NFL Kansas City Chiefs Season Betting Analysis

NFL Kansas City Chiefs Season Betting Analysis

Defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City will enter the 2023-2024 NFL Season the +600 favorite to pull off the repeat. As long as Patrick Mahomes is their quarterback, the Chiefs should excel. But although KC won the Lombardi Trophy last season, they were awful against the spread. Will the Chiefs bounce back with a decent season betting ATS record?

Check out KC’s SU, ATS, and O/U records from last season, this season’s Kansas City schedule, and a season betting analysis. Let’s see if Kansas City Chiefs have what it takes to back the NFL betting odds for each game all the way up to the Super Bowl… Again?.


Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Kansas City Chiefs | 54th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: The Hunt family
Head coach: Andy Reid
Home field: Arrowhead Stadium | Kansas City, Missouri


What is Kansas City’s Straight Up Prediction this Season?

At first glance, it looks as if the Kansas City Chiefs have a much more difficult schedule this season than they did last season. But we said the same thing before the NFL kicked off in 2022.

However, the difference is that the Denver Broncos should be a much better team in 2023 than they were in 2022. Not only that, but KC starts their regular season hosting Detroit and at Jacksonville.

Both the Lions and the Jaguars will be difficult to beat. The key for a successful Kansas City regular season straight up is to find defensive end replacements for Frank Clark and Chris Jones.

The two vets were instrumental in KC’s march to the Super Bowl last season. If George Karlaftis and TCU rookie Felix Anudike-Uzomah don’t step it up, the Chiefs will struggle to pressure opposing quarterbacks.

Kansas City should have a successful season. However, it won’t be as successful as it was in 2022. Sean Payton will find a way to upset the Chiefs at least once. KC will lose at Jacksonville in NFL Week 2.

The other four losses will happen at the Jets on Oct. 1, versus Philadelphia in NFL Week 11, at Green Bay on Dec. 3, and versus Cincinnati in NFL Week 17. At the end of the regular season, Kansas City will finish 11-6 straight up.


What Will Kansas City’s Against the Spread Record be this Season?

It’s rare that oddsmakers are so off on against the spread records for a single NFL team in back-to-back seasons.

In 2021-2022 the Dallas Cowboys went 13-4 against the spread. Last season, 2022-2023, the Cowboys went 9-7-1 against the spread.

Because KC went 5-11-1 against the spread last season, we should expect them to pull a Cowboys turnaround and go 9-8 or 8-9 ATS this season.


What Will Be the Over Under Total Record for Kansas City Chiefs’ Games in 2023?

The over under total went 8-9 in Kansas City Chiefs games last season. A similar over-to-under record should happen in 2023-2024.

Andy Reid slows the game down with tough running and clock management. Patrick Mahomes is the best in the league at providing long drives.

Magic Mahomes will protect KC’s defense and chew up clock. So we should expect more under wins, possibly by a single game, than overs for the Kansas City Chiefs. Expect another 8-9 over-to-under total record.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet Kansas City Chiefs to Win
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2023 Kansas City Chiefs Regular Season Schedule

Week Date Opponent Time
All times ET
1 Sep. 7 Detroit Lions 8:20pm ET
2 Sep. 17 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00pm ET
3 Sep. 24 Chicago Bears 4:25pm ET
4 Oct. 1 at New York Jets 8:20pm ET
5 Oct. 8 at Minnesota Vikings 4:25pm ET
6 Oct. 12 Denver Broncos 8:15pm ET
7 Oct. 22 Los Angeles Chargers 4:25pm ET
8 Oct. 29 at Denver Broncos 4:25pm ET
9 Nov. 5 Miami Dolphins 9:30am ET
10 Nov. 12 BYE WEEK
11 Nov. 20 Philadelphia Eagles 8:15pm ET
12 Nov. 26 at Las Vegas Raiders 4:25pm ET
13 Dec. 3 at Green Bay Packers 8:20pm ET
14 Dec. 10 Buffalo Bills 4:25pm ET
15 Dec. 18 at New England Patriots 8:15pm ET
16 Dec. 25 Las Vegas Raiders 1:00pm ET
17 Dec. 31 Cincinnati Bengals 4:25pm ET
18 Jan. 7 at Los Angeles Chargers TBA ET

2024 Super Bowl Odds

Pre-Draft Super Bowl Odds

Current Super Bowl 58 Odds


AFC West Win Totals

Kansas City Chiefs
11.5 (Over -140, Under +120)

Los Angeles Chargers
9.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Denver Broncos
8.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Las Vegas Raiders
7.5 (Over +130, Under -150)

Bet Kansas City Chiefs to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl

2022 Kansas City Chiefs records

Chiefs 2022 SU Record: 14-3

Chiefs 2023 ATS Record: 5-11-1

Chiefs 2023 Over Under Record: 8-9


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