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WNBA Playoff Picture: Breaking Down the Potential Contenders, Expert Analysis and Odds

WNBA Playoff Picture: Breaking Down the Potential Contenders, Expert Analysis and Odds

The WNBA is taking a break at the moment, but the action will return shortly after the end of the Olympic Games in Paris, France.

This little break gives us the opportunity to look back at the first half of the season to see if it gives us any clue as to how things might play out when the ladies do get back on the hard court.

 

My Analysis

Specifically, we are all interested in how the top 8 might look at the end of the regular season, as that will dictate the path that each team needs to take to end the season as champions.

Over the last 5 seasons, the #1 or #2 seed has won the championship, with the lone exception in that stretch being the Chicago Sky, who won as a 6 seed.

What that tells us is that seeding is important, so let’s take a look at how things are right now in the WNBA.

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Is The #1 Seed Locked up?

Heading into the Olympic break, it was the New York Liberty who ended the first half as the #1 seed. They have a 3-game lead over the chasing pack and had won 4 in a row, as well as 9 of their last 10.

It is at times like these that teams tend to not want a break, as that could potentially upset that streak and make it hard for them to get back in a groove when the action returns.

If the Liberty do fall off in the second half, the Connecticut Sun looks like the team most likely to run them down.

They are 2 ½ games out of the top spot and very much within striking distance.

For what it’s worth, I think Washington will continue to roll to the #1 seed.

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The Battle for Lesser Seeds

I am not about to suggest that we are getting down to a 2-horse race for the top spot, as both the Minnesota Lynx and Seattle Storm are just 4 out of first and 1 ½ games out of second.

The Storm ended the first half on a great run, winning 8 of their last 10, so keep an eye on them.

The Phoenix Mercury are down in the #6 spot and on something of an island of their own, with some separation between them and the teams directly above and below them, so they might well stay where they are.

It is looking as though the Indiana Fever and the Chicago Sky are going to be battling it out for the #7 and #8 seeds.

They are tied right now, while the teams below them are not really doing enough to make it look as though they could make a move.

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Matchups if The Playoffs Began Today

  • New York Liberty Vs Chicago Sky
  • Connecticut Sun Vs Indiana Fever
  • Minnesota Lynx Vs Phoenix Mercury
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  • New York Liberty +160
  • Connecticut Sun +780
  • Minnesota Lynx +910
  • Seattle Storm +990
  • Phoenix Mercury +2600
  • Indiana Fever +9500
  • Chicago Sky +14000
  • Atlanta Dream +40000
  • Los Angeles Sparks +50000
  • Dallas Wings +50000
  • Washington Mystics +50000
 

WNBA Postseason Schedule 2024

  • July 21- August 14: Olympic Break
  • August 20: Trade Deadline
  • September 19: Regular Season Ends
  • September 22: Playoffs Begin
  • October 20: Last Possible Finals Date
   
 

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