In the first leg between Liverpool and Real Madrid, the Reds got out to a fast start and then folded. Real ended up grabbing a 3-goal aggregate lead. El Blanco’s stunning 3-0 lead might explain why the home team isn’t more than a +132 money line choice. Will Carlo Ancelotti instruct his squad to protect the lead? Can Liverpool gain some measure of revenge?
Check out Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Liverpool hosting Real Madrid.
Champions League Round of 16 Leg 2 – Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Handicap Odds: Liverpool +0.5 -161 / Real Madrid -0.5 -125
Money line Odds: Real Madrid +132 / Liverpool +183 / Draw +280
Total Odds: O 3.5 +128 / U 3.5 -163
When: Wednesday, March 15 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Santiago Bernabeau, Madrid, Spain
Why Liverpool is a Good Bet versus Real Madrid
Pool hasn’t had the greatest season but in back-to-back games on March 1 and March 5, the Reds showed that when they’re on their game, they’re impossible to beat.
The road dog in this followed up a 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton with a 7-0 drubbing of Manchester United. Yes, you read that right.
Pool beat the Red Devils 7-0 on March 5. If the team that spanked Man U shows up, Real could be in some trouble.
Liverpool Last 5
- L – 1-0 vs. AFC Bournemouth
- W – 7-0 vs. Manchester United
- W – 2-0 vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers
- D – 0-0 vs. Crystal Palace
- L – 2-5 vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool Predicted Starting Lineup
- Alisson
- van Djik
- Gomez
- Robertson
- Alexander-Arnold
- Fabinho
- Bajcetic
- Henderson
- Gakpo
- Nunez
- Salah
Why Real Madrid is a Good Bet versus Liverpool
El Blanco had been in suspect form. Real drew 1-1 versus rival Atletico before losing a Copa del Rey El Classico contest against Barcelona via a 1-0 score.
The issue with losing to Barca is that it happened at Santiago Bernabeau, over Real’s pitch. However, Real bounced back from the loss with a decent draw against Betis.
Then in a match they had to win, Real dusted Espanyol 3-1. Now back on the right track, Real should have no trouble showing Liverpool they’re one of the best club teams in the world.
Real Madrid Last 5
- W – 3-1 vs. Espanyol
- D – 0-0 vs. Real Betis
- L – 0-1 vs. Barcelona
- D – 1-1 vs. Atletico Madrid
- W – 2-5 vs. Liverpool
Real Madrid Predicted Starting Lineup
- Courtois
- Rudiger
- Militao
- Alaba
- Nacho
- Camavinga
- Ceballos
- Modric
- Rodrygo
- Junior
- Valverde
Final Betting Analysis: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
The defending Champions League titlists have Pool where they want them. But before we can dump on Real, it’s important to note that Ancelotti is playing the long game.
El Blanco’s coach and manager wants to win another CL championship. Doing so means ensuring his players remain healthy and ready for the quarterfinals.
A 3-goal lead is almost impossible to overcome, meaning Ancelotti won’t push the envelope. Liverpool can score in bunches, though, so we shouldn’t expect Real to simply hang back and allow the Reds to take shots.
Instead, Real will play keep away in this. Pool will do enough for a 1-goal victory. A single goal is all Real is going to allow. Liverpool wins the match. RM wins the aggregate.
Champions League Pick: Liverpool +183 | Bet Frankfurt vs Napoli Today
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