UEFA Champions League Odds: Villareal vs Bayern Munich Betting Analysis

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When Bayern Munich hosts Villareal in the second leg of their 2-leg aggregate, the Bundesliga power will be in an unfamiliar position. The LaLiga squad has a 1-goal to 0 goals lead over Bayern. The match happens at Allianz Arena in Munich, which is why oddsmakers have installed Bayern a heavy favorite. Will the German League team pick it up enough to move to the Champions League Semifinals? Or will Villareal continue their dream CL Season? See below for Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Villareal at Bayern Munich. 

Villareal v Bayern Munich Betting Odds | UCL Quarter Finals – 2nd Leg Match Analysis

Villareal at Munich – UEFA Champions League Betting Info

• When: Tuesday, April 12 at 3:00 pm ET

• Where: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany  

• Handicap Odds: Bayern -2 +110 / Villareal +2 -140

• Moneyline Odds: Bayern -400 / Villareal +880 / Draw +520

• Total Odds: O 3 ½ +102 / U 3 ½ -129

Why Villareal will beat Bayern Munich

The underdog didn’t just beat Bayern. Villareal beat Bayern after allowing Bayern to dominate time of possession and shots. In other words, Villareal beat mighty Bayern by playing unbelievable defense. The German team took 22 shots and 4 shots on goal. They still couldn’t grab a goal. Villareal should play the same defense on Tuesday that they played in the first leg. 

Villareal Last 5

• D – 1-1 vs. Athletic Club
• W – 1-0 vs. Bayern Munich
• L – 2-0 vs. Levante
• L – 1-0 vs. Cadiz
• W – 0-3 vs. Juventus

Villareal predicted starting lineup

• Rulli
• Torres
• Albiol
• Estupinan
• Foyth
• Iborra
• Parejo
• Moreno
• Pino
• Dia
• Aurier

Why Bayern Munich will beat Villareal

In many ways in the first match, Bayern beat themselves. The Bundesliga squad controlled possession throughout, 62% to 38%, and took significantly more shots. Villareal scored on their 1 shot on goal. So all Bayern had to do was take better shots and not make a single mistake in the back end. Bayern gets Villareal on their pitch. They should win this no problem.

Bayern Munich Last 5

• W – 1-0 vs. Augsburg
• L – 1-0 vs. Villareal 
• W – 1-4 vs. Freiburg
• W – 4-0 vs. Union Berlin
• D – 1-1 vs. TSG Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich predicted starting lineup

• Neuer 
• Sule 
• Hernandez
• Pavard
• Musiala
• Kimmich
• Nianzou
• Gnabry
• Lewandowski
• Sane
• Muller

Final Betting Analysis: Villareal at Bayern Munich

Although the victory happened on Villareal’s field, we shouldn’t downplay the the Primera Division’s victory. Villareal played an excellent match. Any time you beat a team like Bayern, one of the best soccer clubs on the planet, you played great.

But while we should give Villareal credit, we shouldn’t give them too much credit. History won’t repeat itself in this match. Bayern should have dusted Villareal by 2 to 3 goals.

If Bayern is more selective in the rematch, if they bring up their shots on goal total, they should have much more success.

As far as Villareal’s attack is concerned, expect Bayern to lock down on the LaLiga squad. Don’t expect more than 8 shots total with, like what happened in the first leg, a single shot on goal.

Manuel Neuer keeps his shirt clean, Robert Lewandowski scores at least 2, and Bayern wins by 3. Back Munich on the handicap.  

Champions League Pick: Bayern Munich -2 +110 

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