just twice in their last 9 games.

6 of the last 7 games road games against Houston have gone UNDER the point total.

Houston Texans Odds -270

The Texans are a similar story to the Jaguars in that they believed they landed their QB of the future when they drafted CJ Stroud.

The major difference is that Stroud made an immediate impact, leading his team to the playoffs in his rookie season last year.

Through the opening 2 games of the season, the Texans continued to roll, but they ran into a brick wall last weekend, losing 34-7 to the surprising Minnesota Vikings.

Houston will be back home this Sunday, which is sure to be good news for a team that is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played at home.

They have dominated Jacksonville, too, winning 10 of their last 12 versus the Jags overall.

While the wins are coming, Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in the month of September.

4 of their last 5 divisional games have gone UNDER the point total.

Houston #Texans Thursday Injury Report for Week 4 vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars: pic.twitter.com/8RF9BDwhts
— Houston Texans PR (@TexansPR) September 26, 2024

Jaguars vs Texans Betting Prediction

The Jaguars are drifting into desperation mode right now, with that panic button looming large.

I think they could be in trouble once again versus a Houston team looking to make amends for a poor showing last weekend.

Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Houston Texans 30

Jaguars vs Texans Info

Date & Time: Sunday, September 29 at 1 PM EST
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
TV: CBS

JOIN NOW

Latest Odds provided by MyBookie Sportsbook

Jaguars vs Texans Standings in the AFC South

AFC SOUTH
Team	W	L	T	%	PF	PA	Home	Road	Strk
Texans	2	1	0	0.667	55	74	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Colts	1	2	0	0.333	58	51	1-1-0	0-1-0	1W
Jaguars	0	3	0	0.0	40	85	0-1-0	0-2-0	3L
Titans	0	3	0	0.0	48	78	0-2-0	0-1-0	3L