UEFA Champions League Predictions for Round of 16: Liverpool vs Real Madrid Odds

One of the most anticipated Champions League knockout stage aggregates happens on Tuesday, Feb. 21, when Real Madrid travels to Anfield to take on Liverpool. Real, the 2022 CL defending champs, are a slight money line underdog versus home team Pool. Real is playing well, which means they’ll have confidence heading into this. Will the LaLiga squad’s confidence lead to an upset victory? See below for Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Liverpool hosting Real Madrid.

Champions League Round of 16 Leg 1 Odds to Advance to Quarterfinals | Liverpool vs Real Madrid

 

• When: Tuesday, Feb. 21 at 3:00 pm ET
• Where: Anfield, Liverpool, England
• Handicap Odds: Liverpool -0.5 +126 / Real Madrid +0.5 -161
• Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid +196 / Liverpool +132 / Draw +255
• Total Odds: O 2.5 -151 / U 2.5 +119

Why Liverpool is a good bet versus Real Madrid

After a draw and a pair of losses, Real has turned around the form in their last 2. Real drew 0-0 versus Chelsea and then lost 2 straight versus Brighton & Hove and Wolverhampton.

But since the draw and losses, El Blanco has played great soccer, beating Everton 2-0 and besting Newcastle 2-0. The victory over Newcastle impresses big time because Newcastle has played well this season in the Premier League.

Not only that, but in the victory, Darwin Nunez and Cody Gakpo scored goals, which is a sign the Reds are finally gelling.

Liverpool Last 5

• W – 0-2 vs. Newcastle United
• W – 0-2 vs. Everton
• L – 3-0 vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers
• L – 2-1 vs. Brighton & Hove Albion
• D – 0-0 vs. Chelsea

Liverpool Predicted Starting Lineup

• Alisson
• van Djik
• Gomez
• Robertson
• Alexander-Arnold
• Fabinho
• Bajcetic
• Henderson
• Gakpo
• Nunez
• Salah

  

Why Real Madrid is a good bet versus Liverpool

Real isn’t just winning, they’re dominating opponents. El Blanco has outscored their last 4 opponents a combined 15 goals to 4.

Real allowed 3 goals in the FIFA Club World Cup Final versus Al Hilal. Since conceding the 3 goals in the 5-3 victory over Al Hilal, Real has kept Osasuna and Elche from scoring.

For sure, Pool is a step up from Real’s recent opponents. But during the run, Karim Benzema didn’t play in every match. Real’s top players should be well-rested for this.

Real Madrid Last 5

• W – 0-2 vs. Osasuna
• W – 4-0 vs. Elche
• W – 5-3 vs. Al Hilal
• W – 1-4 vs. Al Ahly
• L – 1-0 vs. Mallorca

Real Madrid Predicted Starting Lineup

• Courtois
• Rudiger
• Militao
• Alaba
• Nacho
• Camavinga
• Ceballos
• Modric
• Rodrygo
• Junior
• Valverde

Final Betting Analysis: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid

Speaking of Benzema, he’s back to playing lights out. In his last 2 games played, Benzema has rocked with a goal against Al Hilal and a goal versus Elche.

Karim has played in 5 matches since Jan. 26. He should be more than healthy enough to show his best against a Frankfurt side that yielded 3 goals against Cologne.

The reason Carlo Ancelotti can rest Benzema so much is because the team is much deeper than just Karim. Luka Modric is playing great, Vinicius Junior, Marco Asensio, Francisco Valverde and even Eden Hazard should help Real secure the regulation victory.

Liverpool is playing well. But Real owns the Champions League. The club has won more titles than any other. Expect Benzema to break down Pool’s defense in what should be at least a 1-goal victory.

Champions League Pick: Real Madrid +196

 

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